Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

414

Trades

1,395

lifetime

Volume

$6.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-12 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 44% -$270

Other

19% 22% -$141

Politics

2% 0% -$45

Tech

0% 0% -$7

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	18	$207	493	493	+0	Yes	-$19	02-08 08:57
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	11	$154	579	272	+307	No	+$17	03-06 14:10
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	8	$138	158	158	+0	Yes	-$14	02-17 14:22
bitcoin above 86k on january 22	13	$120	634	634	+0	Yes	-$16	01-22 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	8	$113	438	438	+0	Yes	+$27	02-06 02:35
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 200plus	6	$100	669	669	+0	No	-$42	02-09 22:30
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	10	$84	160	160	+0	No	-$14	01-21 16:33
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	7	$83	88	88	+0	No	+$0	01-22 15:30
bitcoin above 68k on february 17	12	$83	232	216	+16	No	-$6	02-17 16:47
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	3	$64	94	94	+0	No	+$12	02-06 12:05
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	5	$64	86	86	+0	Yes	+$3	01-21 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:00 UTC	3	$63	59	58	+0	Down	+$43	02-16 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 17:45 UTC	7	$61	91	90	+1	Down	+$9	03-05 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 01:45 UTC	9	$61	108	107	+1	Down	+$16	02-28 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 07:45 UTC	6	$60	53	52	+1	Down	+$6	03-06 07:57
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	5	$58	166	166	+0	No	+$0	01-24 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 08:45 UTC	5	$57	138	42	+95	Down	-$17	03-06 08:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 08:00 UTC	5	$54	136	135	+1	Down	-$6	03-06 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 19:30 UTC	5	$54	46	46	+1	Down	+$22	03-06 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC	8	$53	82	81	+1	Up	+$10	03-12 19:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 11:45 UTC	6	$53	155	42	+112	Up	+$1	02-07 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 16:00 UTC	5	$52	50	50	+0	Down	+$32	03-06 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 02:15 UTC	5	$52	115	115	+1	Up	+$8	03-06 02:25
bitcoin above 74k on february 7	9	$51	477	477	+0	No	-$5	02-07 00:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 14:00 UTC	5	$51	97	96	+1	Up	+$13	03-11 14:11
bitcoin above 70k on february 17	4	$49	167	87	+80	No	-$17	02-16 22:03
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	6	$48	227	354	-126	No	+$9	02-17 10:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 20:30 UTC	11	$47	134	133	+1	Up	+$7	03-06 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 01:15 UTC	6	$47	95	94	+1	Down	+$9	02-28 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 08:30 UTC	4	$47	68	67	+1	Down	+$11	03-06 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 18:23:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xb094dd…
10-12 18:22:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd646f0…
10-12 16:39:48	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x025c85…
10-12 16:34:02	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf70e2d…
10-12 16:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xd7015e…
10-12 16:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc09c67…
10-12 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xf081c9…
10-12 16:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa7cb76…
10-12 16:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x218ee8…
10-12 16:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xfbd37b…
10-12 16:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x99b655…
10-12 16:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe8c407…
10-12 14:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6cb179…
10-12 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x131cd9…
10-12 14:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xebf7e8…
10-12 14:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5280ae…
10-12 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd0cab2…
10-12 14:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0xf04b7b…
10-12 14:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8a33a7…
10-12 14:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7079b9…
10-12 13:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x96bc2d…
10-12 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x55dd56…
10-12 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x33175a…
10-12 13:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x8452ad…
10-12 13:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xa9fb79…
10-12 13:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x367896…
10-12 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x66c77c…
10-12 12:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x5222e0…
10-12 12:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xa821a0…
10-12 12:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe5da69…
10-12 12:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc47ddb…
10-12 11:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x8dee09…
10-12 11:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x77de1e…
10-12 11:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc7ee72…
10-12 11:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9f0fbf…
10-12 11:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x94d3cf…
10-12 10:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xb1faef…
10-12 10:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4b65b2…
03-27 17:24:43	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	Yes	BUY	616	0¢	$2	0x3df888…
03-27 10:50:35	Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x1de38f…
03-27 10:50:31	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x849bd1…
03-26 20:19:05	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xd57517…
03-26 20:17:05	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc65f21…
03-26 20:14:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	No	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x1b2b17…
03-26 20:14:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x8aea54…
03-26 20:13:59	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6820d6…
03-26 20:13:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	No	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x84743f…
03-26 17:59:57	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0xf8e710…
03-26 17:52:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x85786d…
03-26 17:50:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x9b7794…
03-26 17:33:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x76e46d…
03-26 17:22:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd11151…
03-26 17:22:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x0aabc1…
03-26 17:19:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf4145a…
03-26 17:18:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa5c345…
03-26 17:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6af48b…
03-26 17:15:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7d6296…
03-26 17:14:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe9b403…
03-26 17:13:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7fc587…
03-26 17:08:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x89e58f…
03-26 17:07:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x510159…
03-26 17:06:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x613d0f…
03-26 17:05:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x494fea…
03-25 18:02:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xe4fe8d…
03-25 17:54:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xfe6670…
03-25 17:50:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x945030…
03-25 17:50:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x287815…
03-25 17:48:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x656968…
03-25 17:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2bf9b3…
03-25 17:19:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xa57576…
03-25 17:18:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7fd3ab…
03-25 17:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0xb718fd…
03-25 17:02:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x98e9d4…
03-25 17:01:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xc1b865…
03-25 17:00:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x602c05…
03-25 16:47:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x49295e…
03-25 16:45:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc35dad…
03-25 15:35:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xffa2c5…
03-25 15:31:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x74c080…
03-25 15:27:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xffe4f9…
03-25 15:23:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x4a5bb5…
03-25 15:22:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2a570c…
03-25 15:20:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 26	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x42466e…
03-25 15:19:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba9203…
03-25 15:19:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 25	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdb1103…
03-25 15:16:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xbf18e2…
03-25 15:15:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x47d9cf…
03-25 15:06:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$3	0x193658…
03-25 15:02:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa412c5…
03-25 15:01:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x38049c…
03-25 15:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf11eb7…
03-25 14:55:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xd29612…
03-25 14:54:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5524cc…
03-25 14:50:19	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x45f0f4…
03-25 01:52:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x33e9c7…
03-25 01:44:07	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0xc14508…
03-25 01:42:41	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	SELL	37	69¢	$25	0xd2b4a2…
03-24 19:42:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 25	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xbf586b…
03-24 17:40:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	No	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x2eadd2…
03-24 17:39:25	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xd3b9bc…