Lighthearted-Cyclamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

598 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.45K

$129.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$217

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

61% 97% +$273

Crypto

39% 90% +$152

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 80% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	3	$2.2K	1,114	1,114	+0	No	+$8	08-18 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$8	08-10 09:40
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$6	08-26 07:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,287	0	+1,287	No	+$7	07-25 04:39
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$1.2K	636	636	+0	No	+$30	11-02 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	No	+$2	09-11 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	07-20 06:50
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	No	+$7	07-17 09:29
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	No	+$12	07-22 07:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,206	0	+1,206	No	+$6	06-24 07:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	1	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	No	+$4	09-08 05:00
ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	1	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	No	+$4	06-09 06:22
ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	Yes	+$1	06-18 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	10-23 04:09
bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	Yes	+$1	06-16 08:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	06-22 06:43
ethereum above 1900 on june 10 2026	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	06-10 03:00
bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	Yes	+$1	06-08 07:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	10-15 03:51
ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	06-15 07:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	06-14 05:47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	10-12 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	No	+$5	10-11 04:23
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	No	+$2	07-15 05:24
bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	1	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	Yes	+$2	06-12 07:53
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,174	0	+1,174	No	+$4	08-04 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,158	0	+1,158	No	+$8	08-07 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,152	0	+1,152	No	+$2	08-12 08:48
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	No	+$1	05-24 08:59
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	No	+$6	06-02 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 16:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	636	99¢	$630	0xf0f50e…
11-02 06:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0xa12d9c…
11-02 06:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	510	100¢	$508	0x7fed51…
11-02 03:15:19	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	636	94¢	$600	0x6288c9…
11-02 03:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x278f5d…
11-02 03:13:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xa00fdc…
10-23 04:09:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0e1e6e…
10-23 04:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x023b8a…
10-15 03:51:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xa8f1d9…
10-15 03:51:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0f870…
10-15 03:42:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd3402…
10-12 15:43:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xce3cbb…
10-11 04:23:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,205	100¢	$1,200	0x0eba81…
09-19 04:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0xe9fc8a…
09-19 04:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x061652…
09-19 04:02:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xc49b1c…
09-19 04:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x0d4e6d…
09-18 04:09:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9de2db…
09-18 04:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x7f1f63…
09-18 04:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x31f147…
09-18 04:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0x5e9912…
09-16 04:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x669a17…
09-16 04:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$299	0x96dbdb…
09-15 04:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	905	99¢	$900	0xf2d0d2…
09-15 04:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0x790e8a…
09-11 09:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,202	100¢	$1,200	0x63dd6c…
09-08 05:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	1,204	100¢	$1,200	0x12ea0a…
08-26 07:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	931	100¢	$929	0x0fb79e…
08-26 07:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x5f9930…
08-26 07:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe05a66…
08-26 07:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x292c08…
08-26 07:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0eb398…
08-25 16:40:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x99f202…
08-25 16:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$1,000	0x3eafe8…
08-18 17:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0xb4e067…
08-18 14:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0xe56d8f…
08-18 14:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	1,019	100¢	$1,014	0x3802c8…
08-16 08:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,114	99¢	$1,100	0x349965…
08-13 13:22:30	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x01be7a…
08-12 08:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,152	100¢	$1,150	0x5e5af0…
08-10 09:40:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xf61718…
08-10 06:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	976	100¢	$974	0x7c6fdb…
08-09 08:35:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x93cad7…
08-07 05:02:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaba520…
08-07 05:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,158	99¢	$1,150	0xa2e619…
08-04 05:02:30	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfe8bf1…
08-04 05:01:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,174	100¢	$1,170	0xb8e239…
08-03 13:38:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	230	20¢	$47	0xb85d52…
08-02 06:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	703	100¢	$700	0x5ec490…
08-01 05:37:08	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x488ad1…
08-01 05:17:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x333953…
08-01 05:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x98d46e…
08-01 05:15:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x266e8d…
07-31 04:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x0d2e4e…
07-30 07:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0xad0b80…
07-27 06:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	783	100¢	$780	0xf4e423…
07-27 06:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	518	96¢	$500	0x25cce2…
07-25 04:39:40	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x91e42d…
07-25 04:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,287	99¢	$1,280	0x94acb6…
07-23 06:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	765	99¢	$760	0x066bca…
07-23 06:30:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x978d38…
07-22 07:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1,212	99¢	$1,200	0x3997c5…
07-20 06:50:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb42575…
07-20 06:50:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xd9003e…
07-17 09:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,207	99¢	$1,200	0x644ac4…
07-15 05:24:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf4d04c…
07-15 05:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,202	100¢	$1,200	0x0f8c0a…
07-11 05:32:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	114	98¢	$112	0x328f6d…
07-11 05:25:46	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x98e610…
07-11 05:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x0378eb…
07-11 05:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x0c871b…
07-11 05:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x336cc8…
06-24 07:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,206	99¢	$1,200	0x064321…
06-22 06:43:53	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b77d8…
06-22 06:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x442003…
06-20 09:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xb1ba75…
06-18 08:09:23	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x6c512b…
06-16 08:35:09	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x56cb17…
06-15 07:23:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3bf9a4…
06-15 07:23:22	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x279ed5…
06-14 05:47:49	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Australia	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x48288d…
06-14 05:47:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x85a5f6…
06-12 07:54:03	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaf7e36…
06-12 07:53:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1,202	100¢	$1,200	0x196cbf…
06-10 03:00:45	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x176071…
06-10 03:00:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfab673…
06-10 03:00:04	ethereum above 1900 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x7cea55…
06-09 06:23:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcbc464…
06-09 06:22:10	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,204	100¢	$1,200	0xf5f9be…
06-08 07:39:06	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x32f0f9…
06-06 06:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xf33e0d…
06-05 07:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	603	99¢	$600	0x5eccc4…
06-05 07:17:04	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x2a5c02…
06-03 07:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$1,000	0xe752f1…
06-02 05:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,100	0xc127c3…
05-28 06:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x72c7e2…
05-26 13:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x91c4fc…
05-26 13:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x557aa5…
05-26 13:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc36877…
05-26 12:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xb50807…