Guilty-Priest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,589

lifetime

Volume

$741.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

$168

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-05 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

37% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-2,005

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes		+296	$154	57¢	$168	+$14	06-05 17:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	7	$32.6K	20,920	12,123	+8,797	open	—	03-02 15:09
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$26.6K	13,307	13,307	+0	open	—	02-27 06:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$26.3K	25,221	25,221	+0	open	—	04-08 01:47
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 595	4	$24.9K	12,461	12,461	+0	open	—	03-09 01:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$21.9K	11,030	11,029	+1	open	—	04-01 02:53
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	31	$20.6K	11,573	10,391	+1,183	open	—	02-18 08:33
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$19.8K	9,969	9,969	+0	open	—	02-23 07:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	2	$15.2K	7,862	7,862	+0	open	—	03-17 15:29
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	6	$14.6K	13,816	1,000	+12,816	open	—	02-25 06:25
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$13.5K	14,227	0	+14,227	open	—	02-27 19:58
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	10	$13.1K	13,264	0	+13,264	open	—	02-23 22:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	13	$12.8K	12,951	0	+12,951	open	—	02-21 20:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$11.2K	11,256	0	+11,256	open	—	02-21 01:46
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$10.9K	10,859	258	+10,601	open	—	03-15 04:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	6	$10.8K	11,072	0	+11,072	open	—	03-04 23:38
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	8	$10.5K	6,911	6,821	+90	open	—	04-07 23:21
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	42	$10.1K	5,700	8,204	-2,504	open	—	02-04 16:40
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	2	$8.0K	8,003	0	+8,003	open	—	03-04 16:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	9	$7.9K	8,252	0	+8,252	open	—	03-06 02:52
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	34	$6.7K	4,346	5,530	-1,184	open	—	02-27 16:30
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	26	$6.3K	5,171	7,674	-2,503	open	—	02-24 16:38
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	7	$6.3K	3,197	3,197	+0	open	—	03-08 04:21
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$6.1K	6,289	0	+6,289	open	—	03-07 01:07
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	3	$6.0K	6,003	3,003	+3,000	open	—	03-31 18:09
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	30	$6.0K	8,933	10,586	-1,653	open	—	02-06 16:37
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	12	$5.9K	9,062	2,229	+6,833	open	—	04-14 17:40
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	48	$5.8K	9,527	3,841	+5,686	open	—	03-18 02:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	10	$5.5K	6,160	6,160	+0	open	—	03-08 21:39
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	29	$5.5K	2,073	5,082	-3,010	open	—	03-14 15:42
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	22	$5.4K	2,597	6,601	-4,004	open	—	02-20 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:21:22	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	52¢	$154	0xd32d44…
06-04 02:21:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x3fa3b7…
06-02 14:31:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0xcfa024…
05-30 22:45:37	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x9a0961…
05-27 01:56:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x821f27…
05-26 00:56:22	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x62445c…
05-26 00:23:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd9be57…
05-21 02:36:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x968f88…
05-19 00:16:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9bc778…
05-17 23:55:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x4e0d92…
05-16 00:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9e91bc…
05-16 00:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	69	49¢	$34	0x76f0e6…
05-16 00:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xebd740…
05-16 00:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xde75e8…
05-16 00:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb173bd…
05-12 02:34:03	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x25b7e8…
05-12 00:41:57	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	1,696	59¢	$1,000	0x915731…
05-10 01:55:03	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0x1618e9…
05-07 21:30:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb56001…
04-28 02:49:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0x2786e4…
04-28 01:28:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$6	0x28c5f0…
04-27 23:52:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0xc7c946…
04-27 18:37:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,662	8¢	$133	0x71d36a…
04-27 18:36:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xdbd708…
04-27 18:36:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xf2e45d…
04-27 18:35:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xd43e5d…
04-27 18:33:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3c1c47…
04-27 18:33:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x0829fe…
04-27 18:19:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	8¢	$25	0x49afac…
04-27 15:07:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	292	56¢	$164	0xbc6cba…
04-27 15:07:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	655	68¢	$444	0x625e53…
04-27 15:00:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	426	61¢	$259	0xe04c0a…
04-27 15:00:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xb4120a…
04-27 15:00:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	63	61¢	$38	0x5721b3…
04-27 15:00:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	455	66¢	$301	0xa2f84e…
04-27 14:18:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	60¢	$180	0xdd6e8b…
04-27 09:53:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6d19aa…
04-27 09:52:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	30¢	$69	0xa78855…
04-27 09:52:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xc4eb10…
04-27 09:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0xe901b2…
04-24 23:52:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x347553…
04-24 15:48:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	3,005	100¢	$2,999	0x53175e…
04-24 15:28:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	154	85¢	$131	0xd94765…
04-24 15:28:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x9ce496…
04-24 15:27:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xa6388e…
04-24 15:27:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x1108e9…
04-24 15:27:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xef3b6d…
04-24 15:27:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x087dc9…
04-24 13:06:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	65	56¢	$36	0xdf6138…
04-24 13:06:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	635	56¢	$352	0x8e9e1a…
04-24 12:57:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x148ccc…
04-24 12:56:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x4787dd…
04-21 14:19:14	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	1,381	3¢	$41	0xc35089…
04-21 05:43:14	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x26888d…
04-21 05:42:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	309	3¢	$9	0x324343…
04-21 05:41:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x9bdaa5…
04-21 05:41:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0x8d4202…
04-21 05:41:24	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	120	3¢	$3	0x1179d4…
04-21 04:24:02	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbd8a71…
04-21 04:22:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x89a62e…
04-18 14:00:18	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xebe56a…
04-18 14:00:14	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x705c67…
04-18 14:00:00	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x47cd9d…
04-18 13:59:44	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x23048a…
04-18 13:59:40	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0x4d6b7f…
04-18 13:59:10	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x10f95b…
04-18 13:58:32	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd419ef…
04-18 13:58:26	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf37ed8…
04-18 13:58:26	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x22d33f…
04-18 13:58:26	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x137817…
04-18 13:57:16	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x152127…
04-18 13:57:02	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x82033e…
04-18 13:53:30	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	215	4¢	$9	0x894016…
04-18 13:52:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x401488…
04-18 13:49:56	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xad3611…
04-18 13:32:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	Yes	SELL	3,003	94¢	$2,823	0xc080fa…
04-18 04:28:14	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	2,800	0¢	$6	0x7e900f…
04-18 04:20:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x440a93…
04-18 04:19:02	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	198	0¢	$0	0x1aba46…
04-18 04:18:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x6eb792…
04-17 15:23:08	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	628	1¢	$8	0x2b1a0e…
04-17 15:22:40	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	360	1¢	$5	0x002762…
04-17 15:22:38	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaa757e…
04-17 15:22:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0x321ffd…
04-17 15:21:30	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x899e9d…
04-17 14:58:34	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0xfad09a…
04-17 14:06:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	4,004	95¢	$3,804	0x64232f…
04-17 12:52:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	Yes	SELL	4,004	0¢	$8	0x2af4bf…
04-17 01:03:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	SELL	414	46¢	$190	0xd52043…
04-16 15:27:22	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	176	49¢	$86	0x960b67…
04-16 15:27:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x787559…
04-16 15:27:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	239	49¢	$117	0xfb7a27…
04-15 07:38:22	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$82	0x5ae581…
04-15 03:22:02	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0xcccd09…
04-15 02:58:02	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x2c4257…
04-15 01:01:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 460 479	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x9b1549…
04-15 01:00:38	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 460 479	No	BUY	4,004	100¢	$4,000	0x8209f3…
04-14 17:40:20	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	554	99¢	$549	0x125e0f…
04-14 15:48:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	270	75¢	$202	0x8005af…
04-14 15:48:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	992	75¢	$743	0xcb34b9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	303	$1.22M	27,209	05-15 21:30
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	287	$925.1K	79,723	04-30 14:35
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	272	$434.8K	40,327	03-28 06:15
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	260	$65.7K	24,993	04-18 22:01
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	251	$1.21M	19,730	06-07 06:37
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	251	$46.6K	12,501	06-05 10:00
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	242	$137.4K	1,299	06-03 22:53
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	235	$363.2K	24,601	04-09 19:50