Tangible-Liar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved (90d)

525

Trades (90d)

1,238

10,310 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.94K

$87.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-23 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% +$828

Other

5% 34% +$301

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:35 UTC	10	$294	403	403	+0	Down	+$15	07-25 20:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:45 UTC	11	$261	380	380	+0	Up	-$38	06-22 12:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 06:30 UTC	21	$249	293	293	+0	Down	+$9	03-28 06:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 19:30 UTC	20	$244	301	285	+16	Down	-$1	04-11 19:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 08:45 UTC	27	$244	300	300	+0	Up	-$1	04-15 08:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	15	$240	293	280	+13	Down	+$13	04-06 22:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 02:15 UTC	5	$239	311	350	-39	Up	-$15	04-05 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 11:00 UTC	16	$239	284	293	-9	Down	-$2	04-07 11:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC	18	$236	219	368	-149	Down	+$62	03-21 12:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	15	$233	293	293	+0	Up	+$19	08-07 08:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 23:30 UTC	10	$230	315	391	-76	Up	-$26	04-03 23:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 09:15 UTC	14	$229	245	293	-48	Up	+$29	03-28 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:30 UTC	11	$228	328	328	+0	Up	-$8	07-25 07:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC	20	$228	268	277	-10	Up	+$0	04-18 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:00 UTC	16	$223	292	292	+0	Up	+$24	08-01 08:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 10:15 UTC	23	$223	243	295	-52	Up	+$25	04-19 10:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 02:00 UTC	8	$223	204	350	-146	Down	-$90	04-05 02:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 02:30 UTC	20	$221	293	239	+54	Down	-$19	04-11 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:55 UTC	8	$219	292	292	+0	Down	+$20	07-26 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:20 UTC	18	$219	292	292	+0	Up	+$20	07-25 21:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 16:45 UTC	23	$219	236	293	-57	Down	+$27	04-17 16:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	19	$217	278	289	-11	Down	-$10	04-18 02:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:05 UTC	22	$216	273	273	+0	Up	+$18	08-03 21:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:15 UTC	9	$214	271	271	+0	Down	-$10	04-04 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 08:00 UTC	23	$213	273	273	+0	Down	+$14	07-25 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:25 UTC	25	$211	273	273	+0	Up	+$13	07-18 01:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:00 UTC	22	$210	120	391	-271	Down	-$157	04-02 13:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 08:45 UTC	13	$209	236	293	-57	Up	+$17	04-18 08:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 07:15 UTC	20	$209	220	277	-57	Up	+$30	04-10 07:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 09:45 UTC	13	$209	236	293	-57	Down	+$17	04-05 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 14:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0xae4c28…
10-22 14:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf7c84a…
10-21 01:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xf8ad5c…
10-20 01:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xb0cd6a…
10-20 01:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x9472b8…
10-20 01:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$6	0xf7c6c7…
10-18 02:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x598a25…
10-18 02:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcadd28…
10-18 02:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x15013c…
10-18 02:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf22883…
10-18 02:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x015c9d…
10-18 01:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xb625c8…
10-18 01:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0xe0c104…
10-18 01:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xc98cc6…
10-17 02:00:53	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x55d773…
10-17 02:00:29	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xfd7dee…
10-17 02:00:29	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xb4187a…
10-17 02:00:29	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x110388…
10-16 19:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfa9bf3…
10-16 19:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40536c…
10-16 19:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1166b5…
10-16 19:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12e20e…
10-16 00:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1363c…
10-15 23:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7a129a…
10-15 20:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5be1fd…
10-15 16:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e10fa…
10-15 07:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b38f3…
10-14 16:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xc4223a…
10-14 16:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4cc56e…
10-14 16:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1d1a60…
10-14 15:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x084e43…
10-14 14:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xfa39af…
10-14 14:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd5a3c3…
10-14 14:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc19de8…
10-14 14:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9c6b3d…
10-14 13:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x3ee807…
10-14 13:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xc5f8b0…
10-14 13:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x1dc5b9…
10-14 12:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc6c140…
10-14 01:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb03365…
10-14 01:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xbc6b44…
10-14 01:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9fc3b8…
10-14 01:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6e6790…
10-13 23:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x06e299…
10-13 22:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x76b1a8…
10-13 22:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe8cd41…
10-13 22:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd793f6…
10-13 22:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6dd65d…
10-13 21:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8400d4…
10-13 21:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x35d803…
10-13 19:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x18af72…
10-13 18:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4cdb33…
10-13 18:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbbfd05…
10-13 18:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x88bae1…
10-13 18:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xec9ff7…
10-13 17:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x59621e…
10-13 17:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x05f9c7…
10-13 16:59:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfccfd2…
10-13 16:58:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe859c4…
10-13 16:56:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x87d723…
10-13 16:54:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb17037…
10-13 13:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	56	21¢	$12	0xd9511d…
10-13 13:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0d425b…
10-13 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xf9cbda…
10-13 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe322a1…
10-13 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x715e60…
10-13 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x26ce73…
10-13 02:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd6a51f…
10-13 02:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x21a450…
10-12 20:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf6837a…
10-12 19:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x86795c…
10-12 19:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbddd33…
10-12 19:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x941367…
10-12 19:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x29899c…
10-12 19:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7c1f23…
10-12 13:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xaee69a…
10-12 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc7987e…
10-12 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x16664f…
10-12 02:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	88	12¢	$10	0xb89f24…
10-12 02:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xaf8c58…
10-11 19:48:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x8c9df1…
10-11 19:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x1142b1…
10-11 13:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0x748db7…
10-11 06:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x09beb2…
10-11 01:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x433f4c…
10-11 01:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0x3f6c3c…
10-11 01:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xa0ea18…
10-11 01:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	54	21¢	$11	0x6af0c9…
10-10 19:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x88e63e…
10-10 19:48:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0x69277b…
10-10 15:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd543bd…
10-10 13:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	78	14¢	$11	0x23fd6b…
10-10 01:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xcce6d6…
10-10 01:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0xbb4df8…
10-10 01:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa88a6f…
10-10 01:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x635cea…
10-10 01:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x11a01a…
10-10 01:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0x6d7c78…
10-09 19:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfc4511…
10-09 19:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xa2112c…