Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved (90d)

175

Trades (90d)

189

189 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$572

$572 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-11-01

last 11-11 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 45% +$30

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No		+20	$12	43¢	$9	-$3	11-10 20:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	1	$12	20	+20	open	—	11-10 20:30
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$12	18	+18	Down	+$6	11-06 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$11	12	+12	Down	+$1	11-07 05:43
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	Up	+$2	11-07 21:52
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Up	-$10	11-07 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Up	-$9	11-07 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$8	11	+11	Down	+$3	11-07 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$8	9	+9	Down	+$1	11-07 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$8	9	+9	Up	+$1	11-07 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$7	10	+10	Up	+$2	11-05 19:28
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Up	+$3	11-07 14:37
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$6	22	+22	Up	-$6	11-08 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$4	11-05 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$4	11-05 19:55
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$5	21	+21	Up	-$5	11-05 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	11-06 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-06 23:40
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	11-07 04:40
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-07 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-06 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-07 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-07 06:29
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	-$5	11-05 20:24
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	11-07 10:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC	1	$5	13	+13	Up	+$8	11-08 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	11-06 03:56
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	-$5	11-07 19:27
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	-$5	11-06 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-06 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	11-07 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 08:32:30	Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x362379…
11-10 20:30:58	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb7d0c6…
11-08 11:49:03	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xbfa535…
11-08 11:44:03	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2ffe2f…
11-08 11:08:06	XRP Up or Down - November 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xe22978…
11-08 10:53:45	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x333a5d…
11-08 10:52:51	XRP Up or Down - November 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xab7f72…
11-08 10:28:54	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x1c90cb…
11-08 09:42:13	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xbab2fa…
11-08 09:40:36	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7d8dfd…
11-08 09:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xb06923…
11-08 09:27:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x61c981…
11-07 23:28:28	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0xee2342…
11-07 23:28:28	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xa34644…
11-07 23:11:24	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2b453c…
11-07 22:58:33	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x1c806e…
11-07 22:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x58ba70…
11-07 22:32:48	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x16e69f…
11-07 21:56:10	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xe6c306…
11-07 21:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x735637…
11-07 21:27:30	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xabf2df…
11-07 21:25:31	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x421618…
11-07 20:39:10	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x325220…
11-07 20:14:12	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x63ae61…
11-07 19:47:45	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x435998…
11-07 19:44:39	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x316f96…
11-07 19:41:30	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd3176a…
11-07 19:27:07	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x06258c…
11-07 19:18:51	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9f46a8…
11-07 19:18:19	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x51f58c…
11-07 17:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xcdab83…
11-07 16:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xb7bef7…
11-07 16:41:19	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3e01af…
11-07 16:38:57	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x6e8cc1…
11-07 15:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x0037da…
11-07 15:26:24	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x5fb2af…
11-07 15:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x9bf7c8…
11-07 15:07:54	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x75bcd9…
11-07 14:56:27	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3036d1…
11-07 14:48:28	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1b6be5…
11-07 14:42:46	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3f216c…
11-07 14:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x0f54c0…
11-07 14:39:13	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb42b2c…
11-07 14:37:54	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x6d23ef…
11-07 13:10:52	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x08453f…
11-07 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x835198…
11-07 12:59:15	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc9afc1…
11-07 12:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x031e22…
11-07 10:33:42	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x638adb…
11-07 10:28:03	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x276cd4…
11-07 09:42:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1cc6d0…
11-07 09:39:15	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xfa14ee…
11-07 09:12:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9b8da9…
11-07 09:12:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x721859…
11-07 09:03:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x697b14…
11-07 08:53:00	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdf5e6c…
11-07 08:47:34	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x79ccd2…
11-07 08:44:28	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xee9d2b…
11-07 08:14:04	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xab01a2…
11-07 08:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x5ed3de…
11-07 08:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfd8036…
11-07 08:04:16	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xd5d073…
11-07 07:13:07	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x848a47…
11-07 07:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbe9be2…
11-07 07:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xb5b2ec…
11-07 07:10:03	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe09825…
11-07 07:08:10	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf71c71…
11-07 07:07:52	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x2a43fd…
11-07 06:38:43	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd3bd1e…
11-07 06:33:12	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x73da93…
11-07 06:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x689967…
11-07 06:28:09	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6ee2b3…
11-07 06:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbb2d72…
11-07 05:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4327fc…
11-07 05:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1d96bd…
11-07 05:40:31	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd22e30…
11-07 05:28:06	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6e1ef6…
11-07 05:03:06	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x037a37…
11-07 04:40:10	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x45f44d…
11-07 04:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9ec496…
11-07 03:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd91b98…
11-07 03:24:27	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8797f6…
11-07 03:12:52	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4ce2e6…
11-07 02:40:03	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x23bba3…
11-07 02:18:42	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x09e0c6…
11-07 02:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc4abfc…
11-07 01:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbd8b50…
11-07 01:42:33	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x18a77c…
11-07 01:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdc4550…
11-07 01:33:12	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe7de85…
11-07 01:13:33	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xacbf1c…
11-07 01:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2ebd20…
11-07 00:41:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6b9dbd…
11-07 00:23:28	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x08f0c9…
11-07 00:14:07	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x15fdcb…
11-06 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x516467…
11-06 23:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x01d1f2…
11-06 23:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb6dd5d…
11-06 23:13:21	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x58d3a4…
11-06 22:43:03	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xeff01a…