Half-Grandmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$3.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 04-24 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$4

Politics

31% 100% +$6

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

5% 50% +$8

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia join the board of peace	10	$459	332	332	+0	open	—	02-03 04:17
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	5	$391	215	215	+0	open	—	03-25 23:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$219	149	149	+0	open	—	03-04 21:54
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	04-01 22:18
penguin listed on binance by march 31	5	$114	78	78	+0	open	—	01-30 06:06
will brazil join the board of peace	3	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	02-02 22:38
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$68	81	0	+81	open	—	02-18 17:36
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$66	43	43	+0	Yes	+$6	02-24 13:48
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	02-24 13:48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	01-30 03:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$59	56	56	+0	open	—	03-02 14:55
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$54	35	35	+0	open	—	03-25 23:47
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$53	49	49	+0	open	—	01-29 01:53
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	01-26 02:42
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	02-13 00:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$42	113	25	+88	open	—	03-09 23:44
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	2	$40	65	0	+65	open	—	01-23 20:09
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$39	74	74	+0	open	—	01-26 04:55
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	3	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	01-29 01:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$36	65	42	+23	open	—	02-12 19:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$31	65	65	+0	open	—	01-26 21:48
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$30	85	0	+85	open	—	01-23 04:25
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	1	$30	79	0	+79	open	—	02-13 05:11
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	04-13 21:52
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	4	$29	148	148	+0	open	—	03-17 22:30
nothing ever happens january 581	3	$28	69	0	+69	open	—	01-30 06:03
will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	3	$27	34	0	+34	open	—	01-28 19:35
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	02-19 19:18
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$25	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-12 20:22
will trump say corn during iowa speech 541	4	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	01-27 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc2ee8c…
04-24 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x53fc19…
04-24 21:31:14	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x3ae3eb…
04-24 21:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6bb759…
04-24 21:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6fdd7d…
04-23 04:00:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x020ea2…
04-23 03:41:48	btc updown 5m 1776915600	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6238a9…
04-23 03:38:26	btc updown 5m 1776915300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa352a9…
04-23 03:34:16	btc updown 5m 1776915000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce23b8…
04-23 03:28:58	btc updown 5m 1776914700	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd2b8b0…
04-23 00:12:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x266507…
04-23 00:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x938c9a…
04-22 23:49:30	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x443c6c…
04-22 23:48:30	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x42481d…
04-21 22:34:40	Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf28d0d…
04-13 21:52:31	will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x54e022…
04-13 21:52:01	will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt4 and 3pt6	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x9d3980…
04-07 14:49:51	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbeafb9…
04-07 03:29:13	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x345562…
04-07 03:04:47	btc updown 5m 1775530800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5320e6…
04-07 03:00:41	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x04016e…
04-02 05:04:31	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5e294a…
04-01 22:53:13	will trump say obama during address to the nation 925 698	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc771ff…
04-01 22:53:05	will trump say qatar during address to the nation 244 817	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdc19eb…
04-01 22:52:47	will trump say peace through strength during address to the nation	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1b1f66…
04-01 22:52:39	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x542ece…
04-01 22:52:23	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x54d5f7…
04-01 22:51:37	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4206a7…
04-01 22:51:27	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x80ff9a…
04-01 22:51:03	will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x686fa6…
04-01 22:18:57	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xbc68b4…
04-01 22:18:07	will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x6927cb…
03-30 04:53:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x54aa69…
03-26 23:36:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xba4755…
03-25 23:47:25	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x789b72…
03-25 23:47:17	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	215	98¢	$211	0x6bf094…
03-18 15:18:21	will powell say speculate or speculation during march press conference	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x557524…
03-17 22:30:17	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	148	10¢	$15	0x5002ff…
03-17 01:02:47	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x039b90…
03-17 01:02:39	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4ca5e9…
03-17 01:02:31	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x8b8524…
03-17 01:02:05	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb0fa28…
03-16 23:10:41	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x43461a…
03-16 23:06:13	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x3b4b3d…
03-16 20:49:39	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x82fe95…
03-16 20:35:51	will trump post strait of hormuz on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc32a69…
03-16 20:33:31	will trump say affair this week march 22	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xfb9c39…
03-16 17:00:53	will trump say egghead this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa070b5…
03-16 17:00:17	will trump say affair this week march 22	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3130b4…
03-16 17:00:13	will trump say wind or solar this week march 22	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x253eb9…
03-16 17:00:03	will trump say roadside bomb this week march 22	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe1c497…
03-16 16:59:55	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xeae74d…
03-16 05:47:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2a8f9a…
03-16 05:43:13	crint mys bhr 2026 03 15	Malaysia	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xad3435…
03-16 05:05:09	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xaa460f…
03-15 21:11:09	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xefe342…
03-15 19:25:27	arg bel tal 2026 03 15 tal	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa9575f…
03-14 19:20:11	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x614895…
03-14 19:07:45	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3b4f29…
03-14 18:46:35	will starmer say u turn during the next prime ministers questions event 972	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7ceb37…
03-14 18:46:19	will starmer say middle east during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdd12c1…
03-14 18:44:59	will netflix be said at the oscars	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe0974d…
03-14 18:43:21	will powell say pandemic during march press conference 478 338	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd2906b…
03-14 18:43:05	will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c4b54…
03-14 18:42:55	will powell say food or energy 3 times during march press conference	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0c96ff…
03-14 18:42:47	will powell say inflation 50 times during march press conference	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbff6db…
03-14 16:48:33	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xdd9218…
03-14 15:51:41	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 b04	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xeb3ad5…
03-14 01:26:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x99bee2…
03-14 01:23:53	lal mad get 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9592c5…
03-14 01:23:17	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 b04	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x965b2a…
03-14 01:21:51	nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	Pacers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xadd171…
03-14 00:09:43	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	286	1¢	$2	0x3f7e1f…
03-13 20:05:59	sea tor par 2026 03 13 tor	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x09be11…
03-13 19:52:45	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x816ffd…
03-13 19:11:07	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb17906…
03-13 19:03:11	sea com rom 2026 03 15 rom	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x489c70…
03-13 19:02:51	sea int ata 2026 03 14 int	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xf56fdc…
03-13 19:02:37	sea int ata 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18ceac…
03-13 19:02:25	sea tor par 2026 03 13 tor	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb25c7b…
03-13 00:25:07	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb230b1…
03-13 00:24:35	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe9d537…
03-13 00:24:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5f8a59…
03-13 00:23:45	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0xc1bd28…
03-13 00:22:15	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x0d476f…
03-12 18:35:39	Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xacf757…
03-12 17:24:19	uel cel4 lyo1 2026 03 12 lyo1	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x970ce9…
03-12 17:23:43	uel bol1 rom1 2026 03 12 rom1	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e0ed2…
03-12 17:23:33	uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 por1	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x986062…
03-12 15:05:41	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7b638c…
03-12 04:52:59	wta tararud zakharo 2026 03 12	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac5442…
03-12 04:52:25	wta monnet salkova 2026 03 12	Dominika Salkova	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x743dbd…
03-12 04:51:27	will trump say army or navy during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9e6238…
03-12 04:51:17	will trump say where are you during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3b4aa7…
03-12 04:51:07	will trump say state of the union or state of union during womens history month event	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x090593…
03-12 04:50:57	will trump say soccer or football during womens history month event	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf8b7cd…
03-12 04:50:51	will trump say iran during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd3a83b…
03-12 04:50:47	will trump say trump 3 times during womens history month event	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x726c3c…
03-12 04:50:43	will trump say beautiful 10 times during womens history month event	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xffd515…
03-12 04:50:33	will trump say job 25 times during womens history month event	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x4a6e81…