Half-Grandmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

Trades

553

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-18 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$4

Politics

29% 100% +$6

Sports

9% 50% +$8

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+59	$19	29¢	$17	$-2	07-18 05:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia join the board of peace	10	$459	332	332	+0	open	—	02-03 04:17
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	5	$391	215	215	+0	open	—	03-25 23:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$219	149	149	+0	open	—	03-04 21:54
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	04-01 22:18
penguin listed on binance by march 31	5	$114	78	78	+0	open	—	01-30 06:06
will brazil join the board of peace	3	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	02-02 22:38
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$68	81	0	+81	open	—	02-18 17:36
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$66	43	43	+0	Yes	+$6	02-24 13:48
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	02-24 13:48
will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	8	$63	130	130	+0	open	—	07-12 00:27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	01-30 03:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$59	56	56	+0	open	—	03-02 14:55
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$54	35	35	+0	open	—	03-25 23:47
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$53	49	49	+0	open	—	01-29 01:53
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	01-26 02:42
will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	07-11 20:45
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	02-13 00:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$42	113	25	+88	open	—	03-09 23:44
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	2	$40	65	0	+65	open	—	01-23 20:09
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$39	74	74	+0	open	—	01-26 04:55
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$38	82	0	+82	open	—	07-14 22:59
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	3	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	01-29 01:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$36	65	42	+23	open	—	02-12 19:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$31	65	65	+0	open	—	01-26 21:48
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$30	85	0	+85	open	—	01-23 04:25
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	1	$30	79	0	+79	open	—	02-13 05:11
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	07-01 21:54
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	04-13 21:52
will julian alvarez score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411104	3	$29	86	86	+0	open	—	07-15 19:01
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	4	$29	148	148	+0	open	—	03-17 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 03:16:01	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	56	35¢	$19	0x92a659…
07-18 05:06:55	miguel daz canel out as president of cuba by december 31	Yes	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x067b64…
07-18 05:06:45	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0xe98126…
07-17 03:45:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5a0ad3…
07-15 19:01:11	will julian alvarez score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411104	Yes	SELL	61	15¢	$9	0x56fe3c…
07-14 23:52:35	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xade74f…
07-14 23:52:20	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x502c32…
07-14 22:59:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	82	46¢	$38	0x9487cb…
07-12 03:37:28	will julian alvarez score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411104	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x9460a6…
07-12 00:27:46	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xc91cc5…
07-11 20:45:07	will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x5499b8…
07-11 03:41:44	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x85e568…
07-09 18:48:32	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x1a4aff…
07-09 10:16:04	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xa7121f…
07-09 10:15:20	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2a0a3d…
07-09 02:51:41	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x9ac48e…
07-08 18:37:47	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	SELL	68	25¢	$17	0xddeb51…
07-07 06:13:59	will julian alvarez score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411104	Yes	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0xc28ce9…
07-07 06:13:46	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xdf8956…
07-07 06:13:14	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x723fa3…
07-07 01:59:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x4a2903…
07-06 21:44:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8cde4d…
07-03 01:59:22	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xee28cd…
07-03 01:59:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xb5d8ba…
07-03 01:58:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf30d01…
07-01 21:54:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x047796…
07-01 21:52:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0dce52…
06-30 05:06:04	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfd202a…
06-30 04:59:58	will marquinhos score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6ef461…
06-30 04:54:43	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Ronaldo	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc9d8d5…
06-30 04:54:37	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Ronaldo	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4782b3…
06-30 03:41:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x73b2b8…
06-29 22:57:13	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x15c8c1…
06-26 20:49:56	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x25b020…
06-23 04:05:35	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6a5e05…
06-23 03:54:08	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Ronaldo	BUY	267	1¢	$4	0x298d65…
06-23 03:51:28	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Ronaldo	BUY	267	1¢	$4	0xaf5067…
06-15 23:09:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xfc61e0…
04-24 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc2ee8c…
04-24 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x53fc19…
04-24 21:31:14	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x3ae3eb…
04-24 21:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6bb759…
04-24 21:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6fdd7d…
04-23 04:00:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x020ea2…
04-23 03:41:48	btc updown 5m 1776915600	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6238a9…
04-23 03:38:26	btc updown 5m 1776915300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa352a9…
04-23 03:34:16	btc updown 5m 1776915000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce23b8…
04-23 03:28:58	btc updown 5m 1776914700	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd2b8b0…
04-23 00:12:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x266507…
04-23 00:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x938c9a…
04-22 23:49:30	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x443c6c…
04-22 23:48:30	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x42481d…
04-21 22:34:40	Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf28d0d…
04-13 21:52:31	will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x54e022…
04-13 21:52:01	will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt4 and 3pt6	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x9d3980…
04-07 14:49:51	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbeafb9…
04-07 03:29:13	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x345562…
04-07 03:04:47	btc updown 5m 1775530800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5320e6…
04-07 03:00:41	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x04016e…
04-02 05:04:31	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5e294a…
04-01 22:53:13	will trump say obama during address to the nation 925 698	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc771ff…
04-01 22:53:05	will trump say qatar during address to the nation 244 817	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdc19eb…
04-01 22:52:47	will trump say peace through strength during address to the nation	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1b1f66…
04-01 22:52:39	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x542ece…
04-01 22:52:23	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x54d5f7…
04-01 22:51:37	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4206a7…
04-01 22:51:27	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x80ff9a…
04-01 22:51:03	will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x686fa6…
04-01 22:18:57	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xbc68b4…
04-01 22:18:07	will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x6927cb…
03-30 04:53:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x54aa69…
03-26 23:36:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xba4755…
03-25 23:47:25	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x789b72…
03-25 23:47:17	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	215	98¢	$211	0x6bf094…
03-18 15:18:21	will powell say speculate or speculation during march press conference	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x557524…
03-17 22:30:17	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	148	10¢	$15	0x5002ff…
03-17 01:02:47	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x039b90…
03-17 01:02:39	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4ca5e9…
03-17 01:02:31	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x8b8524…
03-17 01:02:05	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb0fa28…
03-16 23:10:41	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x43461a…
03-16 23:06:13	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x3b4b3d…
03-16 20:49:39	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x82fe95…
03-16 20:35:51	will trump post strait of hormuz on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc32a69…
03-16 20:33:31	will trump say affair this week march 22	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xfb9c39…
03-16 17:00:53	will trump say egghead this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa070b5…
03-16 17:00:17	will trump say affair this week march 22	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3130b4…
03-16 17:00:13	will trump say wind or solar this week march 22	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x253eb9…
03-16 17:00:03	will trump say roadside bomb this week march 22	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe1c497…
03-16 16:59:55	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xeae74d…
03-16 05:47:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2a8f9a…
03-16 05:43:13	crint mys bhr 2026 03 15	Malaysia	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xad3435…
03-16 05:05:09	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xaa460f…
03-15 21:11:09	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xefe342…
03-15 19:25:27	arg bel tal 2026 03 15 tal	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa9575f…
03-14 19:20:11	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x614895…
03-14 19:07:45	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3b4f29…
03-14 18:46:35	will starmer say u turn during the next prime ministers questions event 972	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7ceb37…
03-14 18:46:19	will starmer say middle east during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdd12c1…
03-14 18:44:59	will netflix be said at the oscars	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe0974d…