Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
19.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,822
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$11
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-01 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
57% 0% $-25
Politics
41% 33% $-10
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -43 $-6 10¢ $-4 +$2 05-30 16:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +8 $8 30¢ $2 $-5 06-28 09:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +16 $2 14¢ $2 $-0 06-30 21:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +34 $1 $1 +$1 06-30 11:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-29 13:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-25 13:54
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 08:57