Dizzy-Fedora — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.27K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

396

Trades

2,142

lifetime

Volume

$170.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$497

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 11-10 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

99% 85% -$2,207

Politics

1% 100% +$136

Crypto

0% 0% -$194

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+517	$499	96¢	$497	-$2	11-10 22:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?	6	$4.4K	2,206	2,204	+2	No	+$41	04-25 02:33
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 12c	13	$3.2K	1,624	1,622	+2	No	+$38	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c	13	$3.0K	1,527	1,526	+1	No	+$30	04-23 03:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 16c	2	$3.0K	1,514	1,513	+0	No	+$6	04-20 09:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	20	$2.7K	1,220	1,489	-269	No	+$30	04-24 01:29
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 27c	6	$2.3K	1,269	1,103	+165	No	+$23	04-17 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	30	$2.3K	2,231	2,227	+5	No	-$1,378	04-25 04:15
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 19c	5	$2.2K	1,130	1,128	+1	No	+$28	04-18 03:00
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 29c	61	$2.2K	1,130	1,126	+5	Yes	+$70	04-19 10:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 17c	3	$2.1K	1,071	1,071	+0	No	+$5	04-19 00:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 58 59f	44	$2.1K	1,280	1,279	+1	No	-$402	04-18 16:55
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 24c	4	$1.9K	978	978	+1	Yes	+$11	04-02 16:06
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 26c	7	$1.9K	968	968	+0	No	+$2	04-12 12:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 29c	33	$1.9K	966	964	+1	Yes	+$27	04-17 10:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 20c	8	$1.9K	1,614	300	+1,314	No	+$34	04-16 02:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 18c	5	$1.8K	924	923	+1	No	+$25	04-18 02:30
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	28	$1.7K	889	888	+0	Yes	+$7	04-21 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	50	$1.7K	958	958	+0	Yes	+$55	05-06 00:15
highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 24c	15	$1.7K	1,275	439	+835	No	+$26	04-17 05:09
highest temperature in hong kong on april 4 2026 26c	7	$1.6K	817	816	+1	Yes	+$15	04-05 01:29
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 18c	3	$1.6K	792	791	+0	No	+$4	04-14 01:40
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 14 2026 28c	6	$1.6K	1,602	0	+1,602	No	+$28	04-14 02:08
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 18c	1	$1.4K	1,478	0	+1,478	No	+$40	04-13 00:51
highest temperature in milan on april 11 2026 21c	1	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	Yes	+$2	04-11 16:30
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 13c	5	$1.4K	714	713	+1	No	+$12	04-21 03:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 16c	6	$1.4K	794	794	+0	No	-$161	04-17 01:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 14c	10	$1.4K	701	701	+0	No	+$32	04-22 05:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 19c	13	$1.3K	655	695	-41	No	+$24	04-24 02:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 19c	8	$1.3K	668	667	+0	No	+$10	04-14 01:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.3K	1,874	1,874	+0	No	-$637	09-11 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 22:47:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	517	96¢	$499	0xb4fa09…
11-02 23:51:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xe8e9bb…
10-11 05:43:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	476	84¢	$400	0x06dae0…
09-13 00:44:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	403	80¢	$322	0xf1dbd1…
09-11 14:06:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,874	18¢	$337	0x532882…
08-30 14:57:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	874	52¢	$455	0x9cb1fb…
08-30 14:52:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x68d54d…
06-02 05:26:59	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0xc3bd60…
06-02 05:23:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x813fda…
06-01 13:14:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	71¢	$74	0xfe06e9…
06-01 13:13:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	262	29¢	$77	0xee7bdc…
05-30 01:43:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	262	75¢	$197	0x4270c3…
05-28 12:54:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xe1b51a…
05-28 12:48:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x4d3e5b…
05-28 12:48:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9a691f…
05-28 12:40:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0xa9b1ff…
05-28 12:32:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x575dec…
05-28 12:31:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x68d53a…
05-28 12:31:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3124f0…
05-28 11:55:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x114a48…
05-28 11:55:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x95eb2b…
05-28 11:50:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xb79966…
05-28 11:50:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb50512…
05-28 11:50:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x9f063f…
05-28 11:50:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x74c2c1…
05-28 11:50:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4d5222…
05-28 11:50:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xc0c0d7…
05-28 11:50:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5de140…
05-28 11:50:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x9c596e…
05-28 11:50:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x516a84…
05-28 11:43:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x58e6d6…
05-28 11:43:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x44b192…
05-28 11:38:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xbb1393…
05-28 11:38:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x99cd3a…
05-28 11:17:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	106	10¢	$11	0x515617…
05-28 04:06:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0xac1d50…
05-27 14:08:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x72ce56…
05-27 14:07:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x292dff…
05-27 14:07:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0f2a21…
05-27 11:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0xe5fa85…
05-27 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x125cd9…
05-27 07:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xdf3a5e…
05-27 07:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	168	96¢	$161	0x143bd7…
05-27 05:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	232	70¢	$163	0x7018af…
05-27 05:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	168	60¢	$101	0xff76fc…
05-27 05:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xebe01c…
05-27 05:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe00668…
05-27 05:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d041b…
05-27 05:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x313d40…
05-27 05:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x80abe5…
05-27 05:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x7ac65d…
05-27 04:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xfc4a97…
05-27 02:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	SELL	206	7¢	$15	0x7db789…
05-27 01:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xc8b4af…
05-27 01:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x81b5ce…
05-27 01:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xf13ecb…
05-27 01:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$29	0xd2b703…
05-26 15:56:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	379	96¢	$363	0x5644a3…
05-26 15:02:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xbfc69c…
05-26 15:02:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0xb80c5d…
05-26 15:00:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xb7d95a…
05-26 14:58:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x7a4efe…
05-26 14:26:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x269e37…
05-26 14:26:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x77d2a3…
05-26 14:11:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x99336e…
05-26 14:11:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0xd2321b…
05-26 14:11:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x79f836…
05-26 14:10:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0xe300ef…
05-26 14:10:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x89d6c4…
05-26 14:09:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xedc7d6…
05-26 14:08:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8924ba…
05-26 14:08:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x270089…
05-26 14:03:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x19c582…
05-26 13:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x10e785…
05-26 11:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x3ea4cd…
05-26 11:15:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x78a5cd…
05-26 11:15:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa56b06…
05-26 11:15:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3757d1…
05-26 11:15:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x49544d…
05-26 11:12:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa1e57d…
05-26 10:16:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x44fe4a…
05-26 08:17:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	138	97¢	$135	0xb2656a…
05-26 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0xf60fa9…
05-26 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	SELL	162	5¢	$8	0x4e73e3…
05-26 06:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0xd0e5b5…
05-26 06:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x99a603…
05-26 06:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x50cc20…
05-26 06:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x71ceae…
05-26 06:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8d91fd…
05-26 03:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	106	88¢	$93	0xd16167…
05-26 03:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0x3517ec…
05-26 03:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x1262d2…
05-26 03:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x25a2af…
05-25 23:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7f5c93…
05-25 15:25:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	220	94¢	$206	0x516891…
05-25 15:14:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2fbd4e…
05-25 14:35:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x8f6528…
05-25 14:34:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xed965c…
05-25 14:34:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf01659…
05-25 14:28:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xac6aa6…