Hard-Focus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

189

Trades

4,813

lifetime

Volume

$168.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-29 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 38% +$241

Other

28% 0% $-80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fif sen per 2026 03 28 sen	2	$3.8K	2,298	2,298	+0	open	—	03-28 17:51
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$3.7K	2,381	2,381	+0	open	—	03-18 19:04
arg new gye 2026 03 21 new	3	$3.3K	2,382	2,382	+0	open	—	03-21 23:02
btc updown 4h 1773403200	3	$2.7K	2,195	2,170	+25	open	—	03-13 15:55
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 11am et	4	$2.6K	3,615	1,837	+1,778	open	—	03-19 15:46
btc updown 4h 1773417600	7	$2.2K	2,626	1,654	+972	open	—	03-13 18:15
fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	1	$2.0K	3,846	0	+3,846	open	—	03-28 17:55
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$1.9K	1,538	1,538	+0	open	—	03-11 21:36
fif grc par 2026 03 27 par	3	$1.8K	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	03-27 21:56
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	1	$1.8K	2,638	0	+2,638	open	—	03-31 17:50
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	2	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-26 18:38
bitcoin up or down march 13 12pm et	9	$1.6K	3,167	1,308	+1,859	open	—	03-13 16:53
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2pm et	5	$1.5K	1,401	1,394	+7	open	—	03-16 19:04
atp michels sinner 2026 03 24	2	$1.5K	817	817	+0	open	—	03-24 22:48
bitcoin up or down march 14 8am et	4	$1.3K	1,340	1,335	+4	open	—	03-14 13:06
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$1.3K	1,471	1,471	+0	open	—	03-17 20:39
uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	2	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-26 21:43
fif col hrv 2026 03 26 col	3	$1.2K	1,304	1,304	+0	open	—	03-26 22:26
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 7am et	8	$1.1K	4,774	813	+3,961	open	—	03-19 11:57
btc updown 15m 1773879300	2	$1.1K	1,134	1,133	+2	open	—	03-19 00:29
sud gre rie 2026 04 14 gre	10	$1.1K	799	785	+14	open	—	04-14 23:59
btc updown 4h 1773662400	4	$1.1K	964	952	+12	open	—	03-16 15:50
bitcoin up or down march 14 9am et	5	$942	3,023	1,499	+1,525	open	—	03-14 13:45
bitcoin up or down march 14 11am et	3	$870	733	729	+4	open	—	03-14 18:14
fif nor che 2026 03 31 nor	2	$802	990	990	+0	open	—	03-31 17:27
btc updown 15m 1773950400	2	$755	1,726	0	+1,726	open	—	03-19 20:12
btc updown 4h 1773936000	3	$738	2,744	0	+2,744	open	—	03-19 18:28
lib cp cor 2026 04 09 cor	2	$729	541	530	+11	open	—	04-10 01:48
arg aaj pla 2026 03 22 pla	2	$715	3,916	0	+3,916	open	—	03-22 23:19
fif col fra 2026 03 29 col	1	$700	3,648	0	+3,648	open	—	03-29 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 12:37:23	btc updown 5m 1782736800	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x64cf12…
06-17 18:16:08	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Down	BUY	51	21¢	$11	0x3cd754…
06-17 18:15:47	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$12	0xe1d3bc…
06-17 18:15:08	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x27c295…
06-17 18:02:08	btc updown 5m 1781719500	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xa7147d…
06-17 18:01:50	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	188	48¢	$90	0x4b7850…
06-17 13:24:49	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc2b3e9…
06-02 00:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	29¢	$30	0x203085…
06-02 00:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x3fa177…
06-02 00:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x6744db…
06-02 00:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x925900…
06-02 00:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbcd619…
06-02 00:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x74f88f…
06-02 00:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	137	26¢	$35	0xb23624…
06-02 00:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x7065dd…
06-02 00:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x07eabc…
06-02 00:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x933b0d…
06-01 23:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x63195b…
06-01 23:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0xf1a71d…
06-01 23:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0xf44b18…
06-01 23:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x698443…
06-01 23:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x6c1d7e…
06-01 23:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x070600…
06-01 23:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xba3c51…
06-01 23:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x894ecb…
06-01 23:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0xe00737…
06-01 23:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0xe7d7d0…
06-01 23:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xfbedd2…
06-01 23:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0x44bd1e…
06-01 23:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	94	43¢	$40	0xa70515…
06-01 23:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x565bde…
06-01 23:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x38c025…
06-01 23:42:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xdcac8d…
06-01 23:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x7ef79c…
06-01 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x3725d8…
06-01 23:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0xb80406…
06-01 23:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfb26eb…
06-01 23:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xe67e95…
06-01 23:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x58ab9a…
06-01 23:31:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xfb39f8…
06-01 23:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e7183…
06-01 23:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x44fc59…
06-01 23:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x45ee63…
06-01 23:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x01510b…
06-01 23:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x6cfa0f…
06-01 23:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x409bde…
06-01 23:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x974158…
06-01 23:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x90a04c…
06-01 23:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xbe9f95…
06-01 22:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8dff81…
06-01 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xdabf61…
06-01 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xa8dd0d…
06-01 22:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0ce6c6…
06-01 22:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6c0b0d…
06-01 22:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x878dd1…
06-01 22:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0x5f9632…
06-01 22:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7a9a44…
06-01 22:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x125e4c…
06-01 22:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xf7af70…
06-01 22:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x442d13…
06-01 22:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x2abe97…
06-01 22:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xa277de…
06-01 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0xcec125…
06-01 22:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	269	9¢	$23	0xd0ad9e…
06-01 22:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	128	31¢	$40	0x477b49…
06-01 22:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x7415c9…
06-01 21:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	54	87¢	$46	0xc93931…
06-01 21:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0x532ae4…
06-01 21:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	239	92¢	$220	0x6755c1…
06-01 21:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0x722fe9…
06-01 21:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	319	35¢	$112	0x264de4…
06-01 21:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x4ccbd8…
06-01 21:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x4f8f9b…
06-01 21:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xaa9a62…
06-01 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x0c5d73…
06-01 21:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x144793…
06-01 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b914c…
06-01 21:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa0441a…
06-01 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x3f5490…
06-01 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x20fde9…
06-01 21:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8135e7…
06-01 21:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x64f6ba…
06-01 21:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x58313a…
06-01 21:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb87804…
06-01 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xafa15b…
06-01 21:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xee7088…
06-01 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x045b09…
06-01 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x9d4229…
06-01 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	75	23¢	$17	0x5dd67c…
06-01 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xe28b48…
06-01 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x97a628…
06-01 19:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	67¢	$29	0xeabd64…
06-01 19:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	73¢	$32	0x5dc0ab…
06-01 19:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xe722f2…
06-01 19:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x3645e3…
06-01 19:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x4966c9…
06-01 18:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1ff38d…
06-01 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x041d08…
06-01 18:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6020c8…
06-01 18:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xd6d2a6…