Potable-Tiara — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

2,458

Trades

6,654

lifetime

Volume

$204.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-03 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 93% +$222

Politics

4% 33% -$63

Sports

2% 50% +$18

Other

2% 55% -$30

Tech

0% 50% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$1.6K	856	856	+0	No	+$3	05-26 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	67	$1.5K	1,245	1,245	+0	Down	+$541	05-28 10:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	45	$1.4K	2,183	2,183	+0	No	+$11	05-29 16:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	48	$1.3K	1,761	1,761	+0	No	-$14	05-29 15:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.2K	1,291	1,291	+0	No	-$51	05-20 20:27
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$0	05-22 19:13
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	16	$1000	862	862	+0	No	-$14	05-16 21:10
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$960	1,000	1,000	+0	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-19 14:46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	21	$896	1,832	1,832	+0	No	+$2	05-28 23:40
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	2	$682	1,066	1,066	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$0	05-24 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	33	$616	1,163	0	+1,163	Down	-$173	05-27 12:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	2	$595	425	425	+0	No	+$0	05-23 10:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$528	406	406	+0	No	+$0	05-21 18:56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	17	$518	964	964	+0	No	+$3	05-29 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$515	341	341	+0	Down	+$115	05-28 10:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	5	$431	400	400	+0	open	—	05-27 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$416	323	323	+0	Up	+$216	05-28 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	34	$412	315	315	+0	Up	+$205	05-25 10:35
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$410	1,524	1,524	+0	No	-$37	05-29 15:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$406	383	383	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	8	$394	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	05-26 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	12	$364	252	252	+0	Up	+$130	05-29 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	22	$359	274	217	+57	Up	+$67	05-29 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	17	$358	719	0	+719	Up	-$358	05-30 08:59
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	53	$314	300	200	+100	Up	+$22	05-24 10:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$313	950	950	+0	open	—	05-29 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$307	304	152	+152	Up	-$58	05-27 11:59
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	13	$305	295	295	+0	No	-$19	05-29 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$304	8,352	0	+8,352	Down	-$304	05-30 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$300	369	0	+369	Down	+$69	05-28 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 02:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf9fa0b…
06-30 10:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x8c4bb4…
06-30 10:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x955cfc…
06-30 10:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x03aee1…
06-30 10:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x946f7a…
06-14 08:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xe9ee78…
06-14 08:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x476246…
06-14 08:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x38a9f3…
06-14 08:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x2719f3…
06-14 08:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbd834c…
05-30 09:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf44415…
05-30 09:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	179	82¢	$147	0x46ddb7…
05-30 09:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x287e28…
05-30 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xc133d0…
05-30 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x88bd6b…
05-30 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb97253…
05-30 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	69	37¢	$25	0x53178a…
05-30 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x26d4af…
05-30 08:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4dffb0…
05-30 08:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1eda39…
05-30 08:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xb6f6da…
05-30 08:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6283f0…
05-30 08:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0xf293e3…
05-30 08:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xc238ff…
05-30 08:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	103	48¢	$49	0x4c2a42…
05-30 08:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3a7b7b…
05-30 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xdcd243…
05-30 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	72	59¢	$42	0xcbb8b7…
05-30 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x171699…
05-30 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	108	56¢	$60	0x12076f…
05-30 08:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x2a7845…
05-30 08:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x875fe6…
05-30 08:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7,963	1¢	$80	0x3a6542…
05-30 08:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xf0043a…
05-30 08:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	206	60¢	$123	0xfb9546…
05-30 07:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xb27630…
05-30 07:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xff8add…
05-30 07:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x68e8e1…
05-30 07:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0xaa0a36…
05-30 06:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x347a7b…
05-30 06:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xea0f4b…
05-30 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xd022b9…
05-30 05:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6fda38…
05-30 04:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x60297b…
05-30 04:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc4f7ed…
05-30 04:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xc744e3…
05-30 04:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x24312f…
05-30 01:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x72ce4e…
05-30 01:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x8c3794…
05-29 23:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x73d9d1…
05-29 23:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb1ebfc…
05-29 23:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x5f68e4…
05-29 23:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x58e5ee…
05-29 23:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x5e4780…
05-29 23:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xd6b9ec…
05-29 23:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xaca7ed…
05-29 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0x489c38…
05-29 23:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x9a4509…
05-29 23:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xbaabcf…
05-29 23:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x6f26c0…
05-29 23:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0xb8930c…
05-29 23:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x5131f6…
05-29 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x95206f…
05-29 23:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x821078…
05-29 23:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xdcd8e7…
05-29 23:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0x8f5b32…
05-29 23:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x82b6cd…
05-29 23:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0xdb08c7…
05-29 22:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x34e880…
05-29 22:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x41fbae…
05-29 22:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x1a90d8…
05-29 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xf801a1…
05-29 22:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x65f317…
05-29 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x48e7f0…
05-29 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x2e2d8f…
05-29 22:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf8f2bf…
05-29 22:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xca15e9…
05-29 22:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xd433b6…
05-29 22:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0xa04c9a…
05-29 22:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xc76d89…
05-29 21:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xc90a24…
05-29 21:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x644cc6…
05-29 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x85c7c1…
05-29 21:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x5768c6…
05-29 21:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	79¢	$30	0x5a6508…
05-29 21:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x1a50f3…
05-29 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0x7b0831…
05-29 21:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x2a0329…
05-29 21:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0x0ee4aa…
05-29 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0xf2b9a1…
05-29 21:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x82c1bc…
05-29 21:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x168aa7…
05-29 21:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x7afda8…
05-29 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x533bfc…
05-29 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xf66c09…
05-29 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$29	0x72631e…
05-29 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x24385e…
05-29 20:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x01e5d3…
05-29 20:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x902474…
05-29 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x5cfb5f…