Apprehensive-Farm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$843

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-18 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 52% +$841

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	29	$173	400	0	+400	Up	+$227	04-10 05:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:00 UTC	27	$160	400	300	+100	Up	+$10	01-14 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:25 UTC	2	$136	100	100	+0	Down	+$30	04-10 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:10 UTC	8	$136	100	100	+0	Down	+$54	04-10 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	12	$132	800	0	+800	Up	+$668	04-10 06:39
bitcoin up or down january 12 6am et	6	$132	68	68	+0	Up	+$1	01-12 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:45 UTC	5	$129	100	97	+3	Up	+$10	04-10 04:48
bitcoin up or down january 11 9pm et	6	$121	66	55	+11	Up	+$0	01-12 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	6	$112	350	0	+350	Up	-$112	06-18 05:56
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-12 01:00 UTC	5	$111	57	57	+0	Up	+$1	01-12 04:01
bitcoin up or down january 13 11pm et	5	$108	68	42	+26	Down	+$0	01-14 04:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:35 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	+$100	04-10 05:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-13 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:00 UTC	19	$87	153	0	+153	Down	+$66	04-10 03:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	40	$83	504	0	+504	Down	-$83	06-18 03:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 03:45 UTC	2	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	01-14 03:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-13 05:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 08:15 UTC	5	$77	233	78	+156	Down	-$30	01-14 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:30 UTC	23	$70	175	0	+175	Down	-$70	04-10 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:15 UTC	18	$70	497	0	+497	Up	-$70	04-10 03:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$1	03-23 13:09
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	03-13 00:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:05 UTC	3	$55	100	0	+100	Down	+$45	04-10 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 05:00 UTC	1	$54	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	01-12 05:14
bitcoin up or down january 12 10pm et	1	$53	53	0	+53	Up	+$0	01-13 03:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:45 UTC	8	$51	140	100	+40	Down	-$8	01-14 02:59
bitcoin up or down january 11 11pm et	26	$50	200	200	+0	Up	-$1	01-12 04:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:25 UTC	2	$45	142	0	+142	Down	-$45	04-08 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:40 UTC	1	$40	200	0	+200	Down	-$40	04-10 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 04:15 UTC	3	$40	100	0	+100	Up	-$40	06-18 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 05:56:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0xf247e5…
06-18 05:56:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xad5737…
06-18 05:56:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x7fc1a7…
06-18 05:56:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x511c37…
06-18 05:56:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xd509c5…
06-18 05:55:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x889025…
06-18 05:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xe9a0ab…
06-18 04:23:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x843bc7…
06-18 04:23:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xa88b00…
06-18 04:23:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0xfc0892…
06-18 03:07:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0x2a2422…
06-18 03:07:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x35b19e…
06-18 03:07:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xcd2b9f…
06-18 03:07:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xafa7d8…
06-18 03:07:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x8766b1…
06-18 03:07:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x24a44d…
06-18 03:07:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf505fe…
06-18 03:07:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7fb8b9…
06-18 03:07:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5d9e4d…
06-18 03:07:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x02be86…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xed919b…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0x8f3c5e…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x80d058…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6a6627…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x657b36…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6240a5…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x224b6c…
06-18 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x18be1a…
06-18 03:07:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc2330b…
06-18 03:07:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x5404e8…
06-18 03:07:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x1415d3…
06-18 03:07:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xddbe76…
06-18 03:07:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc26a6a…
06-18 03:07:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x585374…
06-18 03:07:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x2f7de7…
06-18 03:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x86bba4…
06-18 03:05:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xcca9bf…
06-18 03:05:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x6cac85…
06-18 03:05:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3e2f51…
06-18 03:05:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xb30fa9…
06-18 03:05:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x9662bf…
06-18 03:05:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x714259…
06-18 03:05:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x07f829…
06-18 03:05:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x98053a…
06-18 03:05:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xd64238…
06-18 03:05:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe0a176…
06-18 03:05:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x658abc…
06-18 03:05:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x4170f8…
06-18 03:05:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2b94d7…
05-13 05:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x74fe08…
05-13 05:48:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x364a1b…
04-10 06:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x55386e…
04-10 06:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x3cdeae…
04-10 06:38:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x018307…
04-10 06:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	88	12¢	$11	0xdbdf4a…
04-10 06:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0x4fcf38…
04-10 06:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x044ddd…
04-10 06:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	98	30¢	$29	0xa198f6…
04-10 06:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc4be5a…
04-10 06:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8a7675…
04-10 06:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8650bd…
04-10 06:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6f9294…
04-10 06:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0x1638a0…
04-10 05:39:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc1f260…
04-10 05:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xe3ddfb…
04-10 05:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x3ebf70…
04-10 05:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xf4941d…
04-10 05:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x48aeec…
04-10 05:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	52	43¢	$23	0xff882a…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xeef6ad…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xea5068…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdd1de7…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd0639a…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xce7931…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xbd8144…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x921b04…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x799531…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x733276…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x5ea8a9…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x47e88b…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0x4448a3…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x402a54…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0f361c…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0de88a…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x0c80f0…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x05ec66…
04-10 05:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x023339…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xd95906…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd62e0a…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc6da1c…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xab8ca8…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x93c627…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x895e20…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78490c…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5be79a…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2ed886…
04-10 05:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x219189…
04-10 05:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xaa917e…
04-10 04:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x8cbc01…
04-10 04:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x882483…