Wavy-Blowhole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$392

Unrealized P&L

-$80

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

223

Trades

579

lifetime

Volume

$6.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-24 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 27% +$116

Politics

11% 0% -$477

Other

1% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+567	$100	4¢	$20	-$80	10-23 23:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 06:15 UTC	3	$259	152	150	+1	Down	+$40	02-23 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	12	$220	742	173	+570	Up	-$40	10-23 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 05:00 UTC	3	$215	195	195	+1	Up	+$171	02-24 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:55 UTC	3	$179	161	160	+1	Up	+$139	02-22 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 06:30 UTC	4	$170	176	148	+29	Up	+$57	02-23 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	10	$168	199	116	+83	Up	+$41	10-23 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	11	$141	384	74	+311	Up	-$39	10-23 23:03
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	8	$137	7,539	3,649	+3,890	No	-$55	02-22 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:50 UTC	3	$119	101	100	+1	Up	+$80	02-22 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$108	83	83	+0	Down	+$58	10-23 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 06:50 UTC	3	$108	120	57	+63	Down	+$2	02-24 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$107	322	83	+239	Up	-$33	10-23 21:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$100	567	0	+567	open	—	10-23 23:14
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$99	6,188	0	+6,188	No	-$99	02-20 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 20:00 UTC	5	$97	82	82	+1	Up	+$61	02-24 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:50 UTC	5	$90	198	97	+100	Down	+$58	02-21 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$89	140	140	+0	Up	+$65	10-23 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:05 UTC	3	$88	130	84	+47	Up	+$18	02-22 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$80	145	0	+145	Down	+$65	10-23 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$77	361	0	+361	Down	+$284	10-23 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 06:40 UTC	2	$75	46	46	+1	Down	+$16	02-23 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	4	$73	71	66	+5	Up	+$62	04-20 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC	3	$69	74	53	+21	Down	+$36	02-21 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	9	$69	109	100	+9	Up	+$14	10-23 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:35 UTC	2	$67	58	57	+1	Up	+$37	02-22 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$66	159	0	+159	Down	-$66	10-23 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$65	63	53	+10	Down	+$11	10-24 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:15 UTC	4	$65	102	101	+1	Down	+$18	02-22 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:55 UTC	4	$65	63	62	+1	Down	+$25	02-22 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$65	117	84	+33	Down	+$5	10-23 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 06:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8a27ac…
10-24 06:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf1dbb2…
10-24 06:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xebd476…
10-24 06:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x687544…
10-24 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa60c34…
10-24 06:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x50b343…
10-24 06:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	53	72¢	$38	0xa6e824…
10-24 06:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc3119e…
10-24 06:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd05a64…
10-24 06:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd4ccb8…
10-24 06:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd2dcb8…
10-24 06:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5bf29b…
10-23 23:15:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	763	7¢	$51	0x69cb47…
10-23 23:14:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	567	18¢	$100	0x8bb9b4…
10-23 23:10:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xe65696…
10-23 23:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	82	31¢	$25	0x772935…
10-23 23:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x293d30…
10-23 23:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4fedfa…
10-23 23:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x31a349…
10-23 23:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x638cdc…
10-23 23:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5f0cbd…
10-23 23:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	74	69¢	$51	0x829971…
10-23 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc657fc…
10-23 23:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xefc42e…
10-23 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x83784b…
10-23 22:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x422b39…
10-23 22:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc5fd11…
10-23 22:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x67507c…
10-23 22:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x233e38…
10-23 22:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x02d4e4…
10-23 22:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc0af42…
10-23 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5c87fd…
10-23 22:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3b6b46…
10-23 22:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9b2881…
10-23 22:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x7f3854…
10-23 22:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x3d1efe…
10-23 22:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1861f8…
10-23 22:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x24f827…
10-23 22:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	128	54¢	$69	0xf3fd3c…
10-23 22:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x7e7904…
10-23 22:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xe71af5…
10-23 22:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x74ca05…
10-23 22:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6c3dfc…
10-23 22:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xb60c3b…
10-23 22:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xeed610…
10-23 22:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc2cbee…
10-23 22:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xf3358e…
10-23 22:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0a6949…
10-23 22:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x504dad…
10-23 22:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x29e711…
10-23 22:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7a0d5e…
10-23 22:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x578b31…
10-23 22:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5ddbf3…
10-23 22:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x595051…
10-23 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x205e58…
10-23 22:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa0e627…
10-23 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x35cace…
10-23 22:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf63769…
10-23 22:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x949c34…
10-23 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x4404b0…
10-23 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x5d417f…
10-23 22:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x88f8fd…
10-23 22:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x5729a2…
10-23 22:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd4b84e…
10-23 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x0fb225…
10-23 22:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x0bb093…
10-23 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x86b5be…
10-23 22:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1ef47d…
10-23 22:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbc3832…
10-23 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6b356b…
10-23 22:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe15ff5…
10-23 22:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x038c31…
10-23 22:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4d3a6b…
10-23 22:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x344201…
10-23 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd88a87…
10-23 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xfbd43f…
10-23 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xea2ce4…
10-23 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd39740…
10-23 22:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x03e45c…
10-23 22:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5a2a32…
10-23 22:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x21e8b7…
10-23 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0ad380…
10-23 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x77f4ad…
10-23 21:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x3898b2…
10-23 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xdb32e6…
10-23 21:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf7e3ba…
10-23 21:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	83	44¢	$37	0xbd3af3…
10-23 21:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x1bf58a…
10-23 21:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x198829…
10-23 21:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x30f864…
10-23 21:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x3684ff…
10-23 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0ad37c…
10-23 21:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x76491f…
10-23 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8f4c79…
10-23 21:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x023636…
10-23 21:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb9f029…
10-23 21:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9fb1a5…
10-23 21:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	240	10¢	$25	0x369218…
10-23 21:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4dfbef…
10-23 21:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcab74b…