Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$459

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$238

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-10 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

99% 59% +$1,011

Politics

0% 100% +$37

Crypto

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes		+814	$565	22¢	$175	-$390	10-08 17:22
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes		+221	$133	29¢	$64	-$69	09-24 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	27	$2.5K	2,192	1,973	+219	No	+$169	02-14 15:20
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	3	$1.6K	1,780	0	+1,780	Yes	+$214	09-15 01:16
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	50	$1.5K	1,820	200	+1,620	Yes	+$228	02-14 15:19
will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	3	$1.3K	1,475	0	+1,475	No	+$192	03-05 04:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$705	10-03 03:32
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$1.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	-$816	09-15 00:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.1K	1,351	0	+1,351	No	+$215	07-13 00:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	1	$1.0K	1,385	0	+1,385	Yes	+$377	09-20 17:53
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	4	$658	1,029	0	+1,029	No	+$371	03-13 09:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	2	$565	814	0	+814	open	—	10-08 17:22
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	19	$533	1,337	0	+1,337	Yes	+$804	05-04 00:19
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	2	$453	507	505	+2	No	-$19	03-23 23:56
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	26	$435	1,295	0	+1,295	No	-$435	05-05 03:56
will us gdp growth in 2025 be greater than 2pt5	11	$363	776	1,706	-929	No	+$149	01-23 19:59
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	1	$340	500	0	+500	Yes	+$160	03-23 00:28
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	2	$292	191	191	+0	No	+$1	07-13 00:29
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	5	$282	292	291	+1	Yes	-$160	03-18 01:42
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	1	$222	500	0	+500	Yes	+$278	10-05 00:10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	1	$216	500	0	+500	Yes	+$284	05-25 00:41
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 3pt0 and 3pt5	18	$191	528	533	-5	No	+$3	02-20 04:57
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	65	$177	499	0	+499	No	-$177	10-10 21:02
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$173	284	284	+0	No	-$99	03-23 23:56
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	1	$133	221	0	+221	open	—	09-24 00:24
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in january 965	1	$106	267	0	+267	Yes	+$161	02-11 12:43
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in january 418	1	$97	350	0	+350	No	-$97	02-11 12:44
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	6	$92	250	250	-0	No	+$17	02-20 02:07
will powell say balance sheet during march press conference	1	$76	100	0	+100	No	-$76	03-13 00:44
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt5 and 2pt0	1	$73	735	0	+735	No	-$73	02-20 02:09
will powell say supreme court during march press conference 816 383	1	$73	110	0	+110	No	+$37	03-13 00:47
will the us add between 50k and 75k jobs in february	1	$56	75	0	+75	No	+$19	03-05 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 21:02:04	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xb46c97…
10-10 21:02:04	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x6c2d86…
10-10 19:38:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x7ffd9d…
10-10 19:37:25	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x37c9c1…
10-10 19:31:34	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xda0831…
10-10 19:30:43	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x63b0ee…
10-10 19:22:19	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x817089…
10-10 19:21:34	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8ad37a…
10-10 19:14:24	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8b3456…
10-10 19:10:22	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x2c4bb1…
10-10 19:10:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1d5b08…
10-10 19:09:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xceb735…
10-10 19:04:31	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4c1b23…
10-10 19:03:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa46e2d…
10-10 19:02:51	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x7fd927…
10-10 18:59:03	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x692450…
10-10 18:56:43	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8be415…
10-10 18:54:52	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xcb530b…
10-10 18:53:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x72e5bb…
10-10 17:40:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb64020…
10-10 17:39:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf02784…
10-10 17:28:42	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc80fc9…
10-10 17:27:52	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x796b7e…
10-10 17:23:31	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xeed3c7…
10-10 17:14:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x06fa42…
10-10 17:06:42	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x883914…
10-10 16:57:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3c644d…
10-10 16:52:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xeb6eb3…
10-10 12:00:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xebf748…
10-10 11:29:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1ec2d4…
10-10 11:29:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x275ba0…
10-10 11:28:19	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x5e60e6…
10-10 11:25:42	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x91492c…
10-10 11:20:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6ae875…
10-10 11:11:33	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb96c45…
10-10 11:11:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa4106f…
10-10 11:09:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc76b40…
10-10 11:04:07	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x5a87fa…
10-10 10:58:43	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xcb2e67…
10-10 10:58:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x53b088…
10-10 10:55:55	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xff6809…
10-10 10:54:57	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x7d3250…
10-10 10:53:13	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x359de8…
10-10 10:49:25	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xeceda3…
10-10 10:35:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x16761a…
10-10 10:30:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x763d53…
10-10 03:56:13	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xf19d82…
10-08 17:32:05	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3dfe22…
10-08 17:31:27	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x38c5c0…
10-08 17:25:20	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf2e80c…
10-08 17:22:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	750	70¢	$525	0x10b6cf…
10-08 16:22:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x6e62a8…
10-08 15:43:12	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xccd0b7…
10-08 15:41:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3b8b60…
10-08 15:41:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x2f61b1…
10-08 15:41:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x18cc91…
10-08 15:35:03	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x48348c…
10-08 15:19:56	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc21263…
10-08 04:09:32	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x68b839…
10-07 19:57:49	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x97bbce…
10-07 19:56:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x303670…
10-07 19:52:47	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0x36830e…
10-07 09:06:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x99f648…
10-05 06:36:52	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x4dba63…
10-05 00:15:35	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x555875…
10-05 00:12:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x309648…
10-05 00:11:13	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	137	34¢	$47	0x4203ba…
10-05 00:10:56	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	500	44¢	$222	0xe1bde3…
10-03 03:32:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,325	18¢	$239	0xfc9ec3…
10-03 03:21:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	175	18¢	$31	0xe47e81…
09-24 00:26:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	65¢	$975	0x959c3f…
09-24 00:25:41	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt17 in september	Yes	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x237b92…
09-24 00:24:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	221	60¢	$133	0xce0b67…
09-20 17:53:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,385	73¢	$1,008	0xce2cd7…
09-15 01:16:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,430	88¢	$1,259	0x49517b…
09-15 01:03:54	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x1fb205…
09-15 00:48:27	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	88¢	$198	0x9ce8be…
09-15 00:00:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1,700	11¢	$187	0x437eb7…
07-15 23:56:52	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	58	81¢	$47	0xc7342b…
07-13 00:31:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	185	78¢	$145	0xaceac1…
07-13 00:29:28	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	SELL	191	77¢	$146	0xcc2d15…
07-07 00:39:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,166	85¢	$991	0x8b2019…
07-05 23:38:43	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,700	59¢	$1,003	0x4de84e…
05-25 00:41:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$216	0xc9d235…
05-13 00:01:24	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	191	77¢	$146	0xdf18b9…
05-05 03:56:40	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	384	33¢	$127	0xf33942…
05-04 02:11:44	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	116	33¢	$38	0x4e40d7…
05-04 00:19:40	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x624857…
05-04 00:19:30	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	816	42¢	$342	0x54e1cb…
05-04 00:18:00	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xda0218…
05-04 00:11:28	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	95	34¢	$32	0xb2908c…
05-03 10:17:20	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x97c497…
05-02 13:44:12	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x41d424…
05-02 08:22:46	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xda2924…
05-02 01:44:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcf14d3…
05-02 01:40:44	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x70ac77…
05-02 01:36:40	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	53	35¢	$19	0xbaf2b9…
05-02 01:32:40	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	77	35¢	$27	0x8ee03a…
05-02 00:50:20	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa7d785…
05-02 00:33:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x51e995…