Realized P&L
+$256
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
166
Trades
4,417
lifetime
Volume
$42.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$96
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-25 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 0% $-2
Other
26% 46% +$223
Sports
11% 54% $-1
Politics
10% 29% +$36
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -19 $-15 88¢ $-17 $-2 05-28 20:51
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -15 $-13 99¢ $-15 $-2 05-28 21:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -14 $-12 100¢ $-14 $-2 05-28 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-14 56¢ $-11 +$3 05-28 20:42
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -24 $-10 42¢ $-10 $-1 05-28 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-10 70¢ $-9 +$1 05-28 21:49
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -12 $-7 60¢ $-7 +$0 05-28 21:56
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -7 $-6 98¢ $-6 $-0 05-28 21:57
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 21:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes -333 $-9 $-0 +$8 05-28 20:42