Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$84.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-10

last 10-17 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% -$19

Politics

36% 0% -$7

Sports

6% 25% -$3

Tech

3% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 10% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	82	$11.0K	5,525	5,525	+0	open	—	07-16 00:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	80	$10.1K	5,048	5,048	+0	No	-$5	09-05 23:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	90	$7.9K	3,955	3,955	+0	No	-$4	10-10 23:33
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	44	$5.6K	2,811	2,811	+0	open	—	09-04 01:26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	54	$5.5K	2,766	2,766	+0	No	-$3	09-21 14:39
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	50	$5.3K	2,641	2,641	+0	open	—	09-21 14:29
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	36	$4.8K	2,404	2,404	+0	No	-$2	09-04 01:15
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	42	$4.6K	2,287	2,287	+0	No	-$2	09-21 14:22
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	44	$4.3K	2,166	2,166	+0	No	-$2	10-04 23:43
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	40	$3.8K	1,919	1,919	+0	No	-$2	10-04 23:47
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	32	$3.7K	1,863	1,863	+0	No	-$2	09-05 23:58
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	28	$3.5K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	09-04 01:29
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	24	$2.8K	1,415	1,415	+0	No	-$1	09-05 23:54
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	24	$2.7K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	09-06 00:04
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	22	$2.5K	1,262	1,262	+0	No	-$1	09-06 00:01
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	18	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	09-06 00:06
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	6	$774	387	387	+0	No	$0	09-04 01:21
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$518	259	259	+0	No	$0	09-04 01:20
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?	4	$420	210	210	+0	open	—	09-21 14:14
Will Espanyol win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	4	$416	208	208	+0	open	—	09-21 14:30
Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	09-21 14:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	09-21 14:15
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$214	107	107	+0	open	—	09-21 14:23
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$214	107	107	+0	open	—	09-21 14:23
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$208	104	104	+0	No	$0	09-21 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 21?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-21 14:04
Will Iran win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-21 14:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 10?	2	$154	77	77	+0	No	$0	10-08 22:55
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	10-14 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 21?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-21 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 23:56:38	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8427ae…
10-17 23:56:33	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaa3769…
10-17 23:56:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x66700f…
10-17 23:56:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4a9f5c…
10-17 23:56:09	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xad7f27…
10-17 23:56:03	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x097f34…
10-14 21:29:07	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xab2b1e…
10-14 21:29:01	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x35969a…
10-14 21:28:49	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x086744…
10-14 21:28:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe480f5…
10-14 21:28:28	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8588a8…
10-14 21:28:24	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8577a7…
10-14 21:28:09	bitcoin above 74k on october 16 2026	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1f200a…
10-14 21:28:03	bitcoin above 74k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4a2e41…
10-14 21:27:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x665a48…
10-14 21:27:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa31b65…
10-10 23:33:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x7a45cb…
10-10 23:33:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9956be…
10-09 21:17:34	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1c8ed8…
10-09 21:17:28	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd62091…
10-09 21:17:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5629c0…
10-09 21:17:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xafcb8e…
10-09 21:16:53	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7c8994…
10-09 21:16:46	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8bd082…
10-08 22:58:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x11fca4…
10-08 22:58:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x679c41…
10-08 22:58:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xc5c4a0…
10-08 22:58:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x39835e…
10-08 22:58:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xcb9b25…
10-08 22:58:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x943125…
10-08 22:58:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$90	0xc87531…
10-08 22:57:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x32c33b…
10-08 22:57:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$90	0x508e57…
10-08 22:57:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x0021e2…
10-08 22:57:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xfaf0c5…
10-08 22:57:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x33fea1…
10-08 22:57:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xce17f5…
10-08 22:57:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x184c5c…
10-08 22:57:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x326f00…
10-08 22:57:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcaa388…
10-08 22:57:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xd0b993…
10-08 22:57:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd090a2…
10-08 22:57:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x365563…
10-08 22:57:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xec2c51…
10-08 22:56:42	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xeb40ec…
10-08 22:56:38	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x16db75…
10-08 22:56:21	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3b0df0…
10-08 22:56:17	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x646536…
10-08 22:56:02	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x553693…
10-08 22:55:54	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x002248…
10-08 22:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 10?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x0f960e…
10-08 22:55:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x788fe2…
10-08 22:55:23	Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-10-08?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a8331…
10-08 22:55:18	Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7096c7…
10-08 22:55:08	Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x98eb23…
10-08 22:55:03	Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbebe03…
10-08 22:54:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x427fb4…
10-08 22:54:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3cc4e3…
10-08 22:54:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 9?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xadbd3d…
10-08 22:54:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 9?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2bd83c…
10-08 22:54:18	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x138cbe…
10-08 22:54:12	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58bb1e…
10-08 22:54:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf55dcd…
10-08 22:53:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0cddc9…
10-08 22:53:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xeea4b3…
10-08 22:53:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3a4733…
10-08 22:53:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x457577…
10-08 22:53:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x508ec8…
10-08 22:53:12	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x304d23…
10-08 22:53:06	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x52f900…
10-08 22:52:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xc5b36b…
10-08 22:52:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x26c7b2…
10-08 22:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x89eadb…
10-06 22:04:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x3eb918…
10-06 22:04:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xc006b7…
10-06 22:04:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf33471…
10-06 22:04:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4b7eec…
10-06 22:04:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x980736…
10-06 22:04:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7bc25e…
10-06 22:04:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xd3fd44…
10-06 22:04:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd21bd2…
10-06 22:04:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x73512f…
10-06 22:04:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x6fd419…
10-06 22:04:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x18c789…
10-06 22:04:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xc5ea68…
10-06 22:04:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x99131f…
10-06 22:03:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xdd7391…
10-06 22:03:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x10bd99…
10-06 22:03:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x555df7…
10-06 22:03:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0xf199ae…
10-06 22:03:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xbe291e…
10-06 22:03:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0xee48ce…
10-06 22:03:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x4c72ab…
10-06 22:03:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xa9b2b3…
10-06 22:03:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x2e7653…
10-06 22:03:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x147db5…
10-06 22:03:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xed34fa…
10-06 22:03:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x9928d1…
10-06 22:03:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x18dd04…
10-06 22:03:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x30f5a0…