Nervous-Dresser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$900

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

1,930

Trades

5,086

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-15 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 55% -$469

Other

38% 29% -$296

Sports

4% 33% -$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 16?	Yes		+11	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	11-14 13:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 fx keyd 2026 07 25	36	$158	437	0	+437	Fluxo	-$158	07-25 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:15 UTC	10	$98	325	0	+325	Down	+$60	04-07 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	23	$90	90	90	+0	Up	+$1	06-02 04:13
cs2 tl1 g2 2026 07 25 map handicap home 1pt5	25	$84	217	0	+217	Liquid	-$84	07-25 07:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:15 UTC	10	$80	238	0	+238	Up	-$16	04-07 05:19
dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game3	15	$79	52	51	+1	PARIVISION	+$24	07-19 17:35
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha	36	$79	137	31	+105	Nova Esports	+$57	07-21 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?	3	$78	75	75	+0	Yes	+$71	08-02 07:47
nor bog aal 2026 04 18 spread away 2pt5	23	$68	176	0	+176	FK Bodø/Glimt	+$62	04-08 15:29
cs2 hotu inf6 2026 07 25	13	$62	156	0	+156	HOTU	-$62	07-25 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 05:45 UTC	18	$61	196	0	+196	Up	+$22	04-07 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	16	$61	75	50	+25	Up	-$12	06-02 08:29
cs2 fokus mouz 2026 07 25	14	$60	287	0	+287	MOUZ	-$60	07-25 08:30
nba por sas 2026 04 08 total 236pt5	27	$60	179	0	+179	Under	-$60	04-09 01:44
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner	28	$58	98	22	+76	JD Gaming	-$33	07-21 09:48
cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	30	$57	481	0	+481	Liquid	+$424	07-24 11:44
nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	23	$56	191	0	+191	Sabres	+$28	04-09 01:29
lol ucam1 koia 2026 08 05	29	$55	118	0	+118	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	+$26	08-05 20:52
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 3am et	13	$49	158	0	+158	Down	-$1	04-09 07:48
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winner	24	$48	55	24	+31	JD Gaming	+$7	07-21 10:48
val jdg te 2026 07 21	30	$48	95	33	+62	JD Gaming	-$28	07-21 10:46
val ag1 drg 2026 07 22	45	$48	79	37	+42	All Gamers	+$13	07-22 15:13
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 11am et	8	$47	198	0	+198	Up	+$13	04-09 15:32
solana up or down april 9 2026 11am et	11	$47	170	0	+170	Up	-$29	04-09 15:25
lol hle1 gen 2026 08 10	20	$46	656	14	+643	Hanwha Life Esports	-$19	08-10 08:37
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	8	$46	432	0	+432	Cavaliers	-$31	04-09 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:30 UTC	8	$44	575	0	+575	Down	+$20	04-06 17:44
nba por sas 2026 04 08 total 230pt5	12	$42	91	0	+91	Under	-$42	04-09 01:44
cs2 lc innerc 2026 07 25	22	$42	90	0	+90	cancelled	+$3	07-25 00:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 05:30 UTC	11	$41	129	0	+129	Down	-$5	04-07 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 16:36:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on November 17?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa49329…
11-15 09:09:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on November 16?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x480ed0…
11-14 13:38:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 16?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x44d744…
11-13 20:55:30	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or higher on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x071d63…
11-13 20:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be -6°C or below on November 14?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x364466…
11-13 03:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x88e6f5…
11-13 00:07:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 0°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x26907c…
11-12 19:38:22	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x4f4732…
11-11 07:17:51	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfcd1fc…
11-06 05:40:39	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x4f904b…
10-30 03:34:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8d2ec8…
10-30 01:19:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb08f3a…
10-30 01:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xcc319a…
10-29 06:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x371878…
10-28 23:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfb2f7c…
10-28 16:49:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x09e703…
10-27 23:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x2ad430…
10-27 21:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc4d74d…
10-27 09:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x68f134…
10-27 01:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xabd082…
10-26 16:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x02e612…
10-26 16:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x317c0a…
10-26 09:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x541fb6…
10-25 19:33:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd2ddc0…
10-25 16:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x5e0772…
10-25 14:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xed4f2c…
10-24 16:06:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf18bcb…
10-24 12:05:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1ad2c2…
10-24 07:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xeb1c0f…
10-24 04:20:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x39e68a…
10-24 03:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xec679d…
10-22 16:40:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x26332d…
10-21 18:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x638618…
10-21 16:41:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe5b20a…
08-23 14:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x7a1c8f…
08-23 09:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x1415aa…
08-23 05:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x700a9e…
08-23 05:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x076743…
08-23 04:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x19a336…
08-23 04:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xd9330e…
08-23 04:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xd0f8b2…
08-23 03:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x23608d…
08-23 03:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x135993…
08-22 14:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xa02318…
08-22 14:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x6949a6…
08-22 09:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x25c2b9…
08-22 09:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x276e5e…
08-22 08:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0d8197…
08-22 08:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x946db0…
08-22 08:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb85a53…
08-22 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x108ad3…
08-22 07:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x152d2a…
08-22 07:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x40c8d2…
08-22 07:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xf8e712…
08-22 07:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x40ef31…
08-22 06:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x264b58…
08-22 06:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x728f31…
08-22 06:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x0d810f…
08-22 05:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xa9d351…
08-21 17:41:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa3fdd5…
08-21 13:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xabeea4…
08-21 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xb084c0…
08-21 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5cd1b1…
08-21 13:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4da6a5…
08-21 13:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x6629b2…
08-21 13:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3f2254…
08-21 13:11:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x033c36…
08-21 10:58:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x98f9c3…
08-21 10:58:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4204d6…
08-21 10:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9eac3c…
08-21 10:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1c3f2e…
08-21 06:26:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xc3314e…
08-21 06:26:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xb64562…
08-21 06:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe78e08…
08-21 06:12:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbfb5a2…
08-21 06:12:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x49ab6a…
08-21 06:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xfcd3ee…
08-21 06:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x7864e6…
08-21 06:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x6c307e…
08-21 06:12:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xfff9f1…
08-21 06:12:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x5d1375…
08-21 05:25:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xef4c20…
08-21 05:25:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xed4e77…
08-21 05:25:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x04e118…
08-21 05:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa8d03e…
08-21 05:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x66e673…
08-21 05:25:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x130366…
08-21 05:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe8af22…
08-21 05:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x94e807…
08-21 05:25:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x0ed47e…
08-21 05:25:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1a2f91…
08-20 09:29:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x790852…
08-20 09:29:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x6a1717…
08-20 09:29:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x618a60…
08-20 00:41:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xf714c3…
08-19 11:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xb7453f…
08-19 11:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xf8074d…
08-19 07:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2da82a…
08-19 07:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x595235…
08-19 07:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x66c748…