Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$158

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 04-08 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

29% 100% +$0

Sports

4% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$39	57	57	+0	open	—	01-03 08:49
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-03 14:09
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	01-03 08:19
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$5	18	18	+0	open	—	01-04 06:43
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	4	$5	60	60	+0	open	—	03-18 09:14
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	01-03 08:19
netanyahu arrested by march 31	4	$4	57	57	+0	open	—	02-28 21:33
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$4	89	89	+0	open	—	03-10 07:17
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$4	67	67	+0	No	+$2	03-29 21:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 06:45
trump out as president by march 31	2	$4	77	77	+0	open	—	03-23 21:25
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$4	67	67	+0	open	—	02-28 19:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-28 06:19
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 05:48
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 04:29
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:27
jack smith charged by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-03 04:36
peter mandelson charged by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 04:32
trump approval up or down this week 669	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-10 07:19
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 09:28
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-26 04:30
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-03 05:50
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-07 05:21
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-07 05:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 05:48
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-22 08:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$2	19	19	+0	open	—	01-31 06:34
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	3	$2	35	35	+0	open	—	03-15 04:38
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-03 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 06:03:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xff233e…
04-08 06:03:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xccf39d…
04-08 05:21:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x749ba0…
04-08 05:11:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xdc511f…
04-08 05:11:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xac1442…
04-08 04:58:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xca0972…
04-08 03:28:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xc7f766…
04-08 02:41:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x97e572…
04-08 02:40:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x265517…
04-08 02:36:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x047944…
04-08 02:35:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x6e05e9…
04-08 02:35:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x446ab3…
04-08 02:02:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5cfd55…
04-08 01:40:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xc2b675…
04-08 01:40:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb4e3f7…
04-08 01:39:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x45f848…
04-08 01:39:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x0fb4df…
04-08 01:39:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xec939b…
04-08 01:39:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x161a39…
04-08 00:34:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xeca187…
04-08 00:34:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc2aaf8…
04-08 00:34:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0xbe9c08…
04-08 00:34:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x589fa9…
04-08 00:34:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x1ebd42…
04-08 00:29:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x50cc36…
04-08 00:29:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x7b2f49…
04-08 00:27:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xb6f060…
04-08 00:27:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x94c5b9…
04-08 00:27:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x113f11…
04-07 05:37:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	212	0¢	$0	0xaca3a5…
04-07 05:35:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xddc7dc…
04-07 05:34:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	217	0¢	$0	0x248301…
04-07 01:29:01	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcc4089…
03-29 21:09:12	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x6d929f…
03-26 13:40:35	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7e21b8…
03-26 05:48:15	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe39029…
03-23 21:25:01	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0xd79543…
03-20 04:32:25	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x963523…
03-18 09:14:59	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xbf8759…
03-15 04:38:11	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x3a29db…
03-13 12:47:09	btc updown 5m 1773405900	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xe0e4ff…
03-13 04:36:23	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xc90311…
03-12 10:03:45	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x940b48…
03-10 09:48:13	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x182c2c…
03-10 07:17:57	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x2f7001…
03-10 06:12:43	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xe3d0ff…
03-10 06:12:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xcbe0d5…
03-08 10:00:29	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xcb91ef…
03-04 14:35:45	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x375a21…
03-03 05:50:49	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1be1bd…
03-03 05:48:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x40f9a9…
03-01 08:02:47	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x8e33b7…
02-28 21:33:17	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x265ce9…
02-28 21:32:53	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xae19b4…
02-28 21:32:37	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x560dd4…
02-28 19:41:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x2daefa…
02-28 06:45:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xaa49ae…
02-28 06:19:03	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x0b4ab5…
02-27 10:04:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0a74b5…
02-27 07:29:49	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xef243c…
02-26 09:28:54	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6f573b…
02-26 04:30:22	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8eab20…
02-26 04:29:00	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x97dd8b…
02-25 05:42:02	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x098a98…
02-24 06:43:50	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x42d0cc…
02-23 05:55:06	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe79e81…
02-23 05:32:24	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6d465f…
02-19 06:10:04	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xa9fbe6…
02-19 06:07:42	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xb89805…
02-19 05:59:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x070884…
02-18 09:27:10	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x12c903…
02-18 09:26:54	jack smith charged by march 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe579f8…
02-16 06:54:35	will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe03193…
02-12 07:17:35	jack smith charged by march 31	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x329f73…
02-12 06:56:37	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xfee6b5…
02-08 06:11:51	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x83bdf8…
02-07 17:12:51	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x767761…
02-06 13:05:05	us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe79dd1…
02-06 05:59:51	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4ad3af…
02-05 09:43:05	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x661d00…
02-05 09:42:39	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x07a843…
02-05 05:53:15	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x67521a…
02-04 07:23:40	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xcf3977…
02-04 06:16:02	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x1aaaf1…
02-03 08:53:34	will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6eba28…
02-03 04:36:10	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xee66d9…
01-31 06:34:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xf15420…
01-31 04:39:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x0aaacf…
01-29 06:58:10	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8fd833…
01-28 10:01:19	trump approval up or down this week 921	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6c8a13…
01-28 07:10:09	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x87734e…
01-26 06:54:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x47d5a8…
01-26 06:13:26	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa2854f…
01-22 08:32:22	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5dd271…
01-21 14:22:06	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x77948b…
01-21 05:51:32	internet access restored in iran by friday 972	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa528d0…
01-21 05:37:54	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x54a2f2…
01-21 05:27:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc67076…
01-10 07:19:06	trump approval up or down this week 669	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb6696…
01-07 06:35:59	trump approval up or down this week 669	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7731db…