Harsh-Drainage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

602

Trades

2,090

lifetime

Volume

$157.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$177

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-25 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

67% 62% -$640

Crypto

33% 87% +$449

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$93	97¢	$97	+$4	08-21 13:32
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$31	76¢	$38	+$7	09-19 07:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+77	$27	33¢	$25	-$2	10-25 14:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+29	$28	57¢	$17	-$11	10-02 03:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricmlc mi san 2026 07 08	6	$4.5K	2,400	2,400	+0	San Francisco Unicorns	+$48	07-09 03:18
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	12	$4.3K	3,673	3,463	+210	Gujarat Titans	+$240	04-30 15:12
cricmlc was los 2026 07 09	16	$4.1K	2,548	2,548	+0	Los Angeles Knight Riders	-$140	07-10 03:36
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	5	$3.5K	2,177	2,177	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$22	05-11 16:22
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?	3	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$978	05-21 13:47
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	17	$2.9K	2,560	2,560	+0	India	-$29	07-14 11:23
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	2	$2.9K	1,900	1,900	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$418	05-10 18:08
crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 15	14	$2.7K	1,672	1,672	+0	Zimbabwe	-$101	07-15 13:39
bitcoin up or down on july 17 2026	3	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$14	07-17 10:18
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	18	$2.2K	2,891	2,291	+600	Gujarat Titans	-$128	05-03 15:21
Gwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwon	15	$2.2K	1,679	1,664	+15	Soon-Woo Kwon	+$46	04-23 05:30
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	13	$2.1K	1,854	1,854	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$155	05-01 17:55
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	13	$2.0K	1,921	1,694	+227	Punjab Kings	+$183	04-03 16:31
crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 23	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	India	+$2	07-23 13:30
cricipl che del 2026 04 11	4	$2.0K	1,631	1,609	+22	Chennai Super Kings	+$161	04-11 16:30
cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	8	$1.9K	1,950	1,918	+32	Punjab Kings	+$171	04-11 12:51
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	9	$1.9K	1,149	1,149	+0	No	-$154	02-27 07:49
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$1.9K	2,318	0	+2,318	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$440	05-08 14:55
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	19	$1.8K	1,128	1,128	+0	No	-$183	02-23 20:11
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	5	$1.8K	2,177	0	+2,177	Mumbai Indians	-$1,784	05-14 17:33
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?	11	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	Mumbai Indians	+$18	05-14 13:36
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	9	$1.8K	1,164	1,164	+0	No	+$10	02-27 09:51
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	6	$1.7K	1,601	1,601	+0	No	+$8	02-27 08:10
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	8	$1.7K	1,500	1,481	+19	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$23	04-27 13:38
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	11	$1.7K	978	978	+0	No	+$117	02-25 13:22
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	18	$1.7K	2,115	2,076	+39	Rajasthan Royals	+$44	04-22 16:39
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	1	$1.7K	1,873	0	+1,873	Chennai Super Kings	+$206	05-02 16:42
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	21	$1.6K	1,080	1,069	+11	Lucknow Super Giants	+$226	04-05 12:09
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	9	$1.6K	1,230	1,215	+15	Chennai Super Kings	+$102	04-23 16:50
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	5	$1.6K	1,686	1,658	+28	Punjab Kings	+$54	04-25 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:50:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe187f2…
10-25 12:17:11	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	35¢	$17	0xce09d6…
10-25 09:48:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd92788…
10-25 09:29:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xa8de7b…
10-25 08:28:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x4ff661…
10-19 06:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0xf344e3…
10-19 06:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x769fb5…
10-19 06:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4166e5…
10-19 06:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf2261c…
10-19 06:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xb88671…
10-19 06:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x796e65…
10-19 06:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x115441…
10-19 04:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x1e7810…
10-05 09:18:08	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x882de3…
10-04 13:29:20	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	130	67¢	$87	0x8d5cc3…
10-04 06:49:37	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	67	66¢	$44	0x00ffb0…
10-02 03:21:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x06507a…
09-26 12:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x488e3d…
09-26 12:03:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x1f77cb…
09-23 09:56:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0x23c541…
09-19 07:09:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xbc6e4d…
09-19 07:07:16	will ethereum dip to 2500 in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0x9969fb…
09-19 07:04:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x817de4…
09-19 07:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x523ee4…
09-18 09:30:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xb72d9e…
09-18 09:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	28¢	$20	0xc5eb25…
09-18 09:28:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3f4481…
09-16 13:33:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x30b4f0…
09-16 13:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	119	62¢	$74	0x343926…
09-16 13:14:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1cc569…
09-14 10:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x1b1006…
09-12 12:52:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x280ebc…
09-08 12:36:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd319c…
09-08 08:12:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?	Yes	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0xf3b329…
09-08 08:10:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	117	57¢	$67	0x4affab…
09-08 07:55:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb26fe1…
09-08 07:55:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xad517e…
09-07 08:13:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x53a1c0…
09-07 07:42:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x72e40d…
09-07 07:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	28¢	$19	0xecc85f…
09-07 07:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x516345…
09-07 07:24:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd498c7…
09-05 10:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xed8aea…
09-05 09:40:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe74bf6…
09-04 08:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x8a8e3c…
09-04 08:09:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x1db1de…
09-04 08:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xaa64a4…
09-03 13:49:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xac7f52…
09-03 12:15:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x488bd9…
09-03 11:47:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x978140…
09-03 11:07:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xc15b6c…
09-03 11:07:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x04c5ab…
09-03 11:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xa77731…
09-03 10:58:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xb4ea64…
09-03 10:58:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xb8aad5…
09-03 10:43:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x33eb0f…
09-03 10:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x04bff0…
09-03 10:26:22	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x72afd0…
09-03 10:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	137	28¢	$38	0x4c8796…
09-03 09:59:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x9dc32a…
09-03 09:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Up	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x36cf2b…
08-31 13:42:13	bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xa983ae…
08-31 13:42:10	bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaef68e…
08-31 13:42:01	bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8058a6…
08-31 13:41:24	bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x714e09…
08-31 13:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x1991cb…
08-31 13:38:55	bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9cf752…
08-31 13:33:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x34d786…
08-31 13:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xa1d3ff…
08-31 13:27:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xcf494b…
08-31 13:27:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0xf89a03…
08-31 13:27:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	70¢	$33	0x80d7f4…
08-27 16:47:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe33d17…
08-27 16:47:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0x5b7463…
08-27 16:47:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf10fd6…
08-27 16:47:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf9c833…
08-27 16:46:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x5aabb3…
08-27 16:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x05b026…
08-24 15:04:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xb3334a…
08-24 14:59:58	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x97fd93…
08-22 14:00:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8283aa…
08-22 13:54:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7fede2…
08-21 15:04:06	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1a9ec2…
08-21 13:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfbbd4a…
08-21 13:33:00	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xb539d3…
08-21 13:32:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7806d5…
08-21 13:30:57	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	56	34¢	$19	0xf01109…
08-21 13:27:36	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	133	34¢	$46	0x09e8e7…
08-21 06:45:21	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe54a5a…
08-21 06:35:09	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd45a52…
08-21 06:35:01	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeaefd2…
08-21 06:34:58	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x648969…
08-21 06:34:54	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc16277…
08-21 06:34:19	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x62b2b0…
08-21 06:34:09	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf081f8…
08-21 06:34:04	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9b7eb…
08-21 06:34:00	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2df50d…
08-21 06:33:57	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x580a38…
08-21 06:31:25	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7ba69…
08-21 06:31:09	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5273e7…