Previous-Grace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

565

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-18 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Other

24% 0% $-2

Tech

13% — —

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	17	$892	939	939	+0	open	—	08-04 04:10
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	12	$864	1,000	800	+200	open	—	08-05 02:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	13	$790	800	800	+0	open	—	06-24 03:27
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	2	$718	782	782	+0	open	—	05-27 02:01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	4	$710	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 03:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	8	$705	800	800	+0	open	—	08-04 07:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	12	$685	600	600	+0	open	—	08-03 04:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	8	$676	600	600	+0	open	—	08-05 08:08
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron	2	$647	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 06:47
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$640	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 08:07
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	5	$640	400	400	+0	open	—	07-22 07:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$612	400	400	+0	open	—	07-30 01:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$597	472	400	+72	open	—	06-25 05:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$580	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 02:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$536	600	600	+0	open	—	06-18 09:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	7	$522	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 08:21
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	8	$492	400	400	+0	open	—	06-25 01:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$491	582	582	+0	open	—	06-14 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$482	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 02:31
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$433	476	476	+0	open	—	04-30 05:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	4	$432	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 02:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	11	$420	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 04:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-21 07:22
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	5	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	07-24 03:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 07:01
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	4	$374	250	250	+0	open	—	07-28 02:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 03:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	2	$346	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 01:10
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 02:35
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$340	400	400	+0	open	—	06-15 00:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 03:49:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe0fb23…
08-18 03:48:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x590929…
08-18 03:42:33	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xae3739…
08-07 04:13:36	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xa650d4…
08-07 04:10:34	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xc21f76…
08-07 03:43:07	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xe21324…
08-07 03:42:07	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xef3e0f…
08-07 03:18:54	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	29	64¢	$19	0x11baa9…
08-07 03:18:49	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0xe56a2e…
08-07 03:10:58	will tony score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107433	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xe9750c…
08-07 03:10:52	will tony score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107433	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa2d61c…
08-06 12:29:39	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x6e3e7c…
08-05 08:08:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	187	69¢	$129	0x6f4aef…
08-05 03:42:45	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x4a4451…
08-05 03:42:35	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x1fbdf2…
08-05 03:41:30	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xa50477…
08-05 03:38:12	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x1852d4…
08-05 03:37:32	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x1bbedc…
08-05 03:35:26	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x18bf08…
08-05 03:32:23	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x406490…
08-05 02:05:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x0071e7…
08-05 02:02:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x6cff8e…
08-05 02:02:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x8b5f93…
08-05 01:47:30	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x4a00c7…
08-04 07:50:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xf51da0…
08-04 07:11:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x58525d…
08-04 07:11:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x41ce4b…
08-04 06:38:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x125a37…
08-04 04:10:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xcb11b4…
08-04 03:26:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	191	29¢	$55	0x9e38c5…
08-04 03:26:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x8607bc…
08-04 03:26:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x317d7c…
08-04 03:00:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x76ccd7…
08-04 02:59:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x309d12…
08-03 04:43:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xd06c64…
08-03 04:23:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x31b56e…
08-02 01:09:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x2b6289…
08-02 00:54:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x91045a…
08-01 07:07:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	46	73¢	$34	0xaa9738…
08-01 07:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	71	55¢	$39	0xb590f7…
08-01 07:07:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x06f9fb…
08-01 07:01:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xe83198…
08-01 07:00:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x25748c…
08-01 07:00:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9ef67c…
08-01 06:59:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x07f2fd…
08-01 06:48:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0xf53124…
08-01 06:48:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x1c62a2…
08-01 06:46:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xd7b0cc…
08-01 06:45:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x3fbf47…
08-01 06:42:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xc5949e…
08-01 06:41:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x399c35…
08-01 06:33:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc44833…
08-01 06:33:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x7b8eac…
08-01 06:31:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x30ff05…
08-01 06:28:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf3f683…
08-01 05:56:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$85	0x758e3e…
08-01 05:55:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb16a6e…
08-01 05:52:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x048e18…
08-01 05:35:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x1c384d…
08-01 05:27:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x786822…
08-01 05:27:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	28	27¢	$7	0x23f2a2…
08-01 05:20:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x51e03e…
08-01 04:58:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	34	74¢	$25	0xc9c842…
08-01 04:57:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xe1974e…
08-01 04:37:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x74fe63…
08-01 04:28:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xac91e6…
08-01 04:28:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xac91e6…
08-01 04:17:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xb53ed3…
08-01 04:12:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xacce79…
08-01 03:12:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x6cf6f5…
08-01 02:51:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0xc9c9a6…
08-01 02:51:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	46	48¢	$22	0x0ec952…
08-01 02:51:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	89	48¢	$43	0x054197…
08-01 01:54:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa333ce…
08-01 01:51:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x21b4ba…
07-31 06:28:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x4161c3…
07-31 04:36:42	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xb9221f…
07-31 03:15:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x9e298a…
07-31 02:56:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x8e57b5…
07-30 08:49:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	174	56¢	$97	0x56f0b0…
07-30 08:46:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xf2af23…
07-30 08:45:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x541269…
07-30 08:38:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x953659…
07-30 08:33:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x440a35…
07-30 08:27:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	80	79¢	$63	0xf434ea…
07-30 08:27:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	120	79¢	$95	0x49ea20…
07-30 08:27:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa01c6d…
07-30 06:15:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x684df6…
07-30 05:51:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x77aeef…
07-30 05:36:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x708735…
07-30 05:29:09	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x552225…
07-30 05:13:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x241134…
07-30 05:13:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xcb1ede…
07-30 05:06:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x9ba6d1…
07-30 05:06:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x26fc28…
07-30 05:06:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb0f9f9…
07-30 05:06:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	180	13¢	$23	0x528347…
07-30 02:30:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x006c63…
07-30 02:27:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x8d0097…
07-30 02:27:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe9cebd…