Previous-Grace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

461

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-28 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Other

26% 0% $-2

Tech

16% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	13	$790	800	800	+0	open	—	06-24 03:27
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	2	$718	782	782	+0	open	—	05-27 02:01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	4	$710	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 03:53
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron	2	$647	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 06:47
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$640	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 08:07
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	5	$640	400	400	+0	open	—	07-22 07:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$597	472	400	+72	open	—	06-25 05:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$580	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 02:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$536	600	600	+0	open	—	06-18 09:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	7	$522	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 08:21
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	8	$492	400	400	+0	open	—	06-25 01:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$491	582	582	+0	open	—	06-14 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$482	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 02:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	4	$454	400	400	+0	open	—	07-26 03:01
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	8	$454	450	450	+0	open	—	07-27 01:37
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$433	476	476	+0	open	—	04-30 05:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	4	$432	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 02:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	11	$420	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 04:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-21 07:22
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	5	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	07-24 03:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 07:01
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	4	$374	250	250	+0	open	—	07-28 02:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 03:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	2	$346	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 01:10
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 02:35
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$340	400	400	+0	open	—	06-15 00:51
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	9	$334	250	250	+0	open	—	06-14 08:35
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	3	$325	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 07:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 03:46
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	3	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 12:07:43	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$17	0x9992d8…
07-28 11:39:55	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x867f2b…
07-28 05:20:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x60bb6f…
07-28 05:20:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xfc1d49…
07-28 02:23:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x58e961…
07-27 13:48:37	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xb5f5c9…
07-27 13:48:16	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xebf0a6…
07-27 13:44:24	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x946556…
07-27 11:23:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xba4192…
07-27 11:10:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x07773d…
07-27 10:30:55	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x32f06d…
07-27 10:21:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xe94806…
07-27 08:17:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x9bc7b6…
07-27 06:52:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x27ce4a…
07-27 06:21:58	another nato article 4 invocation by october 31 2026 20260726214511853	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xe17354…
07-27 06:21:48	another nato article 4 invocation by october 31 2026 20260726214511853	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xbe1a2f…
07-27 06:06:10	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x1f3ab3…
07-27 06:06:03	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x3c5921…
07-27 05:35:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xdd82ae…
07-27 05:31:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x8f6977…
07-27 01:40:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x65b737…
07-27 01:37:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	142	30¢	$43	0xc4c1fd…
07-26 04:28:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xd4ca99…
07-26 04:01:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x9cdbc5…
07-26 04:01:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	51	42¢	$21	0x16f13d…
07-26 03:15:52	will there be 20260723192532702	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x202a33…
07-26 03:01:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x42c2e6…
07-26 03:01:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb07ae7…
07-26 02:53:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x0c0f47…
07-26 02:48:39	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x00da89…
07-26 02:14:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xebcc42…
07-25 08:18:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xb1ce83…
07-25 08:17:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x6663b8…
07-25 08:10:57	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5318fd…
07-25 08:07:21	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x3b8d20…
07-25 07:38:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xaae01f…
07-25 05:56:15	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xcf8209…
07-25 03:28:22	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xcc4574…
07-25 03:28:22	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x35de27…
07-25 03:28:16	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x68642d…
07-25 03:21:10	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x12b427…
07-25 03:21:09	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	123	45¢	$55	0x83d060…
07-25 03:07:12	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xad5f70…
07-25 01:55:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0x761884…
07-25 01:55:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	140	9¢	$12	0x441cc9…
07-25 01:55:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$17	0x604d3e…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x54bab6…
07-24 07:25:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xb76dc2…
07-24 06:25:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 26 20260723195838193	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x95d3d6…
07-24 06:11:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x644edb…
07-24 03:32:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	164	58¢	$95	0x3353ef…
07-24 03:14:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0x55f577…
07-24 03:14:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xe62706…
07-23 01:18:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xd028da…
07-23 01:09:52	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xfea9d1…
07-22 11:26:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0xd44cf6…
07-22 11:23:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x4f2d33…
07-22 11:19:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x740029…
07-22 11:10:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x2f8b2e…
07-22 09:03:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	95	19¢	$18	0xa9c35e…
07-22 07:44:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a85dd…
07-22 07:33:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	171	80¢	$137	0x48c0e1…
07-22 07:20:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x02e918…
07-22 06:47:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x1120e1…
07-22 05:36:37	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xf59bb3…
07-22 05:36:37	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5e5807…
07-22 05:36:33	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x413af2…
07-22 03:07:09	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0xee8c9b…
07-22 02:20:58	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x02a60d…
07-22 02:20:49	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	71	9¢	$6	0xb4d5e8…
07-22 01:16:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x364787…
07-21 07:22:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x3ac099…
07-21 06:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd22dfc…
07-21 05:30:13	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x4c5759…
07-21 05:29:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3ac574…
07-21 03:25:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x71d975…
07-21 02:57:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x2e12db…
07-21 02:54:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x3d907d…
07-21 02:37:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xd8c0ea…
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9eea75…
07-21 02:16:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0x7d1173…
07-21 02:16:13	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0xa46778…
07-20 08:36:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	63	10¢	$6	0xdd6e32…
07-20 08:11:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4afddf…
07-20 07:57:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0xe93ce0…
07-20 02:19:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x5aeb82…
07-20 01:14:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xd24322…
07-20 01:12:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xe21fc5…
07-20 00:40:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xa476b1…
07-20 00:32:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x90108f…
07-19 08:19:22	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xc2fc4b…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x95f494…
07-18 08:25:10	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x488718…
07-18 04:43:54	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x5a13a8…
07-18 04:43:39	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xefbca3…
07-18 04:11:48	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe8203a…
07-18 00:48:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x977674…
07-18 00:47:24	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x0d29dc…
07-17 10:07:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xbd94c9…
07-17 06:10:04	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb34cf0…