Previous-Grace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$79

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-07 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

32% 0% $-2

Tech

14% — —

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No		+200	$84	40¢	$79	$-5	07-08 02:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	13	$790	800	800	+0	open	—	06-24 03:27
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	2	$718	782	782	+0	open	—	05-27 02:01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	4	$710	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 03:53
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron	2	$647	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 06:47
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$640	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 08:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$597	472	400	+72	open	—	06-25 05:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$580	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 02:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$536	600	600	+0	open	—	06-18 09:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	7	$522	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 08:21
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	8	$492	400	400	+0	open	—	06-25 01:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$491	582	582	+0	open	—	06-14 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$482	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 02:31
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$433	476	476	+0	open	—	04-30 05:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	4	$432	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 02:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	11	$420	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 04:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 07:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	2	$346	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 01:10
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 02:35
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$340	400	400	+0	open	—	06-15 00:51
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	9	$334	250	250	+0	open	—	06-14 08:35
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	3	$325	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 07:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	3	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 05:30
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	23	$323	205	205	+0	open	—	07-08 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 05:27
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	06-13 05:49
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	6	$273	400	400	+0	open	—	06-18 06:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 04:06
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	3	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 13:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 02:35
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?	3	$245	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 13:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 02:41:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xe8ffb6…
07-08 02:28:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x45efdc…
07-08 02:28:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2ee7c3…
07-08 02:11:40	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x3e6ff3…
07-07 01:34:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x4aa102…
07-05 05:26:59	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x6d0875…
07-05 05:26:17	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x8fe8eb…
07-05 05:25:49	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xdd5153…
07-05 02:35:34	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x26d084…
07-03 02:35:37	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xa3b27a…
07-03 02:35:28	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x26f258…
07-03 02:28:47	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x1b9e50…
06-28 07:23:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	200	81¢	$161	0x842f7f…
06-28 07:06:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x598350…
06-28 07:00:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	193	82¢	$158	0xd87e2e…
06-28 07:00:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x6c39c8…
06-28 06:05:46	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xe9c0ea…
06-28 06:05:10	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	147	34¢	$50	0x7c2052…
06-28 05:46:38	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0xbd08fc…
06-28 05:46:20	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xc94f6b…
06-28 05:46:07	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xdf529f…
06-28 05:45:50	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xd23274…
06-26 13:41:34	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x4e75d3…
06-26 11:10:28	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511682	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x7c2c78…
06-26 06:43:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x69984e…
06-26 04:55:35	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511682	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xca9b0d…
06-25 09:20:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	176	77¢	$135	0x4be292…
06-25 07:54:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb3cbb0…
06-25 07:54:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9441ae…
06-25 07:54:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x4ae821…
06-25 07:54:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x078e5c…
06-25 07:54:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe08cc6…
06-25 07:54:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xbf49d3…
06-25 07:54:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb0e670…
06-25 07:54:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xab68b8…
06-25 07:54:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x058818…
06-25 07:44:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x4987f9…
06-25 07:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc60cf3…
06-25 07:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xbc62f6…
06-25 07:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb21eae…
06-25 07:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7d5e45…
06-25 07:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x52c6b3…
06-25 07:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2a71f2…
06-25 07:44:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb68cee…
06-25 07:44:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x58c3fd…
06-25 07:44:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x38be38…
06-25 07:27:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x9afe21…
06-25 06:38:40	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xa1fbfa…
06-25 06:38:37	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x2df229…
06-25 05:41:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x2e9f5e…
06-25 05:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x6270de…
06-25 01:10:26	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xd896c8…
06-25 00:52:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x68f5e6…
06-24 03:27:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xf2586e…
06-22 05:08:17	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0xb10f3f…
06-22 04:45:23	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x76a9ba…
06-22 04:15:01	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x5a1e18…
06-22 03:35:26	starmer out by june 25 2026	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6696e3…
06-22 03:35:23	starmer out by june 25 2026	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x59fb5c…
06-22 02:45:46	starmer out by june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x0eb70c…
06-22 02:43:35	starmer out by june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x409f44…
06-21 11:00:34	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x5b22bf…
06-21 09:43:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xbdec89…
06-21 07:01:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	14¢	$12	0x0417f0…
06-21 07:01:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x380515…
06-21 07:00:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	14¢	$15	0x6ebdc6…
06-21 07:00:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	174	14¢	$24	0x5eca49…
06-21 07:00:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x3891fd…
06-21 04:38:46	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	193	25¢	$48	0x66d043…
06-21 04:38:41	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe2646e…
06-21 04:37:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	187	27¢	$51	0x0606e7…
06-21 04:34:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x8b3e5c…
06-21 04:27:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x966b3b…
06-21 03:54:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x97be5e…
06-21 03:50:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	155	73¢	$113	0xba6c06…
06-21 03:48:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0x9dfe0e…
06-21 03:22:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xa063f4…
06-21 03:09:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xad2bc2…
06-21 03:09:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x7ead21…
06-21 02:31:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	98	52¢	$51	0xbdc90a…
06-21 02:30:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0x37a6cf…
06-21 01:54:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x4b05a3…
06-21 01:54:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xe72f75…
06-20 12:02:43	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xb61fbb…
06-20 12:01:49	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xe94131…
06-20 08:50:05	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x2726be…
06-20 04:48:49	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x955112…
06-20 04:48:32	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x1fd860…
06-20 04:48:29	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xca1417…
06-20 03:35:29	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	194	76¢	$147	0x658715…
06-20 02:34:16	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6d15d0…
06-19 06:00:47	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	55¢	$13	0x8f2970…
06-19 05:54:59	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x337bd8…
06-19 05:54:29	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0xa3feba…
06-19 05:38:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x0f7f34…
06-19 05:38:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1ee44c…
06-19 03:55:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xa409d1…
06-18 09:56:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x9f63e0…
06-18 09:03:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x2c095b…
06-18 08:58:22	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd1661e…