Cultivated-Sunlamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

110

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

50% 96% +$3

Politics

31% 100% +$3

Crypto

13% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	5	$96	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	08-17 04:20
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	2	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$0	08-13 19:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$73	51	51	+0	open	—	11-04 07:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:16
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	09-17 18:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-14 15:38
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	09-10 12:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-14 01:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-15 06:16
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$47	49	0	+49	No	+$2	08-05 07:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-07 01:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-21 21:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	11-04 07:17
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-29 13:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$39	24	24	+0	No	+$0	10-18 00:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	11-04 00:53
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	08-31 20:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$0	08-27 15:56
msft above 315 on march 31 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	03-31 00:44
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	06-30 09:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-30 23:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	09-27 13:43
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-13 02:18
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-30 15:25
will meta reach 660 in june 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-28 16:25
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-29 20:42
nvda above 160 on february 27 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	02-25 14:57
Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-17 13:04
will bnb dip to 500 in january	3	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-26 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:17:00	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$20	0x0ec30b…
11-04 07:08:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0xf3e450…
11-04 05:43:33	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$21	0xbe7e45…
11-04 00:53:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0xda6a03…
11-04 00:53:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xb00454…
11-03 14:07:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfe86c8…
10-29 13:18:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd2ef26…
10-28 20:24:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf8d263…
10-19 19:07:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0xc4ae7f…
10-18 00:10:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x77e5a7…
10-17 13:04:53	Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfccdb1…
10-15 15:34:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x8695ff…
10-08 04:16:59	Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x397e0c…
10-05 07:16:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0xafcfe4…
09-30 23:18:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x8aa738…
09-27 23:44:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x255e13…
09-27 13:43:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd5de30…
09-17 18:06:45	Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc2221e…
09-14 15:38:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x01b9b0…
09-10 12:15:30	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x38e7d0…
09-07 17:28:57	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x419e62…
09-07 17:11:19	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xdd9e9e…
09-07 01:40:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x73e918…
09-05 01:42:30	moscow air traffic suspended by september 15 20260824	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x01bee4…
09-05 00:11:15	moscow air traffic suspended by september 15 20260824	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x2c38fa…
09-04 22:25:51	moscow air traffic suspended by september 15 20260824	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x1190ac…
08-31 20:20:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x068c86…
08-31 16:43:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf8c1d2…
08-28 04:50:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x946209…
08-27 15:56:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x91671c…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x8cabdb…
08-26 15:59:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb985fe…
08-22 05:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc97397…
08-21 21:05:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7f07ff…
08-21 12:08:19	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98be50…
08-18 22:23:52	Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb725ca…
08-17 04:20:42	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbb5354…
08-17 04:20:07	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x553fb5…
08-17 04:19:51	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x32d604…
08-17 04:19:37	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x58b3cb…
08-16 20:58:58	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x04095c…
08-15 06:16:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x22c4db…
08-14 21:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x4e6542…
08-14 19:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe77a49…
08-14 19:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x28f77f…
08-14 19:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7f7397…
08-14 19:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xe22298…
08-14 15:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xbfb1eb…
08-14 01:09:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xef2f81…
08-13 19:30:43	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfda481…
08-11 07:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x3f59b4…
08-11 06:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x14b4b8…
08-10 15:37:07	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xdeabe6…
08-09 03:48:22	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7adf05…
08-05 07:45:23	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x83c3ba…
07-30 15:25:33	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xaa9d17…
07-30 12:56:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3db2e8…
07-30 08:29:30	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x88ef6f…
07-29 23:32:44	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0xd1071a…
07-28 18:23:52	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7bc01…
07-28 12:47:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfea771…
07-26 13:15:58	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8d4adf…
07-26 12:06:57	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x553978…
07-25 06:40:28	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x305204…
07-24 02:45:57	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9601eb…
07-23 11:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5a046…
06-30 09:17:55	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5a2954…
06-28 16:25:23	will meta reach 660 in june 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8d8ad4…
06-27 04:28:59	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4ab8d…
06-27 01:35:56	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xed5b44…
05-30 19:55:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde2e6f…
05-29 20:42:45	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbe5c4f…
05-28 07:14:19	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5673e9…
05-13 02:18:52	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2ba100…
05-09 14:44:53	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb8040…
05-09 14:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7b24b1…
05-09 13:51:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x58f0bb…
05-09 10:18:49	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x614809…
05-08 08:47:46	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e1d41…
05-08 07:56:08	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x582b2b…
05-08 07:19:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c4b8c…
05-07 13:29:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc2f732…
05-05 20:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb6135e…
04-28 17:24:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7ee194…
04-25 06:58:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c22c1…
04-23 17:08:12	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x45b0a2…
04-22 00:12:44	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d1543…
04-21 02:53:00	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb9ebfa…
04-20 10:10:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc4025d…
04-20 03:10:50	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x655f1f…
04-19 09:41:22	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xddb9cc…
04-19 01:06:00	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x337516…
04-18 06:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x172a66…
04-17 13:37:24	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x734970…
04-16 18:18:32	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x74b832…
04-15 11:19:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x49da00…
04-14 16:12:39	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd84b55…
04-13 20:09:47	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8bb643…
04-06 07:14:51	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x17e10b…
03-31 00:44:27	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7649b0…