Realized P&L
-$800
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
717
Trades
1,373
lifetime
Volume
$9.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$76
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-27 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
86% 23% -$562
Sports
13% 43% -$230
Politics
1% 30% +$2
Tech
0% 0% -$4
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -33 -$26 96¢ $-32 -$6 07-01 01:03
Discord IPO before 2027? No -11 -$4 93¢ $-10 -$6 06-19 21:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -11 -$5 64¢ $-7 -$2 07-29 06:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $3 94¢ $5 +$2 09-29 18:41
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +24 $1 14¢ $3 +$2 09-10 19:13
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +48 $3 6¢ $3 $0 10-13 04:28
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +188 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-13 04:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 $2 19¢ $2 $0 10-13 04:37
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -77 -$1 2¢ $-2 -$1 06-30 19:49
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 09-10 19:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $2 35¢ $1 -$1 10-13 04:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 10-13 04:37
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-13 04:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 10-13 04:41
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +50 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-13 04:24
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-13 04:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 12¢ $1 +$1 10-13 04:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 -$1 16¢ $-1 $0 06-16 20:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? Yes +6 $3 5¢ $0 -$3 10-16 03:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-13 04:43