Natural-Weird-Lemur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$380

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

290

Trades

594

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$226

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-12 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

52% 43% -$213

Politics

18% 75% -$76

Sports

15% 43% -$159

Crypto

13% 23% +$67

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+102	$95	98¢	$101	+$5	09-15 17:54
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$48	99¢	$50	+$1	09-13 15:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$45	97¢	$49	+$3	06-15 12:31
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+11	$8	94¢	$10	+$3	06-27 18:13
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+7	$1	97¢	$7	+$5	08-22 12:09
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$3	6¢	$6	+$2	10-25 06:02
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+203	$6	1¢	$3	-$3	10-23 08:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+50	$35	4¢	$2	-$33	11-12 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,598	1,598	+0	No	-$87	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	35	$543	844	844	+0	No	+$15	09-29 02:47
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	3	$456	366	189	+177	New York Yankees	-$75	05-31 23:06
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	4	$450	251	251	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$40	05-30 05:10
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	5	$421	257	257	+0	Colorado Rockies	-$67	05-30 03:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	22	$407	393	324	+69	Yes	+$33	10-30 22:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	16	$383	397	397	+0	No	-$61	10-27 04:51
Will Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?	2	$374	200	200	+0	No	-$14	06-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?	3	$371	261	179	+83	Yes	-$53	06-01 06:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	10	$305	274	174	+100	Yes	+$5	10-17 03:55
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	3	$270	146	146	+0	Under	-$14	05-30 01:59
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-31?	3	$239	166	105	+61	No	-$15	05-31 06:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$227	240	240	+0	Yes	-$17	10-27 01:54
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 28?	2	$224	141	141	+0	Yes	-$58	05-28 14:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	16	$216	502	201	+301	Yes	+$179	10-28 22:15
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	13	$211	330	330	+0	No	-$2	09-29 02:51
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	10	$207	300	200	+100	open	—	10-25 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$199	138	73	+65	No	-$3	06-02 15:10
Will Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$194	198	0	+198	No	+$4	05-31 01:38
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	1	$179	185	0	+185	No	+$6	05-30 19:08
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?	1	$176	178	0	+178	Yes	+$2	05-31 14:43
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	1	$169	176	0	+176	Cincinnati Reds	+$7	05-31 19:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	16	$168	312	312	+0	No	-$19	10-31 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 1?	2	$163	91	91	+0	Yes	-$13	06-01 11:47
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	6	$156	136	136	+0	No	+$7	10-23 22:48
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?	1	$146	146	0	+146	Yes	+$0	05-28 23:34
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$142	144	0	+144	No	+$2	05-30 13:13
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 29, 2026?	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	05-28 20:33
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	2	$139	75	75	+0	No	-$9	06-01 17:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	11	$139	326	60	+266	Yes	-$58	10-13 18:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 17:04:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x71e942…
11-10 20:43:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x75e037…
11-03 11:43:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x27bd53…
11-03 10:59:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb85420…
11-02 19:41:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x021ee5…
11-01 19:09:42	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$9	0x6564cf…
11-01 17:32:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf7469d…
10-31 16:08:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xb044d5…
10-30 22:22:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xf63b70…
10-30 22:17:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xccceca…
10-30 22:11:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x6c5e92…
10-30 22:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x07a5d4…
10-30 21:59:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x5caa8e…
10-30 21:42:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x958269…
10-30 21:39:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0xd4e7ee…
10-30 21:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x2fddbd…
10-30 20:01:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x31c551…
10-30 15:44:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8ab864…
10-30 14:06:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x377756…
10-30 12:30:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaf1557…
10-30 09:40:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x060f2d…
10-30 07:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xe9fb5f…
10-30 05:27:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	23	59¢	$14	0x4a983c…
10-28 22:15:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x92ca26…
10-28 20:00:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x658565…
10-28 19:40:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x6bf798…
10-28 13:47:47	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7aa304…
10-28 03:31:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x1cd081…
10-27 20:55:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xae1d5a…
10-27 19:44:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0x1de2fd…
10-27 14:57:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xb763d1…
10-27 04:51:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x705058…
10-27 01:54:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x0a03ea…
10-26 23:12:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xe40479…
10-25 23:58:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x565503…
10-25 06:02:23	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xab5322…
10-24 13:39:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf7c2d0…
10-24 10:21:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x88ef33…
10-24 09:44:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa53730…
10-24 04:37:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x707264…
10-23 22:48:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x311c41…
10-23 19:36:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x2df543…
10-23 19:32:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	53	33¢	$18	0x5120d6…
10-23 18:41:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x367cc5…
10-23 15:37:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xa556c9…
10-23 08:39:18	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x1c6b20…
10-23 05:31:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	51	51¢	$26	0x0386c6…
10-23 04:29:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x83ca92…
10-23 03:01:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xbee63c…
10-23 00:50:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x2b2cb5…
10-22 23:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	51	64¢	$33	0xfe0a82…
10-22 10:54:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xd81e7d…
10-22 09:38:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xf5dd5d…
10-22 06:35:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb72014…
10-21 23:51:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x27988e…
10-21 22:22:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	47	28¢	$13	0x2dcad1…
10-21 21:48:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x5ffeaa…
10-21 21:21:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xf40a86…
10-21 21:12:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x6a009a…
10-21 16:42:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x593018…
10-21 15:27:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x827b1f…
10-21 13:56:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xcd5010…
10-21 10:19:11	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf3827c…
10-21 09:25:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x83606e…
10-21 08:43:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	41	21¢	$9	0xdb79cd…
10-21 08:34:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf9979e…
10-21 06:36:47	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe85270…
10-20 09:43:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x213855…
10-20 01:37:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xbd4c62…
10-20 01:35:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x49af31…
10-19 18:11:15	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x38359b…
10-19 10:18:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xfb1f76…
10-18 22:00:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xdf4006…
10-17 03:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xae10ed…
10-17 01:32:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc4cf8a…
10-16 15:24:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x9d09db…
10-16 14:59:15	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xc9b586…
10-16 01:04:24	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xab1907…
10-16 00:54:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x64eae5…
10-16 00:53:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x5af79d…
10-16 00:53:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x5c675e…
10-15 20:51:50	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0xd8247d…
10-15 18:00:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x2d9be6…
10-15 17:40:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x5568c4…
10-15 08:59:34	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	51	27¢	$14	0xcaa3c8…
10-15 06:10:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xeb19aa…
10-15 02:25:41	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xbe68db…
10-15 00:07:34	will wti dip to 75 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x53a813…
10-14 22:34:12	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x88ca51…
10-14 20:39:30	will wti dip to 75 in october 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9de7a1…
10-14 10:17:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x64705f…
10-13 18:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f40b9…
10-13 17:44:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfc6d00…
10-13 14:01:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x495d27…
10-13 11:43:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x0fbed0…
10-13 03:02:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x546e68…
10-13 01:07:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xd26e4e…
10-13 00:28:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	41	38¢	$16	0x566218…
10-13 00:18:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x6c10e3…
10-12 23:46:23	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4f4205…