Winding-Inhibitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$72

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-06 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

57% 53% -$2

Politics

13% 67% +$2

Sports

12% 33% -$4

Crypto

9% 50% +$1

Tech

8% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No		+7	$3	80¢	$5	+$2	06-10 07:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+5	$3	30¢	$2	-$1	10-01 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	2	$6	4	4	+0	Natus Vincere	+$2	11-04 13:08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	53	0	+53	No	-$5	06-01 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	4	$5	9	3	+6	Up	+$1	04-15 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-04 18:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 07:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	04-15 17:59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	2	$3	2	2	+0	Natus Vincere	+$1	11-02 13:44
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$3	2	2	+0	Over	+$1	11-04 13:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	10-01 09:29
Kash Patel out by December 31?	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	06-10 07:59
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	-$3	06-03 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	06-10 08:00
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-07 11:58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	1	$2	3	0	+3	TheMongolz	-$2	11-04 07:06
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	1	$2	3	0	+3	Natus Vincere	+$1	11-06 06:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	05-06 10:51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	2	$2	33	0	+33	No	-$2	05-10 19:21
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-21 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	2	$2	2	1	+1	Down	$0	04-15 21:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$1	11	11	+0	open	—	10-01 09:27
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	+$1	11-03 09:33
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	-$1	11-02 11:02
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	16	0	+16	No	-$1	10-23 06:31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	1	$1	2	0	+2	FURIA	-$1	11-03 09:33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	1	$1	2	0	+2	BetBoom Team	-$1	11-06 06:24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-25 08:09
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	1	$1	2	0	+2	G2	+$1	04-29 06:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	06-03 07:30
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	04-15 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:24:36	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x90c978…
11-06 06:24:19	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9f7803…
11-04 13:08:28	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x20ac46…
11-04 13:08:19	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa099a0…
11-04 07:06:10	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8a15f9…
11-04 07:05:46	cs2 navi fal2 2026 11 04 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x886b61…
11-04 07:05:40	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x44f4e8…
11-03 09:33:30	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf82d62…
11-03 09:33:21	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbd5e15…
11-02 13:44:18	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x89418e…
11-02 11:02:39	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x622d19…
11-02 11:02:30	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x396d6a…
10-25 08:09:33	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4cc404…
10-23 06:31:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1b6227…
10-01 09:29:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40fb5f…
10-01 09:27:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb31e94…
06-10 08:00:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb054ab…
06-10 07:59:27	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xcc2a59…
06-10 07:58:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xcd956e…
06-03 07:30:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeb3e8a…
06-03 07:30:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xccc074…
06-03 07:27:29	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4f2dc3…
06-01 17:29:29	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xe8627a…
05-12 11:36:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdf14db…
05-10 19:21:59	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x86a369…
05-10 19:13:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbef4e5…
05-07 11:58:56	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xab8214…
05-06 10:51:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1d0c09…
05-04 18:59:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb2a3ef…
04-29 06:55:32	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf44c64…
04-21 09:58:46	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x92b234…
04-20 11:45:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3ac541…
04-15 21:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xa54901…
04-15 21:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf3a7e0…
04-15 21:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfafa6c…
04-15 21:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xba5f05…
04-15 21:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xe9f708…
04-15 21:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x17b850…
04-15 18:05:42	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x28c5ef…
04-15 17:59:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6a90bc…