Stable-Crusader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-30 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

32% 100% +$7

Politics

13% 100% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$191	192	+192	open	—	05-30 14:29
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$183	184	+184	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:00
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$160	161	+161	open	—	05-21 08:48
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$158	165	+165	Yes	+$7	05-12 19:54
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$157	159	+159	open	—	05-25 12:49
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$157	165	+165	open	—	05-16 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$155	160	+160	No	+$5	05-10 11:14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	04-30 18:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-21 20:20
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	04-01 05:21
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$40	45	+45	open	—	04-27 20:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	04-24 06:08
nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	1	$17	18	+18	open	—	02-20 12:56
will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	02-20 17:19
nvda above 140 on january 30 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	01-09 00:27
will chainlink hit 23 in january	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	01-23 22:21
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-08 07:37
amzn above 180 on january 30 2026	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	01-10 03:00
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	02-24 16:58
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	03-31 02:49
meta above 560 on january 30 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-13 02:11
will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	01-10 18:45
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-17 09:18
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-21 02:54
will solana dip to 70 in january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-15 01:00
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-06 16:54
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	3	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-10 20:09
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-11 00:28
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-19 23:47
gc hit 3000 low jan 2026 687 416 415 372	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	01-13 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 14:29:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$191	0x3b4bd8…
05-25 12:49:27	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x5d49d6…
05-21 09:25:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x53eac5…
05-21 08:48:36	Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0xda63ec…
05-20 19:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc7bb2f…
05-16 22:02:53	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	95¢	$157	0x9a258e…
05-15 19:15:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1243a0…
05-12 19:54:39	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	165	96¢	$158	0x6359f2…
05-10 19:31:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4a8d3…
05-10 11:14:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xf9b607…
05-09 08:40:20	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb4f868…
05-08 20:09:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3bed01…
05-08 14:24:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x61ca42…
05-04 15:25:10	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60270a…
05-04 15:00:32	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x0b0048…
05-04 07:37:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfa73c6…
05-04 03:59:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4862dc…
05-02 20:13:56	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0f4838…
04-30 18:42:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x64fe2f…
04-29 06:04:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe699d2…
04-27 20:20:12	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xbf6805…
04-24 06:08:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1d914d…
04-23 15:53:36	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x0f6691…
04-23 14:22:52	Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2fa21b…
04-23 10:28:04	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x068bb0…
04-23 05:59:58	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e223f…
04-23 03:35:18	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x38bcdb…
04-22 18:18:50	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc6ab53…
04-21 20:20:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5c5f93…
04-19 08:02:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf85dbf…
04-18 17:57:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x433f91…
04-18 03:36:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1fba04…
04-17 20:11:08	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd89ab8…
04-17 18:15:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc99fca…
04-17 16:07:24	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd31b65…
04-16 22:08:22	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe72ed4…
04-14 06:37:17	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x61a112…
04-14 04:05:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x299bde…
04-14 03:23:51	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x305f24…
04-11 16:42:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f6f34…
04-11 11:20:01	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2ccb7…
04-11 06:39:31	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x32b805…
04-11 03:26:37	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x043c2a…
04-11 01:55:05	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa87133…
04-10 15:54:45	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x59c223…
04-10 09:05:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7340c7…
04-10 06:42:57	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa7b12d…
04-10 04:31:33	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a2293…
04-08 20:53:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a19f6…
04-08 13:11:17	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x587bc1…
04-07 12:42:07	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ba480…
04-07 09:18:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8aa76f…
04-07 06:56:21	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa94658…
04-07 02:43:47	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x001154…
04-07 02:17:29	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8242ee…
04-06 03:56:27	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x791e03…
04-01 05:21:57	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe33437…
03-31 02:49:51	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdfdc52…
03-25 12:21:31	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3a28bd…
03-25 11:04:35	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2fecfc…
03-25 08:31:01	will chainlink reach 16 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa539d9…
03-25 03:36:53	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xed798d…
03-24 23:28:51	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06d996…
03-24 17:55:21	msft above 405 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc61494…
03-24 15:10:39	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0dfd93…
03-24 14:25:25	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0ae9e…
03-24 10:49:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x35c41c…
03-23 07:51:49	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfd972d…
03-22 17:59:13	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x99648a…
03-21 21:03:55	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8f3394…
03-21 18:53:27	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc38732…
03-21 11:22:35	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x61d424…
03-21 10:38:49	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa62bc4…
03-21 09:54:35	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8acecb…
03-12 10:08:25	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xee9d67…
03-11 23:55:41	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x20b94c…
03-11 00:28:43	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x860940…
03-10 23:23:09	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2df60c…
03-10 20:09:07	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xb0b0c6…
03-09 04:30:57	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x495672…
03-08 18:46:15	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x12d9f5…
03-08 11:04:35	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8538f4…
03-08 08:42:41	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd6e10e…
03-08 06:01:33	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6bf229…
03-08 01:50:41	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8e99b0…
03-07 22:28:15	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x128d30…
03-06 16:54:01	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x132cdd…
03-06 14:16:45	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc31e3a…
03-06 13:58:01	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc9d97b…
03-05 14:43:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x49c858…
03-03 21:57:51	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaab97f…
03-03 19:47:13	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x91f81d…
03-03 17:19:35	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa98fac…
02-25 05:14:34	msft above 345 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3adad…
02-24 16:58:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11c16c…
02-24 10:39:28	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52353d…
02-23 21:59:48	amzn above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d9908…
02-23 06:13:54	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x555c21…
02-22 00:26:54	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x4a482c…
02-21 23:33:46	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49136e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	68	$1.92K	1,770	05-25 11:45
Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774	64	$2.53K	4,017	05-31 16:43
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	63	$10.8K	7,867	04-26 14:48
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	61	$32.8K	371	05-27 18:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	60	$116.6K	2,264	05-30 06:00
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	59	$3.85K	1,445	05-30 05:22
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	55	$1.43K	1,219	05-26 17:17
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	54	$1.37K	1,286	05-26 17:17