Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$625

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

232

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-05 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

62% 36% -$894

Tech

15% 64% +$590

Sports

9% 38% -$197

Politics

8% 40% -$152

Crypto

5% 43% +$35

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-05).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	-36	-$22	95¢	$-34	-$12	04-30 08:53
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	+13	$10	95¢	$12	+$3	05-03 09:49
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+13	$4	5¢	$1	-$3	05-03 20:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$736	615	615	+0	No	+$388	04-30 16:55
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	6	$561	85	1,017	-932	Yes	-$410	04-24 06:42
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	11	$458	949	498	+451	No	+$227	04-27 18:08
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$328	333	333	+0	Yes	+$308	05-01 09:17
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	9	$327	718	718	+0	No	+$5	05-05 11:47
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$281	285	474	-189	No	-$28	04-15 21:29
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	3	$280	70	268	-198	No	+$58	04-14 11:27
Will Google reach $375 in April?	8	$267	166	323	-157	Yes	+$76	04-30 14:41
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$262	905	905	+0	No	-$233	04-29 21:46
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$232	169	169	+0	No	+$73	04-28 20:38
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	6	$229	171	171	+0	No	+$107	04-30 08:50
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	3	$212	183	183	+0	Yes	+$153	04-13 20:18
deepseek v4 released by april 24	7	$207	209	408	-199	Yes	+$60	04-24 04:47
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	5	$201	709	0	+709	No	-$201	04-30 18:29
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	5	$195	949	0	+949	Yes	-$195	04-30 18:26
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	9	$193	395	437	-42	Yes	+$15	04-24 06:42
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$177	487	303	+184	Yes	-$28	04-27 15:49
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$161	76	133	-57	Yes	+$25	04-21 11:53
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$157	96	115	-19	Yes	+$38	04-23 19:30
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$157	381	381	+0	Yes	+$38	04-21 22:06
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	9	$153	1,339	89	+1,250	No	+$14	04-24 04:47
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	11	$152	194	171	+23	Yes	+$9	04-27 08:09
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$149	54	172	-118	Yes	-$9	04-20 17:59
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	6	$136	257	130	+127	Yes	-$25	04-24 04:21
elc sot der 2026 04 11 der	3	$133	84	84	+0	No	+$34	04-11 18:28
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	4	$122	42	126	-84	No	-$1	05-03 20:42
will trump praise allah again by april 15	2	$120	938	0	+938	Yes	-$120	04-11 13:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$113	26	107	-81	Yes	+$87	05-05 14:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 28c	2	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	04-11 11:19
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$109	100	100	+0	Yes	+$89	04-14 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:05:54	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0xbc20c6…
05-05 19:15:42	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4b4b5e…
05-05 19:04:40	Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb6736a…
05-05 14:13:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	93¢	$100	0xbf33e9…
05-05 13:54:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xd325b8…
05-05 11:48:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0x177557…
05-05 11:48:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0x3206ee…
05-05 11:47:32	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	48	41¢	$20	0x3585a9…
05-05 11:47:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x4aae30…
05-05 11:47:18	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xf83304…
05-05 11:47:18	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0x9ceeb1…
05-05 11:47:18	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x5a7089…
05-05 09:07:26	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	694	21¢	$148	0xfee0ba…
05-05 08:48:52	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x6973bc…
05-05 08:47:32	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	214	11¢	$24	0x099089…
05-05 08:14:24	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xfadc59…
05-05 08:14:24	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4ae2da…
05-05 05:10:48	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x2e4d4c…
05-05 01:33:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x94d42c…
05-05 01:17:00	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	67	26¢	$17	0xceca91…
05-04 04:59:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xab391b…
05-04 04:20:52	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0105d9…
05-04 04:20:44	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x34b062…
05-03 20:53:48	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	440	1¢	$4	0x51d591…
05-03 20:53:46	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	SELL	74	19¢	$14	0x0be0bd…
05-03 20:53:44	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xd10f0a…
05-03 20:53:44	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0x7013b2…
05-03 20:53:44	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0x22f316…
05-03 20:53:44	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x0f013e…
05-03 20:53:44	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x0b1be7…
05-03 20:42:28	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0xe4c1ca…
05-03 17:00:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1a96d1…
05-03 13:29:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xab79b1…
05-03 10:27:04	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0xc19fef…
05-03 10:07:12	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xb7f4a4…
05-03 09:49:24	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x6a899b…
05-03 09:15:52	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0eae61…
05-03 09:10:32	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x750c3a…
05-03 07:32:34	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xeafa4c…
05-03 07:32:34	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x933f1d…
05-03 07:32:34	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x53c850…
05-03 06:29:08	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x92f13e…
05-03 05:20:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x9831fe…
05-03 04:53:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xbd7700…
05-03 04:48:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x1afd61…
05-03 04:48:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x09f6c0…
05-03 00:30:34	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xccd0f3…
05-02 20:29:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x09efde…
05-01 23:45:40	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x45d88c…
05-01 21:38:10	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	534	2¢	$12	0x73b355…
05-01 21:38:02	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	90	14¢	$13	0x5a6a20…
05-01 21:38:02	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x512c94…
05-01 21:36:52	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x866e61…
05-01 21:23:20	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x16a482…
05-01 17:12:26	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x2cc4da…
05-01 17:12:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x213d03…
05-01 17:12:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0xcbbd3d…
05-01 17:12:22	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4aeb21…
05-01 16:14:02	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xae6050…
05-01 09:17:42	Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	96¢	$318	0x8da090…
05-01 09:11:50	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xaf3ebb…
05-01 08:07:06	Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x13275b…
05-01 05:10:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x1ff1e1…
05-01 00:35:28	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xd17857…
04-30 22:53:34	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xcd7e29…
04-30 22:52:06	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x81f9ca…
04-30 22:52:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x4c6c86…
04-30 18:29:06	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	257	19¢	$49	0x2ec216…
04-30 18:26:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	544	9¢	$49	0xe61d31…
04-30 18:26:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	156	30¢	$47	0xa60d81…
04-30 18:26:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	37¢	$47	0x60c638…
04-30 18:26:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	171	28¢	$48	0x179d14…
04-30 17:42:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc40472…
04-30 16:55:20	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	542	100¢	$541	0xc46296…
04-30 16:33:02	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe53f5d…
04-30 15:59:40	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x48aaae…
04-30 14:41:30	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xf48a1f…
04-30 10:39:46	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	51	89¢	$46	0x823658…
04-30 09:28:26	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xb301f6…
04-30 08:53:40	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0xf94482…
04-30 08:51:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	SELL	52	61¢	$32	0xad91ed…
04-30 08:51:20	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0xa94ef4…
04-30 08:50:44	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x3a441e…
04-30 08:50:24	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$168	0x555a91…
04-30 08:50:20	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x97628d…
04-30 08:50:20	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3b59a5…
04-30 08:50:20	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x03c064…
04-30 08:50:18	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xda8b21…
04-30 08:50:18	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	542	1¢	$6	0xd2b1bf…
04-30 08:50:18	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	71	9¢	$6	0x6391e6…
04-30 08:50:14	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xcc2d0c…
04-30 08:50:14	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	217	6¢	$14	0x6abaaf…
04-30 08:50:06	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xddb951…
04-30 08:50:06	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x4f627d…
04-30 08:50:04	Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe8ef5e…
04-30 07:58:46	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	27	88¢	$23	0xd1afe7…
04-30 07:08:40	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x6bb27a…
04-30 07:07:32	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf5645d…
04-30 07:02:34	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x7ae5f3…
04-30 05:54:36	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x2de5a8…