Stable-Mortgage — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

15,008 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$62

$34.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-01 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 65% -$286

Sports

1% 53% +$61

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 585 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 17:45 UTC	73	$166	212	152	+61	Down	-$11	08-12 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:25 UTC	45	$150	143	115	+27	Up	+$14	08-12 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:35 UTC	62	$131	166	165	+0	Down	+$12	07-07 20:39
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	16	$120	84	84	+0	Knicks	+$30	06-04 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	45	$118	218	97	+121	Up	+$0	08-12 17:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 17:30 UTC	38	$118	114	88	+26	Up	-$12	08-12 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:20 UTC	56	$115	416	416	+0	Up	+$16	07-08 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:20 UTC	52	$112	152	152	+0	Down	+$23	07-07 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:55 UTC	43	$111	142	62	+79	Up	-$9	08-12 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 16:30 UTC	40	$103	141	70	+71	Down	+$10	08-12 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 19:30 UTC	52	$102	116	93	+24	Down	-$11	08-12 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 16:45 UTC	26	$99	106	59	+47	Down	-$11	08-12 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	32	$95	86	51	+35	Down	-$21	08-12 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	46	$91	101	58	+44	Up	$0	08-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	20	$88	63	58	+6	Up	+$23	05-25 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:30 UTC	43	$88	94	90	+4	Up	+$14	07-07 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	37	$86	109	46	+63	Down	+$15	08-12 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:50 UTC	15	$86	50	50	+0	Up	+$12	08-12 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:35 UTC	59	$85	598	467	+131	Up	-$27	07-07 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:35 UTC	46	$83	273	273	+0	Up	+$1	07-08 03:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 19:15 UTC	37	$80	90	36	+54	Down	-$16	08-12 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:55 UTC	52	$78	295	295	+0	Up	-$14	07-08 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	34	$76	119	56	+63	Down	-$9	08-12 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:40 UTC	34	$76	128	36	+92	Down	-$28	08-12 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 21:00 UTC	43	$76	462	462	+0	Up	-$5	07-07 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	16	$73	47	47	+0	Down	+$12	05-24 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 17:00 UTC	19	$73	67	67	+0	Up	+$2	08-12 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:30 UTC	28	$69	88	32	+56	Up	-$27	08-12 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:25 UTC	36	$68	77	47	+29	Down	+$2	08-12 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:55 UTC	8	$66	89	72	+17	Down	+$65	07-05 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:26:51	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x61bdc3…
11-01 01:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x124af1…
11-01 01:11:52	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x378b0d…
11-01 00:12:13	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xebbb04…
10-31 23:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xbc9a7e…
10-31 21:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x60b7e0…
10-31 18:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x08b23b…
10-31 18:41:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6e46b2…
10-31 18:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x754318…
10-31 16:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x28056a…
10-31 16:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x6d28eb…
10-31 10:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x3fa6bc…
10-31 08:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xdb034f…
10-31 02:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x42d7c8…
10-31 00:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x9739d9…
10-31 00:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe06dfc…
10-30 19:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x7fcf4c…
10-30 19:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x428adf…
10-30 14:27:46	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x7352f8…
10-30 14:26:51	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x7d22dd…
10-30 13:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x99a1ae…
10-30 13:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf32b6a…
10-27 04:11:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3b58e0…
10-26 11:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe14bc7…
10-26 00:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbec9c0…
10-26 00:41:57	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7b98f5…
10-25 04:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x02a819…
10-25 03:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x39e7c2…
10-25 02:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x1082e5…
10-25 02:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x686c01…
10-25 02:13:57	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x782b37…
10-25 02:11:51	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x145b92…
10-25 02:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x82c914…
10-25 00:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x06f4dd…
10-24 22:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe245da…
10-24 20:28:54	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x4be720…
10-24 20:27:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x88b269…
10-24 19:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xbb9084…
10-24 17:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x129c26…
10-24 13:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x1527cf…
10-24 12:57:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x981623…
10-24 07:41:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x83f089…
10-24 07:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x68bd5a…
10-24 06:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x42dd42…
10-24 04:11:53	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x91b55b…
10-24 04:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xa8a34b…
10-24 03:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1d01eb…
10-24 03:11:53	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x2cf962…
10-24 02:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x155fb0…
10-24 01:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xca1e8e…
10-23 23:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x61fb68…
10-23 23:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xdace70…
10-23 22:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x6be18c…
10-23 21:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x845680…
10-23 21:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf92bd0…
10-23 19:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x7c41be…
10-23 19:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x2ef8aa…
10-23 19:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xc77655…
10-23 18:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xc4110c…
10-23 18:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xfbd90b…
10-23 17:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x84f687…
10-23 16:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xd720cf…
10-23 16:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$4	0x6c8f5e…
10-23 16:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x422443…
10-23 14:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc94b13…
10-23 11:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x774f25…
10-23 10:56:53	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7b6d95…
10-23 09:11:53	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1aa188…
10-23 07:11:51	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xee6780…
10-23 04:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xca2767…
10-23 03:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x4bb861…
10-23 03:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc85d93…
10-23 03:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xbc900d…
10-23 00:41:53	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x2e0393…
10-23 00:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0de4be…
10-22 21:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x18bbb8…
10-22 21:49:00	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x49a8b5…
10-22 21:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd00ed6…
10-22 20:26:53	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x699fef…
10-22 20:26:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfaad87…
10-22 18:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x48bed8…
10-22 17:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xf8b53a…
10-22 17:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x5a0b56…
10-22 15:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x19d322…
10-22 14:24:05	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5f3da3…
10-22 14:19:02	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x941134…
10-22 13:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x42fdbd…
10-22 11:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x139bf1…
10-22 08:56:50	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xa59ec2…
10-22 07:26:53	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xa64e8d…
10-22 07:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf8e162…
10-22 03:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1c1ea2…
10-22 02:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x79d731…
10-22 00:56:53	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x667ba7…
10-22 00:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2b93d3…
10-22 00:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x6862b4…
10-22 00:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x02ad53…
10-22 00:09:09	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc9440f…
10-21 23:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x5414e3…
10-21 23:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2b0120…