(anonymous) 0x457525…3b97ad
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$31
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
20
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$201
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$27
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-31 13:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
58% 40% +$18
Other
30% 11% -$25
Sports
7% 0% -$15
Crypto
5% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +17 $4 20¢ $3 $0 10-21 07:05
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +11 $2 26¢ $3 +$0 10-31 13:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 30¢ $3 $0 10-23 01:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +9 $2 26¢ $2 $0 10-30 14:02
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +10 $2 22¢ $2 $0 10-29 22:02
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +7 $2 33¢ $2 $0 10-26 02:06
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 $0 10-15 17:33
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-27 18:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +7 $1 28¢ $2 +$1 10-30 18:03
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +17 $4 11¢ $2 -$2 10-17 20:10
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5 $2 30¢ $2 -$1 10-17 11:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-24 05:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-09 16:47
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +10 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-16 21:46
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-22 13:49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +0 -$1 7¢ $0 +$1 10-22 13:50