Flat-Smoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.73K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

20,954

Trades

77,228

lifetime

Volume

$140.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-25 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$3,661

Other

1% 72% -$84

Politics

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2041 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	265	$510	333	333	+0	Up	+$8	05-02 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:05 UTC	43	$304	633	0	+633	Down	-$304	08-03 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	42	$283	481	0	+481	Up	-$283	08-04 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	47	$274	412	0	+412	Down	+$138	08-03 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:20 UTC	62	$271	562	0	+562	Down	-$271	08-04 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC	56	$264	576	0	+576	Up	-$264	08-02 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:40 UTC	30	$261	378	0	+378	Up	+$117	07-31 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:40 UTC	60	$242	600	0	+600	Up	-$242	08-04 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:30 UTC	51	$235	519	0	+519	Down	-$235	08-02 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:40 UTC	57	$232	530	0	+530	Down	+$298	08-02 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	57	$228	627	0	+627	Up	+$357	08-05 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:30 UTC	26	$227	329	0	+329	Down	-$227	08-21 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:05 UTC	28	$224	411	0	+411	Down	+$187	08-04 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 01:20 UTC	61	$219	481	0	+481	Down	-$219	08-01 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 00:10 UTC	14	$218	318	0	+318	Down	+$100	08-03 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:00 UTC	42	$216	453	0	+453	Up	-$216	08-06 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:35 UTC	59	$216	620	0	+620	Up	+$405	08-02 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:35 UTC	28	$208	349	0	+349	Up	+$141	08-02 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	35	$207	369	0	+369	Down	-$176	08-03 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:55 UTC	49	$205	498	0	+498	Down	+$293	08-03 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:00 UTC	32	$203	391	0	+391	Up	-$203	08-03 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:55 UTC	24	$202	358	0	+358	Down	+$155	08-02 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:10 UTC	33	$202	299	0	+299	Up	+$97	08-02 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:20 UTC	36	$201	389	0	+389	Up	+$187	08-15 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:00 UTC	20	$198	319	0	+319	Up	-$198	08-03 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:15 UTC	22	$196	357	0	+357	Down	-$196	08-04 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:30 UTC	53	$196	505	0	+505	Up	-$143	08-01 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	36	$193	381	0	+381	Up	+$188	08-02 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	40	$190	429	0	+429	Down	+$239	08-02 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:00 UTC	35	$189	367	0	+367	Up	-$181	08-01 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:04:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0x58251d…
10-25 21:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x16d713…
10-25 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x51766e…
10-25 18:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d7e3d…
10-25 18:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x388470…
10-25 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc029d6…
10-25 18:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x14af29…
10-25 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3f62d0…
10-25 18:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad4c2f…
10-25 18:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x941da3…
10-25 18:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xddd83b…
10-25 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9ff49f…
10-25 18:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb3098b…
10-25 18:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb30dd6…
10-25 18:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd5c158…
10-25 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8b1d63…
10-25 18:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4cc67c…
10-25 18:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xefaa9a…
10-25 18:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe0f7dd…
10-25 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc12a48…
10-25 18:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x034c0a…
10-25 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x51e6e3…
10-25 18:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x18e6dd…
10-25 18:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd2054c…
10-25 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x72eda2…
10-25 18:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa90932…
10-25 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x811531…
10-25 18:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x08fd9d…
10-25 18:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf47987…
10-25 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc5067d…
10-25 18:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1f6378…
10-25 17:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x90a9f3…
10-25 17:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x77584b…
10-25 17:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2b01c8…
10-25 17:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb5633c…
10-25 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6be0dd…
10-25 17:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6556bd…
10-25 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8310b9…
10-25 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4f8de7…
10-25 15:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0d6ebe…
10-25 15:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x834f7d…
10-25 09:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfff522…
10-25 09:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x02bfa1…
10-25 09:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xff33d0…
10-25 06:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaafc70…
10-25 06:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x8b55cd…
10-25 05:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd4c14d…
10-25 03:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4e4ca4…
10-25 03:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3b4345…
10-25 01:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc6bed1…
10-24 21:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbb4c0d…
10-24 21:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xff3e00…
10-24 21:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xec1242…
10-24 21:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2c9db7…
10-24 21:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x44d0fb…
10-24 21:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4719ae…
10-24 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x077e85…
10-24 19:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7e9b9b…
10-24 19:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfb0ff1…
10-24 18:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcdaa27…
10-24 18:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaff2c9…
10-24 18:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x177060…
10-24 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc11fb9…
10-24 16:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2a8d9e…
10-24 16:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdec820…
10-24 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x84e789…
10-24 15:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf437a8…
10-24 15:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcbbf31…
10-24 15:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ebbaa…
10-24 15:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf597eb…
10-24 15:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x687e7d…
10-24 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6f7ab3…
10-24 15:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xedae6a…
10-24 14:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x53cbba…
10-24 14:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x21f16f…
10-24 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9a56d7…
10-24 13:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5e7772…
10-24 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3669c2…
10-24 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0ce2d9…
10-24 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x40daaa…
10-24 12:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4194b8…
10-24 10:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c10d7…
10-24 09:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd545e…
10-24 09:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc9d4f…
10-24 08:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x61adfd…
10-24 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa8454a…
10-24 08:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9051ab…
10-24 08:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0848ff…
10-24 08:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9c861a…
10-24 06:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9766e2…
10-24 06:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf3b31f…
10-24 06:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa5d647…
10-24 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7f0d39…
10-24 06:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6e9d1d…
10-24 05:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7c0f7b…
10-24 05:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe6e0f4…
10-24 05:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda44e0…
10-24 05:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x787ece…
10-24 05:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1a2e9e…
10-24 05:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc2afd…