Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$442

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 04-10 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$4

Politics

38% 67% +$0

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	23	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-24 13:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	41	$31	29	29	+0	open	—	03-24 20:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	17	$20	71	71	+0	Yes	$-1	04-10 07:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$14	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	04-09 19:21
btc updown 15m 1773406800	12	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	03-13 12:59
us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	9	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-13 10:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	9	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 12:11
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	8	$9	13	0	+13	Yes	+$4	04-01 13:11
cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13 game1	8	$9	48	0	+48	open	—	03-13 09:47
dota2 tundra mouz 2026 03 24 game2	8	$9	30	0	+30	open	—	03-24 13:32
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-24 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-22 11:14
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	8	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 09:58
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	10	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-15 16:32
bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	6	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	03-13 13:00
will geng win first stand 2026	6	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 21:55
will france strike iran by march 31	8	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 10:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$7	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 14:32
will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k	6	$7	42	0	+42	open	—	03-13 11:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-07 16:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	04-01 12:56
lol t1 hle1 2026 04 04	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-04 12:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$6	26	26	+0	open	—	03-31 16:40
f1 chinese grand prix driver pole position russell 2026 03 13	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-14 08:48
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	12	$5	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 03:55
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	4	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-24 13:23
lol hle1 bro2 2026 04 01 game2	4	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-01 09:13
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-20 14:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 09:21
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	22	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	04-04 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-10 09:21:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x87e0af…
04-10 08:06:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3487f8…
04-10 07:58:17	epl bre eve 2026 04 11 bre	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x50a8f9…
04-10 07:55:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xf24f95…
04-10 07:52:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xadb833…
04-10 07:50:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x4044e3…
04-10 07:47:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x5562aa…
04-10 07:42:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xa2a49b…
04-09 22:37:35	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c78f6…
04-09 22:28:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x773592…
04-09 21:40:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc2d7df…
04-09 21:01:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x8bcbf0…
04-09 20:34:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x1dc6be…
04-09 20:24:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x3cdb4d…
04-09 20:24:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x798b67…
04-09 20:19:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x301b14…
04-09 19:28:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa537a0…
04-09 19:27:47	bun aug hof 2026 04 10 hof	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf82eda…
04-09 19:26:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4b4f4c…
04-09 19:24:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xab2c0e…
04-09 19:23:47	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7ef647…
04-09 19:22:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9b79db…
04-09 19:21:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0x365b7c…
04-09 19:20:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x20d3ca…
04-09 19:18:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x49ebf5…
04-09 19:13:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x456051…
04-08 00:05:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2b5482…
04-08 00:02:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xe7c1f9…
04-07 23:46:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xc1dac0…
04-07 23:46:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x3d6864…
04-07 23:46:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xa3714d…
04-07 23:45:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x973737…
04-07 23:26:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x64d9c9…
04-07 23:25:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xd4073a…
04-07 20:03:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xfa5e2c…
04-07 16:31:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc01d66…
04-07 16:29:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xb2b7ac…
04-07 16:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x6b9e2e…
04-07 16:23:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xf389ab…
04-07 16:16:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x6295ab…
04-07 14:47:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x444c40…
04-07 14:32:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa4c691…
04-07 14:31:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2e14ae…
04-07 13:31:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x7b2697…
04-07 13:30:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x446319…
04-07 13:30:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbb3d96…
04-07 13:30:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe5667d…
04-07 13:30:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x478162…
04-07 13:30:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x187a2a…
04-07 13:17:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8ced64…
04-07 13:17:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc386e5…
04-07 13:13:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b3ee2…
04-07 13:12:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8d43d1…
04-07 12:20:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x571163…
04-07 11:57:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xb2b851…
04-07 10:32:45	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x03dc95…
04-07 10:27:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xeda90b…
04-07 10:21:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8e0be1…
04-07 09:11:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2d4b56…
04-07 09:01:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x813844…
04-07 08:56:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x472ca6…
04-04 23:28:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x584dea…
04-04 23:11:49	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x580293…
04-04 23:10:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5a03e5…
04-04 23:10:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x6ec4ab…
04-04 22:39:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x9cd51a…
04-04 15:10:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xd03b02…
04-04 15:08:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xced2f7…
04-04 14:56:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x49476b…
04-04 14:56:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x00cce9…
04-04 12:29:19	mlb stl det 2026 04 04	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x148f9e…
04-04 12:28:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3a1ad6…
04-04 12:27:37	mlb stl det 2026 04 04	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x43b78f…
04-04 12:27:29	lol t1 hle1 2026 04 04	T1	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x427f6e…
04-04 00:05:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x6df51d…
04-04 00:05:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8b18b9…
04-04 00:04:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbec51c…
04-03 23:29:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xca7a57…
04-03 23:24:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x91b02e…
04-03 23:23:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xefbe81…
04-03 23:22:43	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xb54eb3…
04-03 18:33:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb8c1dd…
04-03 15:02:37	cs2 g2 gl1 2026 04 03 game1	G2	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7d69c6…
04-03 14:58:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x775821…
04-03 14:58:05	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x44a220…
04-03 14:06:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc8df2a…
04-03 13:18:51	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2fe1b8…
04-02 20:02:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb89b26…
04-02 18:24:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf041a4…
04-02 18:06:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x23517a…
04-02 14:13:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbcbbe8…
04-02 12:29:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5489bf…
04-02 11:14:49	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf33701…
04-02 05:53:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xede528…
04-02 05:51:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa799a0…
04-02 05:31:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb640d6…
04-02 05:18:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xe311cf…
04-02 05:07:39	efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x20421b…
04-02 04:58:21	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4a9c22…
04-02 04:54:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xce8431…