Orderly-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.4%

Resolved

109

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-06 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Sports

56% 72% -$16

Other

39% 76% -$128

Crypto

4% 96% +$11

Politics

1% 100% +$14

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.9K	1,965	1,960	+5	No	-$2	01-31 08:07
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.9K	1,958	1,944	+14	No	-$2	01-31 08:29
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	3	$3.9K	1,942	1,942	+0	No	-$3	01-31 08:51
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$3.9K	1,944	1,943	+1	No	-$2	03-05 07:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$3.8K	1,932	1,932	+0	Yes	-$4	02-03 01:34
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	2	$123	315	0	+315	No	-$123	07-03 02:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 9?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	10-06 05:10
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	09-03 03:25
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	01-31 10:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$2	02-03 01:32
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$48	25	24	+1	No	-$1	08-20 03:01
will bitcoin dip to 54k august 17 23 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-21 03:18
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	2	$47	24	23	+1	No	$0	06-13 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	1	$40	50	0	+50	Up	+$10	05-14 06:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-23 05:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$28	0	29	-29	No	-$1	05-28 03:27
will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-02 06:56
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-02 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-05 09:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	+$0	03-13 05:08
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	01-23 02:20
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-09 06:59
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-09 06:59
nhl buf mon 2026 01 22	1	$20	25	0	+25	Sabres	+$5	01-23 02:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 06:58
nba chi min 2026 01 22	1	$20	27	0	+27	Bulls	-$20	01-23 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-05 09:05
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-09 07:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	05-18 08:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-05 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x9e3e64…
09-03 03:25:37	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc8a349…
08-21 03:18:48	will bitcoin dip to 54k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3a4f10…
08-20 03:01:09	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x7f2667…
08-02 06:58:57	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbe2fd3…
08-02 06:57:57	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbd18bd…
08-02 06:56:54	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9692de…
07-23 05:16:48	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xba9492…
07-23 05:16:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7e2eb7…
07-23 05:16:07	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0e1c63…
07-23 05:15:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa7af5b…
07-03 02:57:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	59	39¢	$23	0x68bd89…
07-03 02:56:08	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd0d5e0…
06-25 07:20:22	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2530a3…
06-25 07:20:10	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x9ec643…
06-25 07:20:02	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xaa56be…
06-25 07:19:53	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x407beb…
06-25 07:19:46	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x16230e…
06-25 07:19:32	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x44b638…
06-25 07:19:22	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1f58b6…
06-25 07:18:52	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd1d484…
06-25 07:18:44	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x18e29a…
06-25 07:18:37	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x31524c…
06-13 07:50:12	bitcoin above 52k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x75ad5f…
06-13 07:50:00	bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8cb2dd…
06-13 07:49:39	bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbe9470…
06-13 07:48:09	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x52275e…
06-09 07:00:24	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8ea6b9…
06-09 07:00:07	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb2cdcf…
06-09 06:59:45	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x42dfca…
06-09 06:59:24	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x557f3b…
06-09 06:59:06	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe6f792…
06-09 06:58:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x05491e…
05-28 03:28:47	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa166e0…
05-28 03:28:29	Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9f981…
05-28 03:27:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x2e160a…
05-18 08:17:45	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd56dbb…
05-18 08:17:14	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe02bec…
05-18 08:16:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52c64a…
05-18 08:16:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc4b374…
05-18 08:16:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfa5355…
05-18 08:15:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x576bd0…
05-14 06:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc70b22…
05-14 06:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x510ce1…
05-14 06:26:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9dfbf8…
05-14 06:25:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa6ccb…
05-14 06:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xcfe5c3…
05-05 09:06:04	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x61bfd5…
05-05 09:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd4211f…
05-05 09:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x75bad9…
04-09 03:00:05	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x44fcff…
04-09 02:59:51	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03e14b…
04-03 02:46:07	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbd13ca…
04-03 02:45:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xef643f…
04-01 02:02:39	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 140 164	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xea7280…
04-01 02:02:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf55803…
04-01 02:02:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6fa09d…
03-28 01:53:13	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 240plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6056a…
03-28 01:53:07	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf759af…
03-28 01:52:55	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9f1c77…
03-28 01:52:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x255ce3…
03-21 03:22:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0a49e6…
03-21 03:22:09	bitcoin above 84k on march 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x99250c…
03-21 03:21:59	bitcoin above 82k on march 22	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e352a…
03-21 03:21:49	bitcoin above 76k on march 21	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc268ba…
03-13 05:12:41	nba sac lac 2026 03 14	Clippers	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xcf07f4…
03-13 05:11:53	nba was bos 2026 03 14	Celtics	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x31e308…
03-13 05:11:47	nba cha sas 2026 03 14	Spurs	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x168d25…
03-13 05:11:41	nba mil atl 2026 03 14	Hawks	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7fc480…
03-13 05:11:35	nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	76ers	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xdb4f4d…
03-13 05:11:29	nba chi lac 2026 03 13	Clippers	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x929510…
03-13 05:11:23	nba uta por 2026 03 13	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x109f01…
03-13 05:11:17	nba min gsw 2026 03 13	Timberwolves	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4aed93…
03-13 05:11:09	nba nop hou 2026 03 13	Rockets	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcd81f3…
03-13 05:11:05	nba mem det 2026 03 13	Pistons	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x029e59…
03-13 05:10:59	nba cle dal 2026 03 13	Cavaliers	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x352650…
03-13 05:10:53	nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	Knicks	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa5f97d…
03-13 05:10:47	nba phx tor 2026 03 13	Raptors	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9f5d78…
03-13 05:10:41	cs2 sfe mf 2026 03 13	Mindfreak	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x9b5a81…
03-13 05:10:33	dota2 ess glyph 2026 03 13	GLYPH	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x795675…
03-13 05:10:25	cbb ucdv csufl 2026 03 12	Cal State Fullerton Titans	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6fadf3…
03-13 05:10:17	cbb sjst nmx 2026 03 12	New Mexico Lobos	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbccf58…
03-13 05:10:09	cbb abchr dxst 2026 03 12	Utah Tech Trailblazers	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70ca22…
03-13 05:08:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x610494…
03-05 07:49:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7507fc…
03-05 07:49:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf1d933…
03-05 07:48:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x29ae88…
03-05 07:48:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x8b8af7…
03-05 07:48:05	Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75c9a2…
03-05 07:31:25	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfd2a5e…
02-03 01:38:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x926bf0…
02-03 01:37:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on february 3	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6694d…
02-03 01:37:28	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x207bba…
02-03 01:37:16	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bb2dc…
02-03 01:34:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x063687…
02-03 01:32:10	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x84a79f…
01-31 10:42:44	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x02b0cd…
01-31 09:35:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,916	99¢	$1,905	0x2618a2…
01-31 09:17:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,932	100¢	$1,924	0xd20ebf…
01-31 09:11:52	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,932	100¢	$1,924	0x66d057…