Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$847

Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,370 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.00K

$51.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$2.50K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-14 04:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

52% 38% +$1,048

Other

25% 43% -$1,492

Tech

14% 60% -$354

Sports

8% 39% -$446

Crypto

1% 50% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+55,000	$3,350	5¢	$2.5K	-$847	08-14 04:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	20	$7.8K	6,090	6,090	+0	Yes	+$3,715	01-30 01:04
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	6	$5.7K	4,890	1,223	+3,668	Yes	+$433	02-02 10:23
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	572	$4.5K	382,988	368,065	+14,923	No	-$2,288	03-04 06:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	86	$3.3K	55,000	0	+55,000	open	—	08-14 04:12
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	14	$3.1K	1,634	1,634	+0	Yes	+$33	04-08 12:05
trump out as president by march 31	48	$1.9K	50,359	22,864	+27,495	No	-$336	03-29 03:42
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	16	$1.4K	1,187	187	+1,000	Yes	+$10	02-14 03:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$1.3K	1,201	1,201	+0	Yes	+$562	01-25 16:34
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	39	$1.0K	243,442	1,200	+242,242	No	-$1,037	03-10 23:02
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	20	$990	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$990	04-09 22:28
lol sen dig 2026 02 01	15	$829	1,389	559	+830	Sentinels	-$208	02-01 00:03
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$776	500	500	+0	Yes	-$14	02-14 09:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	60	$760	38,500	35,000	+3,500	No	+$10	04-07 22:42
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$736	467	467	+0	No	+$36	01-16 20:17
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	2	$709	549	275	+275	Canada	-$16	02-18 17:42
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$534	300	300	+0	Yes	-$18	03-10 22:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$529	773	773	+0	Yes	+$429	02-06 18:59
crint nam pak 2026 02 18	1	$510	555	0	+555	Pakistan	+$45	02-18 09:47
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$498	12,209	12,209	+0	No	+$138	03-03 20:22
cs2 aur1 pain 2026 02 15	4	$462	351	351	+0	Aurora Gaming	-$38	02-15 15:49
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	5	$444	1,780	1,780	+0	Yes	-$440	02-02 10:22
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	3	$404	272	272	+0	Yes	+$4	02-01 07:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$374	231	231	+0	No	+$14	01-15 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:10 UTC	11	$323	376	233	+143	Up	+$11	03-31 13:13
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$320	674	674	+0	Yes	+$220	02-06 19:00
nba den mem 2026 01 25	3	$307	379	379	+0	Grizzlies	-$33	02-04 08:40
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$304	300	300	+0	No	-$8	02-18 17:31
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	3	$301	500	500	+0	No	-$159	02-09 11:03
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt42	4	$266	244	244	+0	Yes	+$6	01-14 15:44
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$239	227	227	+0	No	+$39	01-15 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 04:12:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,770	6¢	$286	0x653598…
08-14 03:00:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb35a5a…
08-14 02:59:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6cde71…
08-14 02:26:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1f7f75…
08-14 01:52:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7d248a…
08-14 01:51:28	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1d6f26…
08-14 01:51:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x56c5c2…
08-14 01:26:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcf158b…
08-14 01:25:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1f731d…
08-14 01:25:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3c763f…
08-14 00:36:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x10dda8…
08-14 00:34:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6f6954…
08-14 00:34:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe6ff39…
08-13 22:57:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x042429…
08-13 22:56:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0aac1b…
08-13 21:26:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4b4c1a…
08-13 21:12:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x87bda1…
08-13 21:10:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x83c6cc…
08-13 20:53:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	6¢	$300	0x657a21…
08-13 20:39:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	155	6¢	$9	0xacf5df…
08-13 19:52:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x983c5a…
08-13 19:51:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3a9a83…
08-13 19:51:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x92ff1e…
08-13 19:50:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb9f439…
08-13 19:50:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x1abb27…
08-13 19:50:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x382b53…
08-13 18:29:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3ad0ce…
08-13 18:28:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf2943b…
08-13 16:12:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14,894	6¢	$894	0x28371e…
08-13 16:12:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6cfe36…
08-13 16:11:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1afa07…
08-13 15:24:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x2ff809…
08-13 15:22:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x740e1c…
08-13 15:21:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x827ee9…
08-13 15:21:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xd9a39c…
08-13 15:09:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xebb405…
08-13 14:49:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,827	6¢	$110	0x56a300…
08-13 14:49:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,075	6¢	$65	0x6311bb…
08-13 14:46:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x1fdb2c…
08-13 14:40:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6afeaf…
08-13 14:38:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x58a646…
08-13 14:31:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	6¢	$300	0x2307db…
08-13 14:17:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2d6ea5…
08-13 13:47:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbf51bc…
08-13 13:46:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x04db93…
08-13 12:56:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0xbcca11…
08-13 11:28:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x16a5cd…
08-13 10:15:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x521ad7…
08-13 10:10:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0607da…
08-13 10:00:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x211dc6…
08-13 09:58:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4c3ab9…
08-13 09:41:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$9	0xb84243…
08-13 08:55:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0x7c20c1…
08-13 07:09:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	268	6¢	$16	0x99e122…
08-13 06:21:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xf358d3…
08-13 06:20:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe92583…
08-13 03:55:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe1a068…
08-13 03:20:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x51b2b2…
08-13 03:19:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0a6b02…
08-13 02:02:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x3562a0…
08-13 00:58:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x44382b…
08-13 00:57:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb57105…
08-13 00:56:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb0f7dc…
08-13 00:54:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xf6ab62…
08-13 00:19:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd2ef69…
08-13 00:19:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3a2487…
08-13 00:16:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xdc3d81…
08-12 22:31:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4199ea…
08-12 21:46:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb42d7b…
08-12 21:28:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	216	6¢	$13	0x35c4b5…
08-12 20:53:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x79f095…
08-12 18:49:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa0fd59…
08-12 18:29:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0xf591a9…
08-12 18:08:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	297	6¢	$18	0x8a2e76…
08-12 15:48:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,201	6¢	$312	0xdc8b54…
08-12 14:37:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xfbc43b…
08-12 14:01:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x511a5c…
08-12 14:00:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x660ec2…
08-12 14:00:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0760c7…
08-12 14:00:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0x3f85d8…
08-12 11:29:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,991	6¢	$179	0x8a85f0…
08-12 10:17:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa63ba0…
08-12 04:18:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0xe33206…
08-12 01:44:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,539	6¢	$92	0xbf1c45…
08-01 12:31:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	7¢	$350	0x58f11e…
04-09 22:28:49	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$321	0x13618b…
04-08 12:05:25	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	1,100	96¢	$1,056	0x2f9561…
04-07 22:42:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	638	1¢	$7	0x200e0b…
04-07 21:26:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,500	1¢	$35	0xb268c5…
04-07 21:23:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x5cb9a9…
04-07 21:20:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xee5511…
04-07 21:19:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x7ba39c…
04-07 21:16:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	909	1¢	$10	0x56ac71…
04-07 21:11:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	909	1¢	$10	0xaa58ac…
04-07 20:59:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xe19033…
04-07 20:56:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xfef987…
04-07 20:52:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	455	1¢	$5	0xb166b3…
04-07 20:14:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	900	1¢	$10	0x887832…
04-07 20:11:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x687b7a…
04-07 20:09:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x2087db…