Golden-Doorway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.3%

Resolved

445

Trades

900

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-30 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

63% 53% -$459

Other

18% 64% -$129

Crypto

17% 80% +$387

Tech

2% 33% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	51	$3.5K	3,167	3,547	-380	Yes	-$136	04-13 21:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	36	$2.6K	2,150	3,329	-1,179	Yes	-$84	04-14 07:22
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	31	$1.1K	1,295	1,326	-31	No	+$7	04-10 16:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	17	$850	1,000	1,200	-200	No	-$214	04-16 16:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	14	$769	602	602	+0	Yes	+$6	04-13 21:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$715	416	416	+0	No	-$12	05-06 15:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	20	$707	1,600	1,774	-174	Yes	-$119	04-17 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$518	283	283	+0	No	-$3	05-04 06:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$385	217	217	+0	No	+$1	05-03 15:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$383	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 20:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	6	$341	200	200	+0	No	+$5	04-16 15:34
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$324	255	255	+0	Yes	-$3	04-11 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$319	312	312	+0	No	+$6	05-04 04:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$284	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	05-04 15:25
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$208	179	179	+0	Yes	$0	04-14 07:45
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	16	$188	231	281	-50	No	-$10	04-10 14:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$182	690	690	+0	No	+$4	04-27 16:22
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$168	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 09:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$168	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-14 07:45
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	11	$154	750	209	+541	Yes	-$31	04-16 14:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$149	212	212	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 14:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$145	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	05-06 06:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$144	280	280	+0	No	-$9	04-18 15:44
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$127	249	249	+0	No	+$8	04-18 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$124	201	201	+0	Yes	-$2	04-14 07:45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$122	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	04-09 21:27
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$116	78	78	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 15:35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	11	$113	175	253	-78	Yes	+$1	04-11 10:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	15	$112	400	400	+0	No	-$10	04-27 19:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$106	200	200	+0	No	+$2	04-16 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:44:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdf617d…
10-25 20:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xbab4c3…
10-25 20:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x32adcc…
10-25 20:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xad2539…
10-24 15:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc30b47…
10-24 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc84f78…
10-24 04:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x70155a…
10-24 03:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xefe5b9…
10-24 03:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe7a614…
10-24 03:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x10fa42…
10-24 03:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x432da5…
10-24 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x50d242…
10-23 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcdbe06…
10-23 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x78187d…
10-23 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6f0eaf…
10-23 20:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0eb1c0…
10-17 09:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0x389adb…
10-17 09:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xea018d…
10-17 09:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0xc12e8b…
10-17 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x4c4c87…
10-17 07:09:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x4d6a42…
10-15 20:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0c05be…
10-15 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x995805…
10-15 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x824e82…
10-15 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb4b668…
10-15 19:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x37cf6a…
10-11 17:33:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x14b6fb…
10-11 15:44:04	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x69122b…
10-11 09:14:03	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6fba9c…
10-11 03:53:30	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xa7ea4c…
10-11 03:53:30	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1a1fd6…
10-11 03:49:14	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x75bbaf…
10-11 03:24:15	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xb8ed4b…
10-11 02:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd9c419…
10-10 20:44:03	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0cc63c…
10-10 14:29:04	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x91185a…
10-10 12:14:06	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x341e83…
10-10 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8bb618…
10-10 09:14:10	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x0a9d31…
10-10 09:14:09	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x07dfe7…
10-10 09:14:03	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd50db6…
10-10 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfc2106…
10-09 21:54:23	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2412fb…
10-07 02:01:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0xe07617…
10-07 02:01:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x5b1e68…
10-06 05:03:13	Will Solana dip to $120 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x2fe129…
10-05 21:55:58	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x1cfc8f…
10-05 07:02:11	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xdb0074…
10-05 01:26:49	Will BNB reach $800 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8f74bc…
10-04 09:58:32	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcabc45…
10-04 07:57:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1b3803…
10-03 17:57:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa34bb1…
10-03 16:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x085307…
10-02 18:31:39	will hyperliquid dip to 88 in october 2026 from october 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x23e3db…
10-02 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3a01f9…
10-02 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa1ef00…
10-02 17:14:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xcd1f23…
10-02 17:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x131b84…
10-02 14:55:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x73a7d7…
10-02 08:17:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd1b1a7…
10-02 04:20:06	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb93e20…
10-01 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x154ca2…
10-01 17:30:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcfb55e…
09-30 02:07:20	will solana reach 120 in september 2026 from september 29	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdebcb6…
09-28 20:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x79557f…
09-28 20:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3761ba…
09-27 19:44:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa8113d…
09-27 18:26:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x6e4916…
09-27 18:13:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5e10b6…
09-27 17:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6721d5…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xdc0f3e…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x93621b…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x13f1f2…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x088768…
09-25 15:24:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xae8026…
09-24 02:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe8bc7c…
07-28 12:14:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d66ea…
05-06 20:45:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	185	95¢	$176	0x5ceb84…
05-06 20:27:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x17f439…
05-06 18:50:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x9d7b50…
05-06 18:20:02	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x15e1ad…
05-06 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x7941fa…
05-06 15:57:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	211	83¢	$175	0xb386c2…
05-06 15:16:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	85¢	$179	0xeb780e…
05-06 14:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x160c13…
05-06 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7a3256…
05-06 13:16:20	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	SELL	76	28¢	$21	0x188ef4…
05-06 13:12:46	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x79b719…
05-06 13:11:08	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xbb94df…
05-06 11:53:04	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0x47e63d…
05-06 08:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xe7ea11…
05-06 07:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xb1e06e…
05-06 07:26:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6a0e29…
05-06 06:03:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	205	86¢	$176	0xc54ffc…
05-06 06:01:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	94	71¢	$67	0x6c9e40…
05-06 04:08:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x827db2…
05-06 03:27:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbeab05…
05-06 02:47:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	205	90¢	$184	0x4cdea5…
05-06 02:39:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x070dcf…
05-05 22:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x3f6548…