Golden-Doorway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

793

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-06 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

69% 50% +$0

Other

17% 50% +$0

Crypto

12% 69% +$66

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	51	$3.5K	3,167	3,547	-380	open	—	04-13 21:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	36	$2.6K	2,150	3,329	-1,179	open	—	04-14 07:22
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	31	$1.1K	1,295	1,326	-31	open	—	04-10 16:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	17	$850	1,000	1,200	-200	open	—	04-16 16:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	14	$769	602	602	+0	open	—	04-13 21:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	20	$707	1,600	1,774	-174	open	—	04-17 17:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$385	217	217	+0	open	—	05-03 15:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$383	200	200	+0	Yes	$-1	05-06 20:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	6	$341	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 15:34
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$324	255	255	+0	open	—	04-11 08:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$284	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$261	283	0	+283	open	—	05-04 05:31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$208	179	179	+0	open	—	04-14 07:45
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	16	$188	231	281	-50	open	—	04-10 14:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$182	690	690	+0	open	—	04-27 16:22
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$168	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 09:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 07:45
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	11	$154	750	209	+541	open	—	04-16 14:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$149	212	212	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 14:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 06:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$144	280	280	+0	open	—	04-18 15:44
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$127	249	249	+0	open	—	04-18 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$124	201	201	+0	open	—	04-14 07:45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$122	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 21:27
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$116	78	78	+0	open	—	04-16 15:35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	11	$113	175	253	-78	open	—	04-11 10:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	15	$112	400	400	+0	open	—	04-27 19:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$106	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 18:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	14	$95	95	128	-34	open	—	04-11 08:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	11	$95	789	789	+0	open	—	04-27 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 20:45:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	185	95¢	$176	0x5ceb84…
05-06 20:27:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x17f439…
05-06 18:50:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x9d7b50…
05-06 18:20:02	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x15e1ad…
05-06 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x7941fa…
05-06 14:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x160c13…
05-06 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7a3256…
05-06 13:12:46	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x79b719…
05-06 13:11:08	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xbb94df…
05-06 08:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xe7ea11…
05-06 07:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xb1e06e…
05-06 07:26:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6a0e29…
05-06 06:01:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	94	71¢	$67	0x6c9e40…
05-06 04:08:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x827db2…
05-06 03:27:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbeab05…
05-06 02:39:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x070dcf…
05-05 22:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x3f6548…
05-05 22:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x22b8b2…
05-05 21:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4bd55a…
05-05 20:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc25adb…
05-05 20:13:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x45a4be…
05-05 19:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x28fb61…
05-05 18:13:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6bb007…
05-05 16:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x792fec…
05-05 13:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc27cf6…
05-05 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe7c04c…
05-05 13:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x70ac41…
05-05 13:13:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x832e67…
05-05 13:12:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd10276…
05-05 13:11:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3cd0bb…
05-05 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x00c50c…
05-05 11:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4820ea…
05-05 10:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x268baa…
05-05 07:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2a77ef…
05-05 07:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x137abc…
05-05 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x6b02db…
05-05 05:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6f1690…
05-05 05:15:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x17eea0…
05-05 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x964691…
05-05 03:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8ba2c7…
05-05 02:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf443d1…
05-05 01:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3f06d4…
05-05 01:11:22	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x79e4c4…
05-04 23:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb40211…
05-04 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xba1e71…
05-04 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1d069b…
05-04 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x445192…
05-04 16:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd806e5…
05-04 15:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb67c0f…
05-04 15:41:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc67668…
05-04 15:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x7e6033…
05-04 15:25:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xbda5ea…
05-04 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x440536…
05-04 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x3c8988…
05-04 15:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbe7898…
05-04 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x6a660c…
05-04 15:05:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x18d6dd…
05-04 15:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9dac7a…
05-04 14:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3df821…
05-04 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb02e2e…
05-04 07:43:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaa3dbe…
05-04 05:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	283	92¢	$261	0xa62eed…
05-04 04:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x64aa8f…
05-04 03:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xafb4cc…
05-04 02:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb5e3ff…
05-04 00:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe82639…
05-04 00:13:06	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xd42000…
05-04 00:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6c7ccd…
05-04 00:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbf9232…
05-03 15:41:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	217	89¢	$193	0xf5f9e1…
05-03 14:02:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	212	35¢	$74	0x359b2e…
05-03 12:21:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	217	88¢	$192	0x342f97…
05-03 10:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	212	35¢	$74	0xf35d24…
05-01 18:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xdd6db0…
05-01 18:43:08	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf4f383…
05-01 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xcffaa6…
05-01 17:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6437ce…
05-01 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4fe60f…
05-01 14:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x40cd9b…
05-01 13:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x42c85e…
05-01 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x48016e…
05-01 13:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2bf331…
05-01 12:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x60ac5d…
05-01 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4dc878…
05-01 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x084795…
05-01 10:57:20	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x23cca1…
05-01 10:56:18	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xd8a754…
05-01 10:56:06	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x36d026…
05-01 10:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x490df3…
05-01 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3bbc95…
05-01 06:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5a597b…
05-01 06:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x726d56…
05-01 00:12:08	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xadcb06…
04-30 17:13:52	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf2a24e…
04-30 14:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x91d5a8…
04-30 10:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x97a196…
04-30 10:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x25cffc…
04-30 08:58:26	Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Keegan Smith	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa83a3c…
04-30 06:00:30	Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x85777c…
04-28 05:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8857f8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	299	$169.6K	10,437	05-06 17:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	288	$87.7K	14,737	05-06 17:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	281	$149.8K	4,514	06-01 13:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	277	$87.8K	26,994	05-06 17:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	277	$72.7K	11,196	05-06 17:09
Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09	273	$3.10K	976	05-06 17:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	272	$390.3K	31,450	05-06 17:10
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	271	$89.3K	28,687	05-06 17:09