Elegant-Arm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-28 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-0

Sports

22% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	4	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-02 04:48
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	04-20 18:05
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-25 03:12
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	04-17 20:18
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	04-12 13:42
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	03-02 22:59
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	$-0	04-05 19:57
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-14 19:06
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	03-22 15:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	04-15 23:08
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	04-16 16:30
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$-0	04-05 12:25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-26 23:32
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	03-23 12:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-21 06:36
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$-0	03-24 08:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	03-25 08:43
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	03-29 00:12
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	03-26 12:36
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$-0	03-30 01:07
nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	1	$31	39	0	+39	open	—	03-21 22:27
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	1	$25	46	0	+46	open	—	03-31 21:32
nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	1	$24	38	0	+38	open	—	03-04 20:21
nba nop tor 2026 03 27	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-27 21:32
nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	1	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	03-14 15:52
nba den lal 2026 03 14	1	$17	29	0	+29	open	—	03-14 15:53
nba mil atl 2026 03 14	1	$12	53	0	+53	open	—	03-14 15:53
Will Solana reach $130 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 23:10
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	03-07 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 23:10:08	Will Solana reach $130 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x519195…
04-20 18:05:18	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x154745…
04-20 14:44:52	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5ee9db…
04-17 20:18:14	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x5dc9f3…
04-17 15:37:00	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc39798…
04-16 16:30:18	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xac8ffb…
04-16 15:24:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x10124f…
04-15 23:08:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x8324d4…
04-15 16:49:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2a0bec…
04-14 19:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x72d847…
04-14 14:59:05	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x367762…
04-12 13:42:49	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x8ead07…
04-12 04:41:09	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xab3250…
04-05 19:57:53	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xf3a679…
04-05 16:00:05	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8fd606…
04-05 12:25:25	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x613cc2…
04-05 08:58:59	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xaeaaf6…
04-03 08:43:37	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xa5652f…
04-03 07:41:49	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8b886d…
04-02 04:48:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x24a2ca…
04-02 01:08:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x84bef9…
04-01 23:55:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xc1d125…
04-01 18:51:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb4964e…
03-31 21:32:39	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Lakers	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x271890…
03-30 01:07:56	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x546d71…
03-29 21:03:28	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x80939e…
03-29 00:12:52	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x968381…
03-28 20:13:16	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x992eda…
03-27 21:32:07	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0x521ad6…
03-26 23:32:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x883bbc…
03-26 18:08:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x20a5ee…
03-26 12:36:31	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6b9c71…
03-26 06:57:53	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd87dea…
03-25 08:43:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6e8e41…
03-25 03:12:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1ac0cf…
03-25 03:12:41	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5f0e1b…
03-24 13:56:27	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf6cbbd…
03-24 08:20:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7f7e55…
03-24 02:51:25	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x84f661…
03-23 21:49:15	nba okc phi 2026 03 23	76ers	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x98158e…
03-23 12:55:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7ec736…
03-23 07:33:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x870755…
03-23 07:33:17	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe8588b…
03-23 02:08:47	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb19801…
03-22 20:49:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x347c1c…
03-22 15:28:01	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x9e1d34…
03-22 15:27:43	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x78c5cc…
03-22 10:04:29	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x298100…
03-21 22:27:39	nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	Hawks	BUY	39	79¢	$31	0xaaa236…
03-21 06:36:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x36d970…
03-19 09:08:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x434aa8…
03-14 15:53:43	nba mil atl 2026 03 14	Bucks	BUY	53	23¢	$12	0x8d24ed…
03-14 15:53:19	nba den lal 2026 03 14	Nuggets	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x253897…
03-14 15:52:49	nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	76ers	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x458560…
03-07 21:55:29	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x925088…
03-04 20:21:57	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0xf53b2b…
03-02 22:59:57	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc73cce…
03-02 13:56:33	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa4cb30…
02-25 21:42:54	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b9796…
02-25 21:42:34	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x976239…
02-25 21:42:06	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x434c57…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	27	$9.03K	7,804	04-27 02:25
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	23	$480.6K	26,374	04-21 23:40
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	23	$37.9K	342	04-27 23:42
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	22	$148.9K	1,630	04-01 04:37
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$55.9K	1,383	04-28 04:24
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	20	$22.6K	725	04-30 16:13
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	20	$1.15K	574	03-27 21:42
(anonymous) 0xee67…67a6	20	$947	1,119	04-30 19:48