Best-Intentionality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.06K

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

840

Trades

1,567

lifetime

Volume

$101.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$15.2K

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 11-12 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

36% 63% +$1,329

Politics

35% 64% +$6,518

Crypto

18% 76% +$725

Sports

10% 33% -$267

Tech

1% 80% +$515

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	+4,619	$1,196	100¢	$4.6K	+$3,408	11-06 19:44
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	+7,703	$5,379	57¢	$4.4K	-$985	11-12 10:00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$1,850	100¢	$2.5K	+$637	10-28 15:31
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+87,736	$1,788	2¢	$1.6K	-$165	10-13 19:55
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+91,389	$2,831	1¢	$960	-$1,872	09-02 23:45
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+1,100	$503	55¢	$608	+$105	11-06 20:42
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	+800	$560	68¢	$548	-$12	11-06 18:59
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+0	$54	0¢	$0	-$54	11-07 06:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	27	$10.2K	15,661	168	+15,492	Yes	+$5,478	08-04 22:26
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	26	$6.0K	9,473	0	+9,473	Yes	+$3,434	10-14 17:11
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	16	$5.4K	7,703	0	+7,703	open	—	11-12 10:00
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	3	$4.9K	5,004	0	+5,004	No	+$115	08-12 23:43
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	7	$4.1K	2,900	2,900	+0	Yes	+$29	10-31 05:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$2.9K	4,200	0	+4,200	Yes	+$1,260	10-30 21:58
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	19	$2.8K	91,389	0	+91,389	open	—	09-02 23:45
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	23	$2.7K	2,769	2,769	+0	Mbappé	-$341	10-13 11:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	12	$2.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	10-14 03:32
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	23	$2.5K	3,744	0	+3,744	No	+$1,208	10-30 21:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$2.5K	3,800	0	+3,800	Yes	+$1,346	10-09 02:50
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	11	$2.4K	3,761	3,761	+0	open	—	10-27 21:22
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	10	$2.0K	2,803	0	+2,803	No	-$2,028	11-02 01:55
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	26	$1.9K	88,979	1,243	+87,736	open	—	10-13 19:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	9	$1.8K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-28 15:31
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$1,800	09-23 04:29
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	3	$1.2K	4,639	20	+4,619	open	—	11-06 19:44
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$1.1K	1,627	1,627	+0	Spain	-$895	07-14 20:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$1.0K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	-$988	11-04 18:05
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	3	$831	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$170	08-13 01:20
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?	3	$756	1,240	0	+1,240	No	+$484	09-03 15:00
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$675	900	900	+0	Yes	+$225	09-29 08:37
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	10	$668	1,670	0	+1,670	Yes	-$668	11-12 07:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	2	$560	800	0	+800	open	—	11-06 18:59
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$521	707	0	+707	Spain	+$185	07-10 09:20
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	3	$503	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	11-06 20:42
France vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5	1	$499	780	0	+780	Over	+$281	10-05 18:09
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	5	$470	500	0	+500	Yes	+$30	08-26 20:21
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$464	500	0	+500	No	+$36	08-14 21:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$463	233	233	+0	No	+$0	03-31 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 10:00:49	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	700	55¢	$383	0x30ce1f…
11-12 07:53:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	84	40¢	$34	0xa5b036…
11-12 07:52:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7d674e…
11-12 07:51:21	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xd5ac62…
11-12 07:50:37	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x89c998…
11-12 07:50:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	180	40¢	$72	0x17bb77…
11-12 07:48:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xa3f8f0…
11-12 07:48:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	77	40¢	$31	0xc0ae4d…
11-12 07:46:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	800	40¢	$320	0xb27924…
11-12 07:45:54	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	79	40¢	$32	0x1d58a2…
11-12 07:43:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	397	40¢	$159	0xbd2d28…
11-08 16:23:58	Aston Villa FC to score first vs. Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xff8e5c…
11-08 16:23:58	Aston Villa FC to score first vs. Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0xbca2c3…
11-08 16:23:58	Aston Villa FC to score first vs. Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	42	42¢	$18	0x4e3ffd…
11-08 16:23:58	Aston Villa FC to score first vs. Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x33f216…
11-08 15:55:06	Aston Villa FC to score first vs. Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xb6f9ac…
11-07 06:47:00	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0xe32ff4…
11-07 06:46:57	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	106	17¢	$18	0x32051f…
11-07 06:46:45	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	53	17¢	$9	0xbbc064…
11-07 06:46:40	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	106	17¢	$18	0x8716d0…
11-07 03:38:51	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xe549a2…
11-07 03:38:51	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x0f2157…
11-07 03:38:49	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x0c9dae…
11-07 02:33:01	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	177	35¢	$62	0x4d6268…
11-06 20:42:21	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	948	46¢	$433	0xf06621…
11-06 20:42:21	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$19	0xba0e53…
11-06 20:42:21	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	111	46¢	$51	0x8932d1…
11-06 19:44:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xe346e2…
11-06 18:59:37	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	479	70¢	$335	0x7e11f0…
11-06 17:07:01	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	321	70¢	$225	0xdd64df…
11-06 13:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	85¢	$52	0x1d14c8…
11-06 13:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x284f37…
11-06 12:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x004f99…
11-05 08:19:52	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	639	57¢	$364	0x99919c…
11-04 18:05:52	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	2,400	0¢	$11	0x01d455…
11-03 22:59:22	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,040	10¢	$104	0x2b0021…
11-03 19:07:00	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xc0c39b…
11-02 01:55:58	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	72¢	$263	0x759d79…
11-02 01:53:28	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xabcb29…
11-02 01:53:25	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	72¢	$228	0xec96c9…
11-02 01:53:15	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	703	72¢	$506	0xac5426…
11-02 01:50:39	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x4484a5…
11-02 01:50:06	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	72¢	$49	0x3ebafa…
11-01 13:09:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	21¢	$844	0xc742e9…
10-31 15:33:07	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	280	64¢	$179	0x730808…
10-31 09:28:36	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xa7a476…
10-31 09:21:42	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe860eb…
10-31 08:38:42	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x53a52a…
10-31 08:37:45	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x2f83f3…
10-31 08:37:07	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x3e4be8…
10-31 08:23:42	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	73	54¢	$39	0xd04287…
10-31 05:06:48	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,431	71¢	$1,016	0x0780b6…
10-31 03:26:39	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x667723…
10-31 02:04:03	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	705	71¢	$501	0xa3a131…
10-31 02:04:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	759	71¢	$539	0x4ceff1…
10-30 21:58:16	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	4,200	70¢	$2,940	0xd6f1a4…
10-30 21:55:57	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xc286b5…
10-30 21:03:55	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	348	67¢	$233	0x8d8871…
10-30 21:01:12	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x817400…
10-30 20:59:57	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x092533…
10-30 20:46:36	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	250	67¢	$168	0xdd6b8b…
10-30 20:46:36	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	135	67¢	$90	0x9e0ee5…
10-30 20:42:40	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe5a598…
10-30 20:18:04	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	72¢	$74	0xce2e45…
10-30 20:09:37	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x634d1b…
10-30 20:00:48	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x39a002…
10-30 19:58:10	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x39658d…
10-30 19:55:07	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xe349ea…
10-30 19:48:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x3d418e…
10-30 19:18:58	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x2e4c8c…
10-30 18:55:48	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x532019…
10-30 18:47:13	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0xdb6867…
10-30 18:44:54	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	73¢	$356	0x9bf0c0…
10-30 17:21:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	86	68¢	$59	0x92c997…
10-30 17:10:39	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0x88b009…
10-30 16:58:21	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	73¢	$374	0x186dc9…
10-30 16:53:22	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xbcd31f…
10-30 16:43:04	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x8710d1…
10-30 15:52:13	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xdf6a56…
10-30 15:40:12	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xaea54f…
10-30 15:19:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf311bc…
10-30 15:19:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	769	68¢	$523	0x3e17e2…
10-28 15:31:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	74¢	$143	0x49b40e…
10-28 14:43:59	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	74¢	$63	0xcfe4c9…
10-28 13:47:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0ae89f…
10-28 13:35:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	74¢	$62	0xbb8ba9…
10-28 13:13:01	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	74¢	$206	0xf1f8f9…
10-28 12:24:08	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd1752f…
10-28 11:17:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x3aee87…
10-28 08:50:19	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x7d30b0…
10-28 07:43:56	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,828	74¢	$1,353	0x6833fc…
10-27 22:02:26	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,704	70¢	$1,893	0x538feb…
10-27 21:22:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	3,761	2¢	$75	0x2bb71c…
10-27 18:43:23	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	70¢	$137	0x73a296…
10-27 18:09:56	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xf1b15f…
10-14 17:11:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	960	62¢	$596	0x8e20ee…
10-14 17:07:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	106	62¢	$66	0x103c43…
10-14 17:05:58	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x45f2f6…
10-14 17:04:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x03f8f9…
10-14 16:53:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xf5914f…