Definite-Curd — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$95

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

37 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.38K

$3.38K lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$655

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	+303	$300	82¢	$247	$-53	05-06 01:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	+102	$100	99¢	$101	+$1	05-06 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	+101	$100	99¢	$100	+$0	05-06 01:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	+101	$100	99¢	$100	+$0	05-06 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	+102	$100	56¢	$57	$-43	05-06 00:39
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	+51	$49	99¢	$50	+$1	05-06 00:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	05-05 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	05-05 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-05 04:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-05 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-06 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-05 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-05 22:49
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-06 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-05 20:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-05 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-06 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-06 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-06 01:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-05 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-05 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	05-04 23:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	05-04 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	05-04 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	05-05 03:28
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-05 20:13
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-05 20:13
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	05-06 00:23
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	05-06 00:53
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	05-05 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 19:28
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	05-05 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x48bb48…
05-06 01:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf38dbe…
05-06 00:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4e398f…
05-06 00:53:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0xd4d19c…
05-06 00:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x978c8e…
05-06 00:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xea28d8…
05-06 00:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd32205…
05-06 00:23:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0xa817e5…
05-05 22:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3f94c5…
05-05 21:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x834ad1…
05-05 20:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdde452…
05-05 20:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb6c6ef…
05-05 20:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4e4190…
05-05 20:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x11b27a…
05-05 20:13:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc8a811…
05-05 20:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7a8774…
05-05 19:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa20c0b…
05-05 19:43:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9ca18a…
05-05 19:28:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x177e29…
05-05 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc980ce…
05-05 18:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb91caf…
05-05 18:13:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcee522…
05-05 17:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x45ced9…
05-05 15:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb5d38a…
05-05 15:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x42bfac…
05-05 15:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0x069b7b…
05-05 15:29:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3c22bc…
05-05 15:14:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa80b46…
05-05 15:04:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6133d5…
05-05 06:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd47a41…
05-05 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x43c8f8…
05-05 03:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xc1a1f4…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xe65fee…
05-04 23:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x4549c6…
05-04 21:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x93e01c…
05-04 21:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xb68ec4…
05-04 20:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x883f83…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$2.97K	135	05-06 01:03
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	18	$1.06K	52	05-06 01:19
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	18	$601	35	05-06 01:03
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	17	$966	49	05-06 01:18
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	17	$883	64	05-06 01:18
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	13	$8.71K	13	05-06 01:18
Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f	13	$1.44K	13	05-06 01:04
Plaintive-Lode 0x2336…039d	9	$600	9	05-06 00:39