Loyal-Size — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$302

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

1,209

Trades

2,140

lifetime

Volume

$65.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

88% 99% +$373

Politics

8% 62% -$89

Sports

5% 100% +$18

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	6	$2.1K	1,216	1,216	+0	Yes	-$4	01-30 22:13
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	18	$1.7K	1,649	1,649	+0	No	+$7	01-25 18:19
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	19	$1.6K	2,710	2,710	+0	No	+$13	01-26 14:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$1.4K	791	791	+0	Yes	-$4	02-01 09:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$1.3K	2,953	2,953	+0	Yes	-$102	02-06 08:36
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	11	$1.0K	748	748	+0	Yes	+$2	01-28 00:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$686	797	797	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 10:08
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	4	$685	490	490	+0	Yes	$0	01-28 21:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$685	1,632	1,632	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 04:31
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	9	$613	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$3	01-26 00:39
highest temperature in ankara on march 23 2026 14corhigher	7	$409	205	205	+0	No	+$2	03-23 14:37
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$384	274	274	+0	Yes	+$5	01-30 00:09
highest temperature in atlanta on february 15 2026 66forhigher	5	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	02-16 08:42
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 8c	8	$238	241	0	+241	No	+$3	03-27 01:41
highest temperature in miami on march 15 2026 86 87f	6	$220	111	111	+0	No	+$1	03-16 00:15
highest temperature in seoul on february 24 2026 8corhigher	7	$219	116	105	+11	No	+$1	02-24 08:02
highest temperature in wellington on february 27 2026 19corhigher	5	$215	112	105	+7	No	+$2	02-27 13:02
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 14c	5	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$2	03-22 08:23
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 18c	5	$199	201	0	+201	No	+$2	03-24 01:15
highest temperature in madrid on march 23 2026 14corbelow	5	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$2	03-22 16:57
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 14 2026 23c	7	$198	202	0	+202	No	+$3	03-14 01:03
highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 16c	5	$198	202	0	+202	No	+$5	03-28 15:15
highest temperature in seattle on february 26 2026 46 47f	4	$196	146	53	+93	No	+$2	02-26 21:30
highest temperature in miami on march 21 2026 86forhigher	5	$190	191	0	+191	No	+$1	03-21 18:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$190	380	380	+0	No	+$0	01-23 11:33
highest temperature in miami on february 15 2026 84forhigher	5	$190	95	95	+0	No	+$1	02-16 09:11
highest temperature in nyc on march 15 2026 52forhigher	5	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$1	03-16 04:49
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 15 2026 33c	5	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$1	03-16 01:17
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 15 2026 21corhigher	7	$179	171	10	+161	No	+$2	03-16 00:23
highest temperature in miami on march 21 2026 84 85f	6	$177	178	0	+178	No	+$2	03-21 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2cc503…
10-25 12:11:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x44b01b…
10-23 03:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb1465e…
10-23 01:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe5eb80…
10-21 00:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1f84b2…
10-16 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 16?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a9480…
10-15 21:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x39d71c…
10-15 21:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x187df0…
10-15 19:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3cd6c7…
10-15 16:08:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x588c6b…
10-14 15:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4ea74f…
10-13 09:48:53	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe86781…
10-13 09:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd219b6…
10-12 06:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfcd7c0…
10-12 04:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2560b…
10-10 03:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfe0e20…
10-10 00:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e5625…
10-07 20:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8fe492…
10-07 09:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x22fafd…
10-06 21:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9b718c…
10-06 13:55:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdddd6a…
10-05 08:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d3e9c…
10-05 06:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc90141…
10-04 07:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9983c3…
10-03 22:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x91d6bd…
10-02 06:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x66a3a9…
09-30 00:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x74148c…
09-29 19:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc970fe…
09-29 09:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb0d00…
09-29 02:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd922d5…
09-29 00:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x84e823…
09-27 16:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe7bcd0…
09-26 02:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf4e3a7…
09-25 09:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x85def0…
09-25 06:55:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba4b55…
09-25 04:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7a247e…
09-25 02:37:36	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 24?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x108acb…
09-24 00:08:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x038fe7…
09-23 02:48:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x939896…
09-22 03:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3d15c…
09-20 10:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x19795a…
09-19 20:25:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x435e3a…
09-16 11:18:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a75ca…
09-13 03:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ad10f…
09-12 22:44:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe8e278…
09-12 01:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfb9661…
09-11 09:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x13f7f4…
09-10 01:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 10?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x126130…
09-10 01:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 10?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc6a17e…
09-09 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61a1b0…
09-09 10:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc452ed…
09-09 04:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x27c879…
09-08 23:46:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2321d7…
09-08 05:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe12555…
09-07 04:42:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfb949a…
09-06 09:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1cdd5f…
09-05 19:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe9c230…
09-05 16:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdfdea7…
09-05 01:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xae54d7…
09-04 20:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31b448…
09-04 07:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x30d414…
09-04 00:12:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xac640c…
09-03 10:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc8deea…
09-03 00:36:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfa03fc…
09-02 15:40:45	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on September 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb0afcf…
09-02 00:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7588cf…
09-02 00:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x913474…
08-31 19:48:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x71c04c…
08-30 23:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x7b003d…
08-30 22:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x21ac6b…
08-30 14:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd2c664…
08-29 17:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf3f9ba…
08-28 05:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x711f34…
08-28 05:30:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x80eb8f…
08-27 12:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x39b389…
08-26 15:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a6ed0…
08-25 08:24:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4146bd…
08-25 00:10:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa64225…
08-25 00:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9858d7…
08-24 01:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x261735…
08-23 22:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc4fd52…
08-23 08:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xccbfb8…
08-22 22:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 23?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7e9e26…
08-22 15:28:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 22?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2dce38…
08-21 17:14:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdb7ec7…
08-21 17:14:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8014b6…
08-17 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2efff2…
08-16 20:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5a9150…
08-16 05:28:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7dd0ba…
08-15 19:25:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x26c5eb…
08-14 18:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe3b8ea…
08-14 01:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x16427a…
08-13 09:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc636f8…
08-13 02:02:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbb1bdf…
08-12 22:37:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb15f1d…
08-12 00:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x91f51e…
08-11 20:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc39869…
08-11 02:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x85ca47…
08-10 03:13:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x49d26f…
08-09 13:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x88d9fb…