Cautious-Beginner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-04 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

74% 95% +$3

Crypto

16% 94% -$46

Sports

9% 0% —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+43	$43	100¢	$43	+$0	06-04 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	9	$426	420	220	+200	Down	+$2	03-06 14:04
djia up or down on march 6 2026	4	$194	102	102	+0	Down	+$0	03-06 17:35
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$94	46,778	46,778	+0	No	+$0	06-17 19:40
will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-06 05:49
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	1	$46	50	0	+50	Yes	-$46	08-04 07:41
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	06-04 06:48
will the weeknd have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-14 10:40
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 07:50
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-14 10:40
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 07:50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 07:50
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-14 10:40
solana above 120 on january 10	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	01-10 10:54
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:43
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-10 10:54
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:43
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 07:50
Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 3?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:44
Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 3?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-03 12:44
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-06 07:49
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-10 10:54
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 40 59	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-14 10:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 3?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-03 12:43
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-10 10:54
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-06 07:50
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-10 10:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-10 10:54
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 60 79	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-14 10:39
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-06 07:49
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 20 39	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-14 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 07:41:14	will bnb dip to 200 in august	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63efad…
08-04 07:41:02	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x4d9c2e…
07-06 05:49:19	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x4de451…
06-17 19:40:07	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	46,778	0¢	$47	0xe3bd3f…
06-17 18:57:31	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	46,778	0¢	$47	0x4a1c17…
06-04 06:48:58	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xc90582…
05-06 07:50:42	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd774ee…
05-06 07:50:30	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7cfca9…
05-06 07:50:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a3ee9…
05-06 07:50:14	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4e3054…
05-06 07:50:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf17388…
05-06 07:49:58	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd12846…
05-06 07:49:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x86ec51…
05-03 12:44:16	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x91586d…
05-03 12:44:02	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x27a4c7…
05-03 12:43:56	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 3?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x44bb5c…
05-03 12:43:50	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2fa0ab…
05-03 12:43:44	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x86b090…
05-03 12:43:36	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x49c21b…
05-03 12:43:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c048e…
05-03 12:43:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b72b8…
05-03 12:43:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7de148…
03-06 19:43:55	rut up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x254480…
03-06 17:35:39	djia up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	102	95¢	$97	0xc44131…
03-06 17:32:59	djia up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x407316…
03-06 17:29:21	djia up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe01203…
03-06 17:00:23	djia up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x914ea4…
03-06 14:04:17	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0x857246…
03-06 13:58:59	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe59d35…
03-06 13:58:47	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x78f524…
03-06 13:50:43	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x415a3f…
03-06 13:50:35	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2bb2ec…
03-06 13:49:43	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xfe5665…
03-06 13:30:35	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	220	97¢	$214	0xa9286c…
03-06 13:06:49	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	184	96¢	$177	0x66d95d…
03-06 13:05:21	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x7b1f8d…
02-14 10:40:33	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x6b9776…
02-14 10:40:27	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xafa543…
02-14 10:40:09	will the weeknd have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf57fbb…
02-14 10:39:59	will taylor swift have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x818c8e…
02-14 10:39:51	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 80 99	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeab7c1…
02-14 10:39:43	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 60 79	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa432e6…
02-14 10:39:37	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 40 59	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x908de1…
02-14 10:39:31	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 20 39	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x534a58…
01-10 10:55:16	will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x370cbb…
01-10 10:55:06	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf26b36…
01-10 10:54:58	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x66abfd…
01-10 10:54:54	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x03e490…
01-10 10:54:46	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9d2cae…
01-10 10:54:42	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dc205…
01-10 10:54:30	over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x241737…
01-10 10:54:22	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4130dc…
01-10 10:54:14	solana above 120 on january 10	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81d905…