Thick-Alligator — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved (7d)

108

Trades (7d)

146

16,334 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$329

$48.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Other

63% 53% +$19

Sports

37% 50% -$390

Crypto

0% 57% $0

Politics

0% 80% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 377 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+29	$5	17¢	$5	$0	09-15 16:38
Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	+7	$4	66¢	$5	+$0	10-28 18:35
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	+7	$4	55¢	$4	$0	10-10 11:30
Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	+4	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-28 19:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl car ari 2026 08 07	44	$1.4K	1,853	967	+886	Panthers	-$102	08-07 03:03
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	2	$1.2K	877	873	+4	Connecticut Huskies	+$194	03-28 02:19
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 5pt5	2	$312	613	0	+613	Arizona Wildcats	-$312	03-28 20:23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$200	343	0	+343	No	-$200	05-19 00:47
fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 draw	2	$184	108	108	+0	No	+$31	03-31 20:45
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$150	247	0	+247	Thunder	+$97	05-26 23:40
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$145	227	0	+227	Knicks	-$145	06-03 17:28
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29 spread home 7pt5	2	$142	106	106	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$42	03-29 19:01
mlb det sd 2026 03 28	4	$129	254	0	+254	San Diego Padres	+$121	03-29 01:34
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$125	151	0	+151	Thunder	+$26	05-11 20:50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	3	$107	157	0	+157	Yes	+$46	07-04 01:27
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$102	158	79	+79	Knicks	+$61	06-11 03:24
nfl ari lv 2026 08 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	146	0	+146	ARI	-$100	08-14 00:10
mlb mia phi 2026 08 19	1	$100	179	0	+179	Philadelphia Phillies	+$79	08-19 19:03
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$100	172	0	+172	Spurs	-$100	05-30 14:10
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$100	146	0	+146	Knicks	+$46	05-19 23:03
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$100	224	0	+224	Cavs	+$124	05-18 00:04
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	9	$90	119	88	+31	Connecticut Huskies	$0	04-05 00:05
wta kawa maria 2026 04 01	3	$83	62	61	+1	Katarzyna Kawa	-$1	04-01 19:49
uef cze den 2026 03 31 cze	2	$76	70	69	+1	No	+$1	03-31 20:07
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$69	189	0	+189	Spurs	-$69	05-25 00:55
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$68	166	0	+166	Thunder	+$98	05-23 00:51
atp altmaie prizmic 2026 04 02	4	$66	47	46	+1	Daniel Altmaier	+$27	04-03 15:33
nba sas den 2026 04 04	10	$66	67	26	+41	Nuggets	-$7	04-04 21:37
lal ray elc 2026 04 03 total 2pt5	6	$63	43	42	+1	Under	+$21	04-03 21:43
lal bet esp 2026 04 04 bet	9	$61	42	42	+1	No	+$23	04-04 20:20
nba phi mia 2026 03 30	8	$57	84	0	+84	Heat	-$23	03-31 01:32
nba sas lac 2026 04 02	7	$56	58	42	+16	Spurs	+$3	04-03 04:32
wta jones mandlik 2026 04 06	4	$52	33	32	+0	Francesca Jones	+$13	04-06 15:57
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	1	$50	100	0	+100	Knicks	+$50	06-13 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:03:22	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x613da8…
10-28 19:51:11	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x2d4833…
10-28 18:35:59	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x76fc18…
10-28 18:30:44	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Jakub Mensik	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xee6979…
10-28 17:41:38	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xce7e29…
10-28 15:45:46	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7cad7e…
10-28 15:36:07	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x54b69d…
10-28 15:35:34	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xda2907…
10-28 14:55:34	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x35bdb6…
10-28 13:57:07	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0xe0d053…
10-28 13:57:01	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x6c13d1…
10-28 13:54:22	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf718a2…
10-28 12:59:59	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc3380a…
10-28 12:59:31	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x0c2669…
10-28 11:51:47	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xc4dafd…
10-28 10:52:46	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x1bac0a…
10-28 10:52:31	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xfdfc21…
10-28 10:15:20	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x524a90…
10-28 09:54:46	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x011d80…
10-28 06:22:04	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Cristina Bucsa	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xebd420…
10-28 06:13:32	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x22f719…
10-28 03:17:21	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x54306f…
10-28 01:10:53	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky	Delaware	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4a9992…
10-27 23:54:30	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3ee262…
10-27 23:27:11	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x884299…
10-27 23:27:09	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7c388d…
10-27 23:24:27	Spread: Celtics (-10.5)	Nets	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c0424…
10-27 23:10:59	Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a7a89…
10-27 21:35:11	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x5d9507…
10-27 21:34:39	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xf62009…
10-27 19:56:59	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x844120…
10-27 18:26:24	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Cameron Norrie	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1978ce…
10-27 18:11:44	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Cameron Norrie	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x54b39b…
10-27 17:12:32	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x914cfb…
10-27 17:11:30	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x6e5a2a…
10-27 17:10:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xee52fd…
10-27 17:05:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x793a00…
10-27 16:38:09	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x119605…
10-27 16:34:45	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xd1e6be…
10-27 16:29:24	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdf48c2…
10-27 14:57:45	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xcbde66…
10-27 13:28:03	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x85d6b7…
10-27 13:10:35	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x982db9…
10-27 12:31:26	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x8c455b…
10-27 12:31:20	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x4b9984…
10-27 11:42:11	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x594644…
10-27 03:20:20	Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33badc…
10-27 02:24:03	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9b113f…
10-27 01:53:32	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x11e304…
10-27 01:53:09	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xdfd023…
10-27 00:44:11	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0576a6…
10-27 00:44:06	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x34a2f5…
10-26 23:44:21	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5b9043…
10-26 23:05:41	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb80d03…
10-26 22:56:23	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe1b8ad…
10-26 22:53:27	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x71f22c…
10-26 22:32:32	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x215913…
10-26 21:40:06	Bulls vs. Celtics	Bulls	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xad47fc…
10-26 21:38:35	Bulls vs. Celtics	Bulls	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x125582…
10-26 21:30:26	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x908a39…
10-26 17:33:59	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0706c2…
10-26 15:15:12	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xbceb2e…
10-26 01:02:56	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Kings	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x55e3a5…
10-26 00:47:56	Clippers vs. Thunder	Clippers	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x7fb08c…
10-26 00:31:24	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x6d7ff9…
10-26 00:19:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb07b45…
10-25 23:53:26	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x47755f…
10-25 23:34:18	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x930aaf…
10-25 22:48:35	Canadiens vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbdf85a…
10-25 22:08:17	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x930918…
10-25 22:02:42	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8ba6f5…
10-25 21:03:27	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2a4069…
10-25 20:22:59	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x7574b6…
10-25 20:01:41	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe4174a…
10-25 19:57:30	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xa6fef1…
10-25 19:36:51	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x71a550…
10-25 19:12:14	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x153b01…
10-25 19:05:33	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x258d93…
10-25 18:42:03	49ers vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xbdeef9…
10-25 18:21:53	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x68c9c3…
10-25 17:54:12	49ers vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd3970a…
10-25 17:48:44	49ers vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x20bfd2…
10-25 17:30:11	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9e65d5…
10-25 17:18:41	Dolphins vs. Jets	Dolphins	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x5c8040…
10-25 17:17:56	Dolphins vs. Jets	Dolphins	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf3d95d…
10-25 16:39:17	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x80bb98…
10-25 16:24:29	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x003d13…
10-25 14:31:35	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5c401b…
10-25 14:24:51	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x49f1f7…
10-25 13:24:51	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x08dc91…
10-25 12:29:41	Spread: Jets (-4.5)	Dolphins	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x399420…
10-25 11:21:38	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x0e0ff0…
10-25 11:11:21	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc6461b…
10-25 10:38:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbb658f…
10-25 01:14:24	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Warriors	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb7b54f…
10-24 22:59:44	Spread: Oklahoma State (-13.5)	Oklahoma State	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x231ef5…
10-24 22:38:53	Spread: Clemson (-2.5)	Clemson	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc8b6c4…
10-24 20:39:08	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3e6afd…
10-24 20:31:21	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5e6408…
10-24 20:25:24	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xcf0ab2…