Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$813

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved (30d)

182

Trades (30d)

1,638

2,155 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$13.8K

$18.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 11-04 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

62% 8% -$673

Politics

25% 17% -$118

Sports

8% 8% -$37

Tech

3% 20% -$6

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	+1	$1	72¢	$1	+$0	11-01 15:11
will i play rocky score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261123	No	+20	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	10-26 23:05
Will Joe Burrow have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	+1	$2	22¢	$0	-$2	10-08 03:08
Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	+1	$2	25¢	$0	-$2	10-12 00:48
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	+0	$2	42¢	$0	-$2	10-22 19:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?	No	+0	$4	54¢	$0	-$4	10-26 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala in Georgia?	16	$174	140	140	+0	open	—	10-25 03:24
Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?	13	$149	120	120	+0	No	-$20	10-06 12:19
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	10	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	10-12 23:54
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	23	$147	160	160	+0	open	—	10-25 08:22
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?	17	$128	107	107	+0	open	—	11-04 10:02
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	11	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 12:04
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	15	$120	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	10-29 16:58
Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	11	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	10-13 19:20
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	8	$112	80	80	+0	open	—	10-06 19:38
Will Will Reichard finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	8	$106	80	80	+0	open	—	10-16 14:34
Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	10	$101	76	76	+0	open	—	10-17 13:40
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	6	$95	60	60	+0	open	—	10-14 04:04
Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	9	$94	80	80	+0	Yes	-$18	10-13 03:23
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	11	$90	65	65	+0	Yes	-$3	10-26 04:42
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	10	$89	80	80	+0	open	—	10-25 11:22
Will the Samsung Lions win the 2026 Korean Series?	9	$87	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 16:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%?	6	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	10-22 16:15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?	6	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 21:09
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	7	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	10-04 08:09
Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	7	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 10:06
Will Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?	6	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	10-24 23:43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	10-13 07:41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 20%-25%?	6	$84	60	60	+0	open	—	10-14 14:34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?	6	$84	60	60	+0	open	—	10-15 11:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?	6	$82	60	60	+0	open	—	10-19 15:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?	6	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 01:58
Will Omarion Hampton have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	12	$79	76	76	+0	open	—	10-15 19:03
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	8	$79	60	60	+0	Yes	-$9	10-17 11:40
Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	6	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	10-17 23:12
Will Ja'Marr Chase have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	18	$74	90	90	+0	open	—	10-26 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:10:01	Will David Montgomery have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x0824e9…
11-04 10:02:58	Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x058299…
11-04 09:57:42	Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xa8754b…
11-01 15:11:25	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	SELL	19	71¢	$14	0x1049b6…
10-30 05:53:03	Will Dak Prescott have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x6774b1…
10-30 01:31:45	Will Drake London have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x4c19f7…
10-29 16:58:56	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x7ee43c…
10-29 16:57:22	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xea9b78…
10-29 16:35:02	Will Brandon Hagel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xdafca3…
10-29 13:49:49	Over $5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x12c30d…
10-29 13:35:46	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x197659…
10-29 13:06:55	Will Drake London have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x698aaa…
10-29 13:05:34	Will Matthew Stafford have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x76316a…
10-29 13:04:40	Over $5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xebcd69…
10-29 12:36:59	Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x5439f7…
10-29 11:58:52	Will Dak Prescott have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x59cd4a…
10-29 11:51:23	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x24d34f…
10-29 10:19:16	Will Matthew Stafford have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb6a071…
10-29 10:06:55	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xcc4d95…
10-29 09:17:13	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x1087a4…
10-29 09:05:49	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x52b40d…
10-29 09:04:38	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbd3b6e…
10-29 09:02:11	Will Drake Maye have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xc40c4a…
10-29 08:38:49	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xa3ebdd…
10-29 08:35:17	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xa127f6…
10-29 08:19:40	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xd207d0…
10-29 07:43:47	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd08e96…
10-29 07:36:31	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xeea8ce…
10-29 07:01:02	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x746e9b…
10-29 07:00:59	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9b08d7…
10-29 06:39:37	Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x59e3b0…
10-29 06:21:20	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf2c033…
10-29 06:00:35	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf6dc2c…
10-29 03:56:37	Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8159e7…
10-29 02:30:41	will surviving hurricane otis be the top us netflix movie this week 20261103	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x887afd…
10-29 02:21:26	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5a5fb2…
10-29 02:04:59	will animals be the top global netflix movie this week 20261103	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa802ea…
10-29 01:56:19	Will David Montgomery have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa1345b…
10-29 01:15:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x8b3f67…
10-29 00:47:55	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $137?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x897db2…
10-29 00:47:32	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $137?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x325217…
10-29 00:00:49	dwts 35 week 8 elimination julsti	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xea7d78…
10-29 00:00:40	dwts 35 week 8 elimination julsti	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc320ea…
10-28 23:28:29	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd67670…
10-28 22:50:47	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x97cb2f…
10-28 22:48:08	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 20261130	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x86c450…
10-28 22:47:52	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 20261130	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x72bc61…
10-28 22:47:37	will nobody wants this season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 20261103	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd82420…
10-28 22:40:25	Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher?	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x05aee5…
10-28 22:18:19	will there be no next claude opus model 5pt6 release by november 30 2026	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xe84edc…
10-28 22:16:53	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x8aa5d7…
10-28 22:06:01	will gemini carbon debut at a score of at least 1540 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7c7ce5…
10-28 22:05:41	will gemini carbon debut at a score of at least 1530 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x79c024…
10-28 22:02:19	will the next fable model 5pt2 debut in the top 10 of the text arena leaderboard by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb28823…
10-28 21:19:34	Will Drake Maye have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xe9372f…
10-28 21:13:23	Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x10fc3f…
10-28 20:25:41	Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf51f1e…
10-28 20:09:35	Will Brice Turang lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x0e229b…
10-28 20:00:55	Will Drake Maye have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xed8bfe…
10-28 20:00:55	Will Drake Maye have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x77e1e2…
10-28 19:26:02	Over $40M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x9a7b5e…
10-28 19:21:11	will the us birth rate in 2026 be 51pt5 or higher	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xb09b0a…
10-28 19:03:23	will the us birth rate in 2026 be 51pt5 or higher	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x1b49d8…
10-28 19:02:43	will the us birth rate in 2026 be 51pt0 or higher	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3d8e43…
10-28 18:53:58	Will Como finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x6d13c3…
10-28 18:46:44	Over $2M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x9b03c1…
10-28 18:46:43	Over $2M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xb08f21…
10-28 18:26:14	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xca1fd2…
10-28 18:25:04	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1a76ba…
10-28 18:24:22	over 40m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb9fddf…
10-28 18:15:37	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x5e44ce…
10-28 17:36:02	over 750k committed to the over computer public sale	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xc2afe1…
10-28 17:27:17	over 5m committed to the over computer public sale	No	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0xf6142a…
10-28 17:24:20	over 10m committed to the over computer public sale	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xce1993…
10-28 17:24:11	over 10m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe8d835…
10-28 17:21:07	over 5m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd171ef…
10-28 17:20:50	over 2m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdfb471…
10-28 17:20:37	over 750k committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc7c68d…
10-28 17:20:23	over 500k committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x180ff2…
10-28 16:51:08	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xb122b4…
10-28 16:50:52	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x38b832…
10-28 16:29:02	Will Lindsey Vonn rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x2d56ab…
10-28 15:42:28	Will Lindsey Vonn rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x626d0f…
10-28 15:42:08	Will Christian McCaffrey have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x84f9bd…
10-28 13:34:32	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x6e2b28…
10-28 13:30:55	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x8b6c07…
10-28 13:30:55	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x29a4a6…
10-28 13:16:50	Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x3fe338…
10-28 12:32:10	Will Okta (OKTA) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x24cdc9…
10-28 12:10:46	Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc0d5de…
10-28 12:08:23	Will Okta (OKTA) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcde499…
10-28 10:59:25	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x7ba784…
10-28 10:38:41	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x177e99…
10-28 08:42:55	Will the St. Louis Blues record 90+ points?	No	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x2040f4…
10-28 08:07:58	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x9c3dde…
10-28 07:02:16	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x223c0f…
10-28 07:02:14	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa49614…
10-28 07:02:01	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x2ff2f4…
10-28 06:25:44	Will Christian McCaffrey have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x446143…
10-28 06:13:25	Will the St. Louis Blues record 90+ points?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9d2328…