Steep-Survey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$3.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$7

Other

37% 100% +$3

Politics

5% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$58

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$230	136	136	+0	open	—	03-16 04:48
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	2	$201	110	110	+0	open	—	05-13 10:53
btc updown 15m 1773566100	5	$150	102	101	+1	open	—	03-15 09:29
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	05-20 14:19
btc updown 15m 1773565200	5	$82	80	79	+0	open	—	03-15 09:09
btc updown 15m 1773564300	3	$70	52	38	+14	open	—	03-15 08:52
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	2	$61	43	43	+0	open	—	06-26 20:55
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$50	78	0	+78	Yes	+$28	04-27 13:59
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$50	80	0	+80	No	+$30	03-19 17:14
bun hsv bay 2026 01 31 bay	2	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	01-31 18:07
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$45	28	28	+0	open	—	05-30 16:58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	1	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	05-23 15:02
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	2	$37	54	53	+1	open	—	04-07 20:06
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	06-30 03:46
btc updown 5m 1773502500	4	$33	46	17	+29	open	—	03-14 15:39
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	03-16 04:48
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	06-29 03:12
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	06-21 16:28
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	04-09 16:05
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	06-15 13:38
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	06-18 13:42
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$30	42	42	+0	open	—	06-27 01:29
btc updown 15m 1773557100	5	$29	34	27	+7	open	—	03-15 06:58
btc updown 5m 1773548400	3	$29	34	12	+22	open	—	03-15 04:24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	3	$29	36	36	+0	open	—	05-22 01:34
btc updown 5m 1773499800	5	$28	28	20	+8	open	—	03-14 14:54
btc updown 15m 1773585000	4	$26	38	17	+20	open	—	03-15 14:43
btc updown 5m 1773561600	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-15 08:04
btc updown 15m 1773560700	4	$22	37	17	+20	open	—	03-15 07:58
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$21	49	49	+0	open	—	01-30 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:09:31	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xec1387…
07-01 16:06:37	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xe34781…
06-30 03:46:40	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x8e11b8…
06-30 02:23:46	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe8e4e4…
06-29 17:31:43	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xad61f8…
06-29 17:27:29	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcb8d60…
06-29 03:12:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xac8f47…
06-28 03:27:43	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe2e5ec…
06-28 03:19:28	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x05adf1…
06-28 01:12:32	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x032537…
06-27 02:46:58	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbf273f…
06-27 01:29:43	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xdff1fd…
06-26 20:55:02	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x3c316b…
06-26 18:54:10	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd9921b…
06-26 01:37:13	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa1fae1…
06-23 00:54:07	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcb35a9…
06-23 00:53:31	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xbe77a4…
06-21 16:31:43	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x667f4c…
06-21 16:28:22	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xeb6ad1…
06-19 15:50:53	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x55c569…
06-18 13:42:26	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xe911da…
06-18 01:40:55	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals luis diaz gte1	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x68c124…
06-17 16:03:50	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x17e4ad…
06-17 16:02:07	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x6a2232…
06-17 02:50:33	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb0313c…
06-16 15:09:58	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x96faf7…
06-15 13:38:42	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x437693…
06-12 16:50:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0x9993ff…
06-08 10:40:39	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game2	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xeddd57…
06-08 09:50:12	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x439e97…
06-07 09:14:00	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Team WE	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd2eeed…
06-06 10:11:07	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	JD Gaming	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7f17ad…
06-06 09:34:31	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x75cdb4…
05-30 17:24:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x37ff23…
05-30 17:03:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x85659b…
05-30 17:00:59	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x91c33b…
05-30 16:58:36	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x9bc56f…
05-29 11:00:35	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x32634f…
05-28 13:27:34	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x5ce502…
05-23 15:02:32	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x4151fb…
05-22 01:38:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xcc8d59…
05-22 01:34:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x4d6824…
05-21 15:30:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x5a8462…
05-21 15:28:50	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xbd2483…
05-20 14:19:36	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x447839…
05-20 03:37:40	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xa50d56…
05-19 05:19:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x73415f…
05-19 03:26:24	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe85c70…
05-18 06:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5bbe99…
05-18 06:03:32	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x56ea39…
05-13 10:53:57	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	110	92¢	$101	0xedfff4…
05-12 14:16:49	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6f99c5…
05-12 14:14:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x2b126f…
05-07 16:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe003ad…
04-27 13:59:36	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x19e270…
04-17 15:02:44	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xfdef20…
04-15 17:40:52	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb76158…
04-09 16:07:51	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd4e050…
04-09 16:07:11	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x023cea…
04-09 16:05:29	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x399b55…
04-09 16:04:55	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4664d6…
04-07 20:06:21	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	No	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0x33b6e8…
04-07 13:49:39	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 ags harry kane	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x43c684…
04-06 15:43:23	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x15eadd…
03-28 14:51:57	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb5ac7e…
03-28 14:49:31	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x624335…
03-19 17:14:23	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x8d1ff3…
03-18 15:17:35	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xda5cee…
03-18 15:17:27	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x897323…
03-18 15:17:09	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x81e299…
03-18 15:16:07	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x19090a…
03-16 09:43:21	btc updown 15m 1773653400	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xa53cb9…
03-16 09:41:21	btc updown 5m 1773654000	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa02150…
03-16 09:39:19	btc updown 5m 1773653700	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5f93cb…
03-16 09:38:39	btc updown 5m 1773653700	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfb05ac…
03-16 09:36:05	btc updown 15m 1773653400	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x05076f…
03-16 09:31:31	btc updown 5m 1773653400	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x103803…
03-16 09:27:05	btc updown 5m 1773653100	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdaaa23…
03-16 09:26:11	btc updown 5m 1773653100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8d0478…
03-16 09:22:57	btc updown 5m 1773652800	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xc10815…
03-16 09:20:57	btc updown 5m 1773652800	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x219cfe…
03-16 09:19:01	btc updown 5m 1773652500	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4a1147…
03-16 09:17:23	btc updown 5m 1773652500	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x1212bd…
03-16 09:16:03	btc updown 5m 1773652500	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x22d0f8…
03-16 09:13:07	btc updown 5m 1773652200	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2fbd1e…
03-16 09:11:55	btc updown 5m 1773652200	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x270a51…
03-16 05:31:17	btc updown 5m 1773639000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x87d6ab…
03-16 05:28:59	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdbfa3a…
03-16 05:17:41	btc updown 5m 1773638100	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd3f33a…
03-16 05:17:41	btc updown 5m 1773638100	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x9a38f6…
03-16 05:02:01	btc updown 5m 1773637200	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x44b9a8…
03-16 04:53:59	btc updown 5m 1773636600	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x13aa31…
03-16 04:53:33	btc updown 5m 1773636600	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf5baaa…
03-16 04:50:55	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5e7682…
03-16 04:49:35	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1f250e…
03-16 04:48:49	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x012f6e…
03-16 04:48:21	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc14d9f…
03-16 04:48:01	will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x66af8f…
03-16 02:31:45	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x2a67b7…
03-15 20:12:59	will palestine be said at the oscars	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xcbb248…