Honorable-Proprietor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$318

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$347

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-21 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$11

Politics

19% 0% $-329

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+433	$230	54¢	$232	+$2	06-18 13:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+129	$100	90¢	$115	+$15	06-04 13:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	6	$454	476	0	+476	open	—	05-30 20:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	5	$424	616	183	+433	open	—	06-18 13:19
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?	4	$352	187	187	+0	open	—	05-27 13:09
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 03 22	2	$340	173	173	+0	open	—	03-22 22:49
will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	3	$315	271	135	+135	open	—	02-02 23:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$301	264	66	+198	Yes	$-179	04-23 22:31
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	16	$290	246	246	+0	open	—	02-25 12:58
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	7	$278	169	137	+32	open	—	05-27 14:06
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?	4	$268	152	152	+0	open	—	05-13 16:29
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	6	$264	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 14:44
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?	5	$263	149	149	+0	open	—	05-28 17:02
will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	2	$234	150	150	+0	open	—	02-22 20:15
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	3	$226	331	0	+331	open	—	05-28 18:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$222	0	222	-222	open	—	01-28 23:19
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	3	$218	133	133	+0	open	—	05-12 15:33
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	3	$210	114	114	+0	open	—	04-18 20:48
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	2	$207	118	118	+0	open	—	05-09 12:43
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	5	$205	264	40	+224	open	—	05-15 10:35
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	2	$203	310	310	+0	open	—	03-10 14:32
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	3	$200	106	106	+0	open	—	05-15 10:35
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	05-05 21:55
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	1	$200	228	0	+228	open	—	06-18 13:18
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 17 2026	2	$197	112	112	+0	open	—	01-05 09:59
will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	2	$183	97	97	+0	open	—	02-25 09:35
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	12	$171	231	48	+184	open	—	04-21 23:15
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	4	$171	231	231	+0	open	—	03-05 11:31
will mathieu zywoo herbaut win the hltv player of the year award	2	$153	161	0	+161	open	—	01-10 20:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$150	156	0	+156	Yes	$-150	05-07 08:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	2	$149	103	103	+0	open	—	06-18 13:54
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	7	$149	133	80	+53	open	—	05-27 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 17:11:53	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x8032bb…
06-19 17:43:25	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	G2	SELL	67	50¢	$34	0x258479…
06-19 17:33:14	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	G2	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xf65ebd…
06-19 15:10:40	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	G2	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x94b911…
06-19 15:10:40	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	G2	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x68b761…
06-18 20:36:17	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Team Falcons	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0x22e4f1…
06-18 13:54:59	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	103	67¢	$69	0x5b8ce8…
06-18 13:19:08	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x66f560…
06-18 13:18:20	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x33be03…
06-17 16:12:02	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x766a88…
06-15 23:16:12	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Team Falcons	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb8d88e…
06-10 13:39:24	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0x5af408…
06-09 15:19:55	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xfb642c…
06-09 14:59:33	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x83963f…
06-09 14:59:04	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x0163c7…
06-08 17:09:52	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x7475a8…
06-08 17:09:03	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0x48728f…
06-07 14:26:49	will big qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xc6885b…
06-07 14:26:39	will big qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xdea7b9…
06-07 14:26:39	will big qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xc8a2ca…
06-07 12:06:18	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	No	BUY	92	55¢	$50	0x9cc655…
06-07 12:03:36	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	50¢	$150	0xa932c8…
06-07 12:03:21	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	183	52¢	$94	0x641e00…
06-07 12:03:15	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xf63cfc…
06-04 13:23:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xee7edd…
06-03 16:16:09	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x317dce…
06-03 15:11:36	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf8a18f…
06-03 14:44:58	Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x169009…
06-03 12:11:05	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xfb582b…
06-03 11:52:00	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x63dcf1…
06-03 11:38:44	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xdcf28e…
06-03 11:36:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0xde8ae6…
06-02 14:17:26	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xdbd270…
06-02 10:13:22	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd09adf…
06-01 15:00:13	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	52¢	$40	0xf149ee…
05-30 20:42:39	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	265	98¢	$260	0x49148f…
05-30 17:17:44	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	78¢	$60	0x1e7c64…
05-28 18:49:06	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0xec11a9…
05-28 17:06:12	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$58	0x753935…
05-28 17:03:56	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	BUY	151	73¢	$110	0x806d29…
05-28 17:02:53	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$111	0xbeb4f9…
05-28 17:02:35	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x6f92bb…
05-28 17:02:02	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	106	51¢	$54	0xbd9cab…
05-27 14:06:54	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x5ef914…
05-27 14:06:40	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x904f6c…
05-27 14:06:03	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xd86b5d…
05-27 14:06:01	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xdb143d…
05-27 13:16:32	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xee9847…
05-27 13:09:04	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$184	0x0077b7…
05-27 13:08:36	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x0678fc…
05-25 17:39:13	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xd1cefe…
05-25 17:29:55	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	SELL	56	86¢	$48	0x2c1acd…
05-25 17:28:39	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xeeee80…
05-25 17:26:21	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x14f0a7…
05-25 17:26:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x60c8f8…
05-25 17:25:09	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xa958de…
05-25 17:24:50	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x88d302…
05-25 17:23:35	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0xf94cfc…
05-25 17:22:23	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	25¢	$14	0x793f5c…
05-22 12:03:47	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x494667…
05-21 21:10:22	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x3c3cf3…
05-21 21:10:00	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$52	0x1dd87d…
05-21 21:09:11	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xe62fbc…
05-21 21:06:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x8f7882…
05-21 21:06:07	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6ca378…
05-21 21:05:42	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x574f3d…
05-19 11:59:33	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0xfd0f48…
05-19 11:55:09	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x269eac…
05-19 11:53:29	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf19415…
05-19 11:34:18	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	25¢	$25	0x7cd0d1…
05-19 11:29:45	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x1e22e9…
05-19 11:24:58	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd7fd7a…
05-19 11:24:25	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xd0fa37…
05-19 11:24:19	Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x439708…
05-19 11:23:13	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?	No	BUY	99	89¢	$88	0x071777…
05-19 11:09:34	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x44c74a…
05-18 19:19:35	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x7a610e…
05-17 17:02:50	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xba7bed…
05-17 16:59:56	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0xaf8c76…
05-17 13:07:45	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7992b2…
05-17 12:40:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x06c3b4…
05-17 11:40:13	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbde6c6…
05-17 11:19:50	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x9814b0…
05-17 10:05:57	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3e64ca…
05-17 10:05:39	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x001bfa…
05-17 10:00:19	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x046c69…
05-17 09:57:03	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x780303…
05-17 08:10:06	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x4620c3…
05-17 07:46:37	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xbadf0b…
05-15 17:04:54	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xafe0da…
05-15 10:35:22	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	139	79¢	$110	0xe7cf7d…
05-15 10:35:08	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$75	0xfdaea1…
05-15 10:34:54	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xa270a2…
05-15 10:34:49	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	84	78¢	$66	0x302b3f…
05-13 16:30:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x5acb7c…
05-13 16:29:27	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	152	94¢	$143	0x2b04bd…
05-13 15:25:47	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe42f29…
05-13 15:25:36	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x94ae98…
05-12 15:33:26	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	SELL	119	81¢	$97	0xe5bd91…
05-12 15:33:07	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xcad7d6…