Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?
open
Total volume
$2,906
Trades
121
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$2,597
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-01 01:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $39
vs crowd: 8% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $26 | $277 | $251 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $53 | $439 | $386 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $15 | $827 | $812 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $53 | $110 | $57 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $67 | — | +$67 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $81 | $74 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 5 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $12 | $20 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $52 | $450 | $398 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $7 | $238 | $230 |
| unranked | 16 | $1 | $785 | $784 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impish-Sidewalk 0x90b7…0b0d | No | +633 | $576 | $576 | 2 | 05-22 07:01 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +163 | $14 | $22 | 8 | 05-24 23:48 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +158 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-25 19:44 |
| Worn-Bag 0x662c…bfe7 | No | +150 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 04-28 09:09 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +143 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +142 | $-2 | $3 | 4 | 05-31 07:05 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +125 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-21 09:00 |
| Valuable-Browser 0x2759…62a9 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-26 06:48 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +94 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-26 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +85 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 05-24 08:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +80 | $77 | $77 | 2 | 05-19 07:53 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +43 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-20 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe72b…3c9c | No | +42 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-24 08:13 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +41 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-25 19:44 |
| Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-19 11:28 |
| Short-Term-Storyboard 0xae78…9275 | No | +30 | $26 | $52 | 3 | 05-31 07:05 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +29 | $3 | $8 | 7 | 05-23 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-30 13:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-19 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x26e1…7ccb | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-19 18:12 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-23 16:47 |
| Fresh-Curd 0xe861…87fc | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-19 15:00 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +5 | $5 | $14 | 3 | 05-15 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc37…7b83 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f97…d067 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 23:22 |
| Vicious-Rabbit 0xfc81…9066 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa41…18ce | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 09:09 |
| Quick-Witted-Seafood-Jeweller 0x1027…1bc5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-24 23:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 01:54:29 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $142 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 06-01 01:54:29 | Yellowish-Receptor 0xa0b9…6048 | No | SELL | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0xe4e5ce… |
| 05-31 07:05:09 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbcc388… |
| 05-31 07:05:09 | Short-Term-Storyboard 0xae78…9275 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xbcc388… |
| 05-28 19:39:18 | Elegant-Understatement 0x78a1…efdb | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x765b95… |
| 05-28 19:39:18 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x765b95… |
| 05-27 13:09:04 | Honorable-Proprietor 0x4699…7822 | No | SELL | 187 | 99¢ | $184 | 0x0077b7… |
| 05-27 13:09:04 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 187 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x0077b7… |
| 05-26 06:48:17 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7954a5… |
| 05-26 06:48:17 | Valuable-Browser 0x2759…62a9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7954a5… |
| 05-26 02:00:35 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf85eab… |
| 05-26 02:00:35 | Plump-Clef 0x067e…baaf | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf85eab… |
| 05-25 19:44:47 | Easy-Going-Browser 0xf9e1…e46f | No | SELL | 289 | 99¢ | $286 | 0xe09d83… |
| 05-25 19:44:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 158 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe09d83… |
| 05-25 19:44:47 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe09d83… |
| 05-25 19:44:47 | Pale-Airspace-Democrat 0x3a06…7b6c | Yes | SELL | 852 | 1¢ | $8 | 0xe09d83… |
| 05-25 19:44:47 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xe09d83… |
| 05-25 19:44:47 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 344 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe09d83… |
| 05-24 23:48:50 | Quick-Witted-Seafood-Jeweller 0x1027…1bc5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7025de… |
| 05-24 23:48:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7025de… |
| 05-24 08:13:45 | (anonymous) 0xe72b…3c9c | No | BUY | 42 | 93¢ | $39 | 0xa80593… |
| 05-24 08:13:45 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xa80593… |
| 05-24 08:12:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 78 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x7bd630… |
| 05-24 08:12:33 | Easy-Going-Browser 0xf9e1…e46f | No | BUY | 78 | 92¢ | $72 | 0x7bd630… |
| 05-23 16:47:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x078c45… |
| 05-23 16:47:39 | Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x078c45… |
| 05-22 07:01:16 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 43 | 90¢ | $39 | 0xb732fc… |
| 05-22 07:01:16 | Impish-Sidewalk 0x90b7…0b0d | No | BUY | 43 | 90¢ | $39 | 0xb732fc… |
| 05-21 21:10:22 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x3c3cf3… |
| 05-21 21:10:22 | Honorable-Proprietor 0x4699…7822 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x3c3cf3… |
| 05-21 09:00:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8fad95… |
| 05-21 09:00:18 | Short-Term-Storyboard 0xae78…9275 | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x8fad95… |
| 05-20 17:51:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1a4d5c… |
| 05-20 17:51:49 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x1a4d5c… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 39 | 90¢ | $35 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 143 | 91¢ | $131 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Impish-Sidewalk 0x90b7…0b0d | No | BUY | 590 | 91¢ | $537 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 16:06:04 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xca1131… |
| 05-20 07:27:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf613e0… |
| 05-20 07:27:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf613e0… |
| 05-20 07:27:08 | Short-Term-Storyboard 0xae78…9275 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0xf613e0… |
| 05-19 19:49:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x08061b… |
| 05-19 19:49:52 | Elegant-Understatement 0x78a1…efdb | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x08061b… |
| 05-19 18:12:36 | (anonymous) 0x26e1…7ccb | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0x98d3b0… |
| 05-19 18:12:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x98d3b0… |
| 05-19 15:00:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfd32ac… |
| 05-19 15:00:11 | Fresh-Curd 0xe861…87fc | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xfd32ac… |
| 05-19 11:28:23 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xdc4fa6… |
| 05-19 11:28:23 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0xdc4fa6… |
| 05-19 11:28:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdc4fa6… |
| 05-19 11:24:58 | Honorable-Proprietor 0x4699…7822 | No | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xd7fd7a… |
| 05-19 11:24:58 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0xd7fd7a… |
| 05-19 11:24:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 41 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd7fd7a… |
| 05-19 11:23:13 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 49 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x071777… |
| 05-19 11:23:13 | Honorable-Proprietor 0x4699…7822 | No | BUY | 99 | 89¢ | $88 | 0x071777… |
| 05-19 11:23:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x071777… |
| 05-19 11:23:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x071777… |
| 05-19 07:54:09 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x03fe23… |
| 05-19 07:54:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 54 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x03fe23… |
| 05-19 07:54:09 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x03fe23… |
| 05-19 07:54:09 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 84 | 93¢ | $78 | 0x03fe23… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 66 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | Pale-Airspace-Democrat 0x3a06…7b6c | Yes | BUY | 852 | 6¢ | $50 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-19 07:53:55 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | BUY | 101 | 94¢ | $95 | 0x62e0a0… |
| 05-15 17:31:37 | Vicious-Rabbit 0xfc81…9066 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x712291… |
| 05-15 17:31:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x712291… |
| 05-10 22:43:33 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x13fe19… |
| 05-10 22:43:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x13fe19… |
| 05-10 20:45:57 | (anonymous) 0xfc37…7b83 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x26cd2e… |
| 05-10 20:45:57 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x26cd2e… |
| 05-10 20:45:57 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x26cd2e… |
| 05-09 23:22:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf73f70… |
| 05-09 23:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x9f97…d067 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf73f70… |
| 05-04 09:05:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x9a9f64… |
| 05-04 09:05:16 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9a9f64… |
| 05-04 09:05:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x9a9f64… |
| 05-04 07:04:50 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 96 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x275a4e… |
| 05-04 07:04:50 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x275a4e… |
| 05-04 07:04:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x275a4e… |
| 05-04 07:04:50 | Melodic-Health 0x635e…1f63 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x275a4e… |
| 05-03 02:41:22 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x394107… |
| 05-03 02:41:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x394107… |
| 05-03 02:41:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6e5f99… |