Melodic-Health — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

143

Trades

881

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 09-20 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

57% 19% -$59

Other

35% 24% -$10

Sports

4% 0% -$5

Tech

2% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$0

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes		-10	$1	2¢	$-0	-$1	06-24 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	23	$65	92	86	+6	No	+$1	05-11 13:10
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	21	$63	88	81	+7	No	-$2	09-10 06:14
Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	18	$56	63	55	+8	Yes	+$1	04-28 09:08
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	16	$53	78	73	+5	Yes	+$4	05-15 05:06
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	10	$52	34	33	+0	No	$0	05-08 02:24
Will Corinna Contreras advance from the CA-48 primary election?	18	$41	118	4	+114	No	-$37	05-31 22:14
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	76	$41	445	514	-70	No	+$3	04-24 18:49
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	13	$32	38	38	+0	Yes	-$4	09-20 01:13
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	14	$32	27	30	-3	No	+$3	04-28 07:19
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	16	$31	65	69	-5	No	+$1	04-27 04:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	8	$31	37	36	+0	Yes	-$1	04-23 20:43
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	9	$29	31	26	+5	No	-$2	04-25 21:38
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	13	$29	34	29	+5	Yes	-$3	04-24 17:20
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	18	$26	60	56	+5	Yes	+$4	04-25 14:54
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	9	$26	29	26	+3	Yes	+$0	05-16 21:02
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	12	$25	84	83	+0	No	$0	05-04 08:57
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	12	$22	39	39	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 20:54
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	14	$20	38	32	+6	No	-$3	05-15 13:26
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	11	$18	33	32	+0	No	$0	05-19 22:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	9	$17	31	30	+0	No	$0	04-27 13:59
Will Trump name "Zohran" or "Mamdani" in April?	8	$15	69	15	+54	No	-$4	04-28 10:39
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	7	$15	18	12	+6	No	-$1	04-28 00:07
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	15	$15	24	24	+0	No	-$4	04-23 00:55
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	14	$15	55	61	-7	Yes	+$1	04-23 13:10
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	7	$14	19	19	+0	Lakers	-$1	04-24 23:12
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	13	$14	86	85	+0	No	-$1	04-24 14:49
Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	5	$13	17	15	+2	Yes	+$2	04-26 02:41
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?	6	$13	17	13	+4	Yes	+$1	04-24 20:27
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	14	$13	39	39	+0	No	$0	05-09 14:29
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	7	$12	12	11	+2	Yes	+$1	04-26 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 01:13:52	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xae4c74…
09-19 12:43:09	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x708d1c…
09-10 11:03:07	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1a0c4e…
09-10 06:14:36	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x441ae5…
09-06 05:03:30	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x6c44e0…
09-05 06:31:42	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x0af82e…
09-04 21:46:19	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x930610…
09-04 09:44:19	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xad8e55…
09-04 09:44:19	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x871f31…
08-28 21:21:45	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x3e5b7d…
08-21 23:49:27	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xc39502…
08-21 06:17:21	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x10adb3…
08-20 21:54:27	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x237a59…
08-20 15:16:22	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xc414f3…
08-20 14:42:49	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xbdf1c7…
08-20 13:39:48	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe236a2…
08-17 01:23:16	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x4370c6…
08-16 19:32:31	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x575747…
08-16 15:01:51	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xddc192…
08-16 15:01:46	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xccdbcc…
08-14 14:50:55	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xc6f505…
08-14 10:06:30	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe62364…
08-11 04:03:04	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x523e79…
08-10 22:40:07	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xa2ca71…
08-10 22:23:24	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xbbd77c…
08-10 19:28:51	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x40536d…
08-10 13:02:06	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x9a06d1…
08-10 09:26:40	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x00719f…
08-10 06:38:39	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x948003…
08-10 01:34:34	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x296d19…
08-09 23:47:03	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xbc6808…
08-09 23:34:55	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc65be4…
07-10 23:43:59	Will United Russia (ER) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xc0100a…
07-05 17:48:41	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x971764…
07-03 14:35:37	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x19cb04…
07-03 14:32:41	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x8f4c90…
07-01 04:52:37	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x7f8de9…
06-29 00:25:19	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7e9184…
06-24 16:45:43	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x4e6de2…
06-02 04:03:03	Will Mark Kenneth Arness be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x10cdcc…
06-02 03:12:37	Will Mark Kenneth Arness be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xef7bc3…
05-31 22:14:13	Will Corinna Contreras advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x9ed811…
05-31 19:25:52	Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe47212…
05-28 07:44:17	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x532bac…
05-28 01:04:42	Will Francis Hoffman advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd66167…
05-25 10:44:51	Will Chris Richardson advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x4edb94…
05-23 11:53:23	Will Mitch Clemmons advance from the CA-41 primary election?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xed8252…
05-23 07:22:04	Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf4061d…
05-23 04:32:00	Will Nicole Williams be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfaf05f…
05-22 20:21:02	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x81377b…
05-22 19:19:53	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xce9bdc…
05-22 17:42:26	Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x1bced2…
05-22 17:23:32	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x2bc71d…
05-22 09:41:51	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x22ba48…
05-22 08:12:52	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x12d465…
05-22 01:52:46	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x61ffac…
05-22 01:32:37	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xd52729…
05-21 10:24:48	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x576ca7…
05-21 10:24:08	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x8ab110…
05-20 02:39:36	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x394c41…
05-19 22:34:15	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x695800…
05-19 22:17:59	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x536c1d…
05-19 22:12:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x3c72d3…
05-19 22:10:06	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x891c6d…
05-19 22:09:45	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xd1d489…
05-19 22:09:43	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6e5b7f…
05-19 22:04:56	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc37125…
05-19 22:02:33	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xdcbbfa…
05-19 20:15:43	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x93941f…
05-19 14:13:07	Will Francis Hoffman advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6c1eb4…
05-19 00:34:38	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x4e21e9…
05-19 00:26:46	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x7b0cca…
05-18 22:02:48	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x01645d…
05-18 10:01:35	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2537bc…
05-17 21:49:36	Will Kevin O'Neil advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x05f5db…
05-17 03:42:23	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x283734…
05-16 23:37:31	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf0f833…
05-16 21:02:25	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xd154e5…
05-16 20:52:35	Will Adam Gray advance from the CA-13 primary election?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x260a16…
05-16 20:48:49	Will Adam Gray advance from the CA-13 primary election?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa3057…
05-16 16:02:38	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x8434a6…
05-16 15:36:23	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x93af94…
05-16 14:05:15	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xab9e33…
05-16 12:10:07	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf9c711…
05-16 12:02:48	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x2cd7de…
05-16 11:40:45	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd95a52…
05-16 10:23:38	Will Amy Phan West advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x741147…
05-16 10:16:08	Will Amy Phan West advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0fae84…
05-15 13:28:58	Will Kevin O'Neil advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd48ca9…
05-15 13:26:42	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x013ec3…
05-15 05:06:49	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x641dc8…
05-14 17:50:21	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc1ad80…
05-14 00:17:08	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x918423…
05-14 00:08:53	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$5	0x148c21…
05-13 21:13:55	Will Thien Ho advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xa452b5…
05-13 21:04:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x3f9f3f…
05-13 20:31:16	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe27cfe…
05-13 20:30:20	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0x422cfa…
05-13 19:46:34	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xd1ff74…
05-13 19:27:54	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x5cece1…