Will Francis Hoffman advance from the CA-40 primary election?
open
Total volume
$467
Trades
43
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$2,037
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-10 04:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $0 | $156 | $156 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $0 | $154 | $154 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $154 | $154 |
| unranked | 13 | $0 | $154 | $154 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +154 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 06-10 04:33 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +92 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-29 17:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +52 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +29 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-29 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:29 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 01:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 04:33:28 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0xb8b75e… |
| 06-10 04:33:28 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | SELL | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0xb8b75e… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | BUY | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:29:12 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb8a9… |
| 06-10 03:27:40 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f73d3… |
| 06-10 03:27:40 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f73d3… |
| 06-10 03:27:40 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f73d3… |
| 06-10 03:27:40 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f73d3… |
| 06-10 03:27:40 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f73d3… |
| 06-10 03:27:40 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f73d3… |
| 06-08 03:50:49 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xf3b5d5… |
| 06-08 03:50:49 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf3b5d5… |
| 06-08 03:16:43 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3b6cc7… |
| 06-08 03:16:43 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b6cc7… |
| 06-01 23:21:11 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55da48… |
| 06-01 23:21:11 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55da48… |
| 05-29 17:24:16 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x57f2fb… |
| 05-29 17:24:16 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57f2fb… |
| 05-29 17:24:16 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57f2fb… |
| 05-29 17:24:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57f2fb… |
| 05-28 01:04:42 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd66167… |
| 05-28 01:04:42 | Melodic-Health 0x635e…1f63 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd66167… |
| 05-28 01:04:42 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd66167… |
| 05-28 00:24:25 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x683136… |
| 05-28 00:24:25 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x683136… |