Anchored-Achiever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$196

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-08 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$49

Other

38% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No		-236	$-201	83¢	$-196	+$5	06-01 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	4	$1.8K	976	976	+0	open	—	04-27 03:30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	19	$1.2K	619	619	+0	open	—	04-30 16:24
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	open	—	05-02 20:13
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	5	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	04-30 05:08
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	12	$948	591	591	+0	open	—	06-08 11:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$799	469	469	+0	No	+$49	05-05 23:32
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$697	422	422	+0	open	—	05-23 18:02
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	5	$617	359	359	+0	open	—	05-02 20:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	2	$613	320	320	+0	open	—	05-15 20:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$607	345	345	+0	open	—	05-03 00:11
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$515	276	276	+0	open	—	05-02 14:08
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	4	$449	267	267	+0	open	—	04-25 18:03
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	7	$443	256	256	+0	open	—	04-27 05:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$415	226	226	+0	open	—	05-06 09:17
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	3	$411	217	217	+0	open	—	05-03 06:23
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	3	$406	210	210	+0	open	—	05-08 02:46
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$357	220	220	+0	open	—	05-23 18:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$351	211	211	+0	open	—	04-23 03:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	3	$350	463	0	+463	open	—	06-01 11:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	7	$332	186	186	+0	open	—	04-27 04:06
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	7	$314	415	0	+415	open	—	05-29 23:32
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	4	$314	168	168	+0	open	—	04-26 02:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$311	176	176	+0	open	—	05-12 10:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$308	161	161	+0	open	—	05-24 01:35
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	4	$258	138	138	+0	open	—	05-09 12:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	1	$250	298	0	+298	open	—	06-03 03:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$220	140	140	+0	open	—	04-27 13:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$217	141	141	+0	open	—	04-12 15:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$214	115	115	+0	open	—	04-12 22:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$206	108	108	+0	open	—	04-27 04:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:28:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	171	80¢	$137	0x3952fa…
06-08 11:27:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x2bbfa1…
06-08 10:35:30	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	120	84¢	$101	0x41c667…
06-08 02:58:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x8eed80…
06-08 02:50:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x276649…
06-08 01:43:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x267504…
06-07 20:43:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x7942ff…
06-07 20:30:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	99	76¢	$75	0xf5bbb6…
06-07 20:14:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	223	36¢	$79	0x425d73…
06-07 19:24:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xac43bc…
06-07 18:57:01	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	130	58¢	$75	0x28fe30…
06-03 03:46:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	298	84¢	$250	0x88e225…
06-01 20:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x111e2e…
06-01 20:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x52cecc…
06-01 20:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x80281a…
06-01 20:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfda788…
06-01 20:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfeb9c9…
06-01 13:01:39	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	236	85¢	$201	0x062bab…
06-01 11:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x6194fe…
06-01 03:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x29af1e…
06-01 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x63edaa…
06-01 03:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xbffc90…
06-01 03:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x939f74…
06-01 03:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc71696…
06-01 03:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd52250…
06-01 03:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x61e9de…
06-01 03:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0890f7…
06-01 02:59:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x4f4d82…
06-01 02:55:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	329	76¢	$250	0xbd544f…
06-01 01:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x91368c…
06-01 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4811b5…
06-01 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbd2545…
06-01 01:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x24b49e…
06-01 00:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaea488…
06-01 00:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x52c5b4…
06-01 00:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc01b4e…
06-01 00:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf7c22…
06-01 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1dc278…
06-01 00:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe98a75…
06-01 00:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x517f5b…
06-01 00:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7f467c…
05-31 22:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1b1502…
05-31 22:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf2c01f…
05-31 22:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf98843…
05-31 22:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdaae78…
05-31 22:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x697ef2…
05-31 22:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x66b97d…
05-31 22:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf452f1…
05-31 21:27:23	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$56	0xfcc717…
05-30 15:24:23	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x5dc939…
05-30 07:18:46	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb435ca…
05-30 07:18:40	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3ffc26…
05-30 07:18:35	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf5b08f…
05-29 23:32:58	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0xba0ef9…
05-29 15:16:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	349	90¢	$314	0x662dbd…
05-29 15:07:57	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x83a686…
05-29 15:04:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xd5b263…
05-29 14:41:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x3ae799…
05-29 11:03:44	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4639a3…
05-29 10:22:02	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x48a198…
05-29 10:21:34	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x385d9a…
05-29 10:21:14	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x35c808…
05-29 08:16:45	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x4911be…
05-28 23:37:49	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x173d56…
05-28 03:48:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe5f10b…
05-28 03:43:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x5bc6f6…
05-28 01:24:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	318	79¢	$250	0xcc531b…
05-24 01:35:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	161	98¢	$158	0x268a97…
05-23 18:34:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	220	85¢	$187	0xe6dc2b…
05-23 18:02:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	422	94¢	$397	0x0f495d…
05-22 23:47:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x79c2ee…
05-22 23:28:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	348	72¢	$250	0x037602…
05-15 20:08:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	SELL	320	98¢	$313	0xa56401…
05-14 04:30:31	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x41ca75…
05-12 10:44:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	176	91¢	$161	0xcd02ea…
05-11 04:41:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5a4b10…
05-10 04:43:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	191	78¢	$150	0x8b9f76…
05-09 17:19:47	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	SELL	73	81¢	$59	0x7c69d8…
05-09 12:39:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	123	96¢	$118	0x22ddde…
05-08 02:46:35	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x36bf09…
05-07 06:03:43	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$177	0xe18c55…
05-06 23:52:32	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0abf6e…
05-06 14:38:52	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xae7a79…
05-06 09:17:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	226	95¢	$215	0x0f90f2…
05-05 23:32:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	212	91¢	$193	0xa8de20…
05-05 00:28:52	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x92eaa5…
05-04 22:53:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0xdfd373…
05-04 16:20:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xc98443…
05-04 15:28:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xded016…
05-03 22:34:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x11f7b6…
05-03 14:45:32	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	138	90¢	$125	0x5e3a63…
05-03 14:19:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	144	87¢	$125	0x55cd6c…
05-03 06:23:38	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	217	97¢	$211	0x880180…
05-03 01:49:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x654f4b…
05-03 00:49:32	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x71262b…
05-03 00:38:20	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	162	92¢	$150	0x535a3e…
05-03 00:24:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0x814ca5…
05-03 00:11:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	345	89¢	$307	0xccd1e2…
05-02 22:06:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	256	90¢	$231	0x4caa7a…
05-02 20:34:52	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0x254ba3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	49	$15.1M	22,363	06-09 23:16
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$648.6K	10,104	06-09 18:21
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	46	$26.2K	861	06-09 10:58
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	42	$29.1K	2,718	06-08 08:06
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	40	$232.8K	17,770	06-09 22:56
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	39	$84.3K	675	06-08 20:34
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	38	$6.17K	362	06-09 14:55
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	37	$159.3K	11,133	06-01 04:50