Closed-Picturesque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

684

Trades

831

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

81% 70% -$126

Politics

14% 53% -$1

Sports

3% 85% -$2

Crypto

1% 75% -$1

Tech

0% 67% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	06-05 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$398	400	400	+0	No	+$10	03-17 19:41
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	13	$72	200	200	+0	No	-$4	03-22 16:10
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	5	$61	53	26	+27	No	-$25	02-09 03:50
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$50	50	50	+0	No	-$24	02-07 02:57
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	1	$41	0	41	-41	Yes	$0	01-05 12:14
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$20	341	341	+0	No	+$0	01-21 22:20
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 30corhigher	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	04-02 21:57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	06-06 02:15
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	3	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	04-02 21:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 29c	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	03-24 00:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 29corhigher	2	$17	19	0	+19	No	+$1	03-31 21:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	1	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	-$16	02-09 20:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 24c	2	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	04-01 15:39
highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	3	$15	12	10	+2	No	-$5	03-24 00:36
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	3	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	-$15	04-02 21:57
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 30corhigher	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-24 00:38
highest temperature in taipei on april 2 2026 26c	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	-$3	04-01 22:05
highest temperature in tokyo on march 25 2026 15c	2	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	03-24 21:57
highest temperature in hong kong on march 26 2026 25c	2	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	03-25 21:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	3	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$3	01-21 22:20
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	2	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	04-09 00:46
highest temperature in taipei on april 2 2026 22c	3	$11	17	7	+10	No	$0	04-01 22:06
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	3	$11	13	3	+10	No	$0	03-24 21:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	3	$10	15	5	+10	Yes	-$9	04-01 22:01
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 115 139	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	04-06 09:15
highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 29corhigher	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	03-27 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 22:15 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	01-19 22:25
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 26c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-24 21:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 26c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-24 22:03
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	04-03 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 11:47:52	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x54dbe9…
07-04 11:47:34	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x843aab…
07-04 11:47:26	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x77a252…
07-04 11:47:19	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd31ed5…
07-04 11:47:05	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6bcfd2…
07-04 11:46:17	Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa856de…
07-04 11:45:14	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0bc307…
07-04 03:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5ffe2b…
07-04 03:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0007ac…
07-04 03:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x460164…
07-04 03:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3fce83…
07-04 03:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5e55cb…
07-04 03:17:35	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x777b29…
07-03 10:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x657628…
07-03 10:33:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0fb1ad…
07-03 10:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbb2dcd…
07-03 10:30:41	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf6c878…
07-03 10:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x287e33…
07-03 10:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6a1752…
07-03 10:26:34	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x937d7b…
07-03 10:26:26	will australia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134480	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2a8634…
07-03 10:26:17	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x557f1e…
07-03 10:26:10	will ghana reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134514	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xaefb48…
07-03 10:26:02	will egypt reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134493	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7d816b…
07-03 10:25:26	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xad3d77…
07-03 10:21:02	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6fbb3c…
07-03 10:19:32	xagusd up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf041e5…
07-03 03:18:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x913f37…
07-03 03:18:11	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8c34d8…
07-03 03:17:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x423303…
07-03 03:16:44	Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7c1e3e…
07-03 03:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa1ce11…
07-03 03:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8a8c69…
07-03 03:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3f724f…
07-03 03:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6cf12a…
07-03 03:13:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf9be25…
07-03 03:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x93a0e7…
07-03 03:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x120e1b…
07-03 03:12:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe92c8a…
07-03 03:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x23e37d…
07-03 03:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6944f9…
07-03 03:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc06dbc…
07-03 03:10:10	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe8b012…
07-03 03:07:55	xagusd up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x660e6b…
07-03 03:05:40	xauusd up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xbaa771…
06-29 03:29:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xce17e2…
06-29 03:29:14	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb19001…
06-29 03:29:07	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x94ad08…
06-29 03:28:59	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf534be…
06-29 03:28:46	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x37af10…
06-29 03:28:26	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdbf56e…
06-29 03:27:38	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x915dec…
06-29 03:26:59	ng up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9c065b…
06-29 03:26:32	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xf256cf…
06-29 03:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd30ae3…
06-29 03:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9728d4…
06-29 03:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1b99e3…
06-29 03:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe35e00…
06-29 03:17:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf36842…
06-29 03:16:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2d1d14…
06-07 05:21:25	hood up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x590a59…
06-06 15:01:16	msft up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc96f37…
06-06 10:40:10	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x88492b…
06-06 10:39:03	tsla up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1a6045…
06-06 10:36:48	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xab585e…
06-06 10:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3b3857…
06-06 10:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd0d379…
06-06 10:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0655eb…
06-06 10:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x275000…
06-06 10:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbba84b…
06-06 10:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x310d24…
06-06 10:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9c8ce5…
06-06 10:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xba5642…
06-06 10:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x45d56d…
06-06 10:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xca171b…
06-06 10:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x99d57d…
06-06 10:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x61a3b4…
06-06 10:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x4290a7…
06-06 02:42:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x75a745…
06-06 02:41:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1cbd87…
06-06 02:40:30	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb1d18b…
06-06 02:30:43	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb97531…
06-06 02:27:37	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x440d08…
06-06 02:26:48	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe4aed2…
06-06 02:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x20707a…
06-06 02:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x996bfe…
06-06 02:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd9317f…
06-06 02:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x66f819…
06-06 02:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfe7f21…
06-06 02:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2cc63d…
06-06 02:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xca92f1…
06-06 02:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xccd448…
06-06 02:15:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x61307a…
06-06 02:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa65aa2…
06-05 12:16:33	djia up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5e0e12…
06-05 10:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x58d915…
06-05 10:36:49	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe3c759…
06-05 10:18:45	will meta reach 740 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7e5a4f…
06-05 10:12:21	ewy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xccefaa…
06-05 10:11:06	nflx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x06c915…