Negative-Skullduggery — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$225

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

100

3,851 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$675

$55.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-14 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

100% 72% +$159

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 14?	Yes		+30	$17	100¢	$30	+$13	11-14 12:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on May 2?	18	$1.1K	531	531	+0	No	+$5	05-02 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 29?	22	$983	498	498	-0	No	+$12	04-29 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 29?	23	$961	487	487	+0	No	+$12	04-29 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	2	$917	461	461	+0	Yes	+$5	04-28 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	31	$880	443	443	+0	No	+$5	05-02 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 1?	2	$797	400	400	+0	No	+$2	05-01 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 2?	5	$778	391	391	+0	No	+$4	05-02 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 3?	10	$695	350	350	+0	Yes	+$4	05-03 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 3?	4	$686	345	345	+0	No	+$3	05-03 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 1?	7	$681	343	343	+0	No	+$4	05-01 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 2?	6	$616	310	310	+0	No	+$3	05-02 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 2?	14	$578	292	292	+0	No	+$6	05-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 28?	4	$562	283	283	+0	No	+$3	04-28 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 30?	9	$557	284	284	+0	No	+$11	04-30 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 1?	11	$554	280	280	+0	No	+$5	05-01 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 2?	8	$542	273	273	+0	No	+$3	05-02 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	13	$526	265	265	+0	Yes	+$2	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?	24	$525	265	265	+0	Yes	+$4	05-02 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on April 29?	2	$510	259	259	+0	No	+$8	04-29 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 3?	11	$500	252	252	+0	No	+$4	05-03 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 29?	34	$497	251	251	+0	No	+$4	04-29 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 3?	5	$452	227	227	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?	18	$447	226	226	+0	No	+$2	04-30 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 3?	10	$446	224	224	+0	No	+$3	05-03 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 1?	22	$442	222	222	+0	No	+$2	05-01 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 30?	7	$405	205	205	+0	No	+$1	04-29 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 1?	6	$401	216	216	+0	Yes	-$23	05-01 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 29?	11	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$8	04-29 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	9	$383	193	193	+0	No	+$2	04-28 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 2?	4	$370	186	186	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 12:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x035a94…
11-13 08:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9d4529…
11-12 14:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd36b93…
11-12 14:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 12?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3350e6…
11-12 10:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 12?	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xebfe7a…
11-12 10:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 12?	No	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x30c0f2…
11-12 10:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe0f2ea…
11-09 13:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$65	0x979753…
11-09 12:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb2c5a4…
11-09 12:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 9?	No	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0x6840de…
11-09 12:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa662a4…
11-09 12:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$22	0xce72be…
11-09 12:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x98db58…
11-09 12:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 9?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x4c55b7…
11-09 12:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x134b25…
11-09 10:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x107f7d…
11-09 10:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc8641d…
11-09 10:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x3a18bf…
11-09 09:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe0dc11…
11-09 00:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x7fcc08…
11-08 17:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1caef3…
11-08 16:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5c9e8d…
11-08 16:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x595cca…
11-08 16:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x540620…
11-08 15:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x406e81…
11-07 13:53:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 7?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x118592…
11-07 13:37:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe449cc…
11-07 13:37:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x1420f8…
11-07 12:55:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb8747a…
11-07 09:39:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0eca60…
11-07 09:35:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa21e06…
11-06 11:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xcbb817…
11-06 11:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xece139…
11-06 11:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xdd2d4a…
11-06 11:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x939e28…
11-06 11:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0fdc91…
11-06 11:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xeb42c6…
11-06 11:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x663d08…
11-06 11:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd6053b…
11-06 11:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xc097d5…
11-06 11:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x76c8a2…
11-06 11:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x307bac…
11-06 11:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x8d47de…
11-06 11:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x3a1a7d…
11-05 09:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xd62228…
11-05 08:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0xcbb1ef…
11-05 07:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x24e59d…
11-05 07:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb4aab4…
11-05 07:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x724a53…
11-03 21:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x123930…
11-03 21:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	128	65¢	$83	0x503886…
09-28 12:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x01631c…
09-28 10:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2d034e…
09-26 07:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe86a30…
09-26 06:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa05c01…
09-26 06:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x77eba4…
09-24 07:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbe0e24…
09-24 07:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd861d1…
09-24 07:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xed7c0f…
09-24 07:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9633ac…
09-22 16:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x3b65dc…
09-20 05:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xebaf38…
09-20 05:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x1e7359…
09-16 03:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x84a728…
09-16 03:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x010155…
09-16 00:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x35bc76…
09-16 00:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x848320…
09-16 00:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd75c44…
09-16 00:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x82d02b…
09-16 00:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x6bc476…
09-16 00:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x3de4f5…
09-16 00:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc96cb9…
09-16 00:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x3b157a…
09-16 00:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xea54cd…
09-15 17:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x884f9f…
09-15 17:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xa9bbe9…
09-15 17:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x0d3b30…
09-15 17:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x1b6bbe…
09-15 17:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xcca3d9…
09-15 17:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x9411db…
09-15 17:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xbea700…
09-15 17:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xb852dd…
09-15 17:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5f8b69…
09-15 17:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x653a06…
09-15 17:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xced049…
09-15 16:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4f0db5…
09-15 16:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb6d44b…
09-15 16:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x888f9d…
09-15 16:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xa61178…
09-15 16:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x9e2658…
09-15 16:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xed8bc2…
09-15 16:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x4510c3…
09-15 16:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xccedc2…
09-15 16:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xf3b486…
09-15 16:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfd10eb…
09-15 16:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6bad0b…
09-15 16:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xaa0b29…
09-15 16:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8cc639…
09-15 16:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x0ed168…
09-15 16:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x979a87…