Winding-Still — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

577

lifetime

Volume

$158.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$275

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-19 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 56% $-734

Politics

38% 100% +$543

Other

18% 50% $-9,333

Sports

0% 0% $-635

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$21.8K	13,523	13,523	+0	open	—	04-28 12:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	20	$16.4K	13,239	13,239	+0	open	—	05-01 13:53
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	20	$12.5K	13,187	13,187	+0	Yes	$-8,893	05-06 20:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	42	$8.1K	4,524	4,524	+0	No	+$543	04-30 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$4.7K	2,755	2,755	+0	open	—	05-01 18:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	5	$3.4K	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	04-24 19:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$3.3K	3,528	3,528	+0	open	—	04-25 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$3.3K	1,976	1,976	+0	Down	+$656	05-07 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$3.0K	1,974	1,974	+0	open	—	05-01 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$2.9K	1,924	1,924	+0	open	—	05-01 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$2.9K	1,690	1,690	+0	open	—	05-01 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$2.8K	1,583	1,583	+0	Down	+$367	05-06 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$2.4K	3,346	0	+3,346	Up	$-2,400	05-07 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$2.4K	1,487	1,487	+0	open	—	05-01 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$2.3K	1,252	1,252	+0	Up	+$190	05-07 07:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	11	$2.3K	3,261	3,261	+0	open	—	05-10 02:22
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	3	$2.2K	3,724	0	+3,724	open	—	05-01 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$2.1K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	05-01 18:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,114	1,114	+0	open	—	04-27 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$1.9K	2,013	2,012	+0	open	—	05-01 16:09
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$1.9K	1,123	1,113	+10	open	—	04-28 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$1.8K	2,292	0	+2,292	open	—	05-01 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$1.8K	1,079	1,079	+0	Up	+$328	05-07 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$1.8K	966	966	+0	open	—	05-01 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$1.7K	1,185	1,185	+0	Down	+$82	05-07 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$1.6K	2,429	0	+2,429	open	—	05-01 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$1.5K	1,057	1,057	+0	open	—	05-01 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	7	$1.4K	1,017	1,017	+0	open	—	05-01 15:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$1.4K	855	855	+0	open	—	04-23 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	71	$1.4K	2,693	0	+2,693	open	—	05-01 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 21:21:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	4,111	2¢	$66	0x1cb18a…
05-10 03:37:18	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0x3bc6e3…
05-10 03:36:40	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0xb3b7d7…
05-10 03:36:15	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x778350…
05-10 03:36:05	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x8c807d…
05-10 03:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	133	91¢	$121	0x7b03e7…
05-10 03:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x91fe61…
05-10 03:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	497	20¢	$100	0x59e746…
05-10 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd1baa6…
05-10 03:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8d8090…
05-10 03:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf836ca…
05-10 03:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe7c0db…
05-10 03:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	21¢	$8	0x8205ca…
05-10 03:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc474bf…
05-10 03:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xeb51fc…
05-10 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf87590…
05-10 03:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x283c0c…
05-10 03:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x132324…
05-10 03:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x308514…
05-10 03:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	269	1¢	$3	0xc06827…
05-10 03:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3a7f05…
05-10 03:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3230dc…
05-10 03:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x464c32…
05-10 03:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf60a6c…
05-10 03:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0xd74ad4…
05-10 03:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x3204c2…
05-10 03:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x237746…
05-10 03:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	326	85¢	$276	0x0dc3db…
05-10 03:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4b87a7…
05-10 03:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x81ef8e…
05-10 03:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x13c9ec…
05-10 03:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xb12ab7…
05-10 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf8d56e…
05-10 03:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x431c95…
05-10 03:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd15136…
05-10 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2b3b71…
05-10 02:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	132	37¢	$49	0x1192e1…
05-10 02:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6ff9da…
05-10 02:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe64dd5…
05-10 02:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdce004…
05-10 02:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x21d273…
05-10 02:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5b5a33…
05-10 02:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	135	48¢	$65	0x7d19eb…
05-10 02:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x83f00d…
05-10 02:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xa5332e…
05-10 02:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x113734…
05-10 02:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x0f7230…
05-10 02:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x6e5bc1…
05-10 02:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	177	42¢	$74	0xbcf3a3…
05-10 02:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x0af262…
05-10 02:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x68bd6d…
05-10 02:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x5f5c86…
05-10 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe3f5ff…
05-10 02:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	525	98¢	$515	0xb5c71c…
05-10 02:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x1127ad…
05-10 02:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7be5c2…
05-10 02:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x5c1206…
05-10 02:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5779f5…
05-10 02:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5e6dbf…
05-10 02:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf2dc9d…
05-10 02:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0xc9e01e…
05-10 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x63f3da…
05-10 02:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5ef2d8…
05-10 02:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xfb4114…
05-10 02:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xda4259…
05-10 02:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	270	97¢	$262	0x3422a7…
05-10 02:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0xdc578b…
05-10 02:22:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	3,261	16¢	$522	0x41ccc6…
05-10 02:07:46	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x10e878…
05-10 02:06:37	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0xc95599…
05-07 08:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x3a5e6f…
05-07 08:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x8c8798…
05-07 08:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	453	88¢	$400	0xa83515…
05-07 08:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	519	77¢	$400	0x8e1cc6…
05-07 08:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	763	79¢	$600	0x3f0c45…
05-07 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	699	65¢	$453	0x58cd88…
05-07 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	912	60¢	$547	0x339ceb…
05-07 08:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1,976	99¢	$1,956	0x1028a2…
05-07 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	355	84¢	$300	0xda03fc…
05-07 08:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	593	67¢	$400	0x81f5be…
05-07 08:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	535	56¢	$300	0x7314a0…
05-07 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0xa5605e…
05-07 08:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	157	89¢	$139	0x8f4129…
05-07 08:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x71ccfe…
05-07 08:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	294	99¢	$291	0xfd4baa…
05-07 08:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x093f76…
05-07 08:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1,079	99¢	$1,068	0xeb7099…
05-07 08:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	540	74¢	$400	0xa18ef6…
05-07 08:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	391	77¢	$300	0x4cf6cc…
05-07 08:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc08fb1…
05-07 08:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xe7e1b2…
05-07 07:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	720	99¢	$713	0xf4c725…
05-07 07:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	720	69¢	$500	0x281a11…
05-07 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xd89ba7…
05-07 07:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xd7e403…
05-07 07:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	702	99¢	$695	0xb98d0f…
05-07 07:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xf918e6…
05-07 07:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd30669…
05-07 07:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xa648ce…
05-07 07:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x9eedd2…