Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.9%

Resolved

1,917

Trades

8,597

lifetime

Volume

$488.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-18 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

57% 6% -$3,408

Politics

34% 3% -$2,322

Sports

5% 5% -$319

Crypto

2% 0% -$138

Tech

1% 9% -$47

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$28

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran leadership change by march 31	17	$4.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$21	03-18 19:28
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	13	$3.7K	2,335	2,335	+0	Yes	-$34	03-06 13:10
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	21	$3.4K	1,786	1,786	+0	No	-$14	03-13 06:19
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	17	$3.4K	2,349	2,349	+0	No	-$36	03-18 17:16
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	25	$3.4K	3,989	3,989	+0	Yes	-$21	02-23 19:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$3.3K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	-$4	03-18 12:01
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	23	$3.2K	1,757	1,757	+0	No	-$4	02-16 16:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	18	$3.0K	3,200	3,200	+0	Yes	-$36	03-11 08:08
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	13	$3.0K	2,235	2,235	+0	Yes	-$22	02-04 13:10
kristi noem out by march 31	19	$3.0K	2,043	2,043	+0	Yes	-$45	02-28 06:19
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	17	$2.8K	2,519	2,519	+0	No	-$6	02-22 10:03
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	14	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$5	03-17 12:10
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$2.6K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	-$21	03-18 19:20
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	9	$2.5K	1,375	1,375	+0	No	-$1	03-02 03:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	11	$2.4K	1,341	1,341	+0	Yes	-$3	03-18 19:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$2.3K	2,218	2,218	+0	No	-$19	03-18 22:17
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	22	$2.3K	1,343	1,343	+0	Yes	-$9	03-06 13:08
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	7	$2.3K	1,168	1,168	+0	No	-$6	03-17 19:24
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	25	$2.2K	1,418	1,418	+0	No	-$22	03-13 17:51
will denis lazavik win the 20252026 speed chess championship	15	$2.2K	1,877	1,877	+0	No	-$10	02-05 08:10
will russia capture all of rodynske by february 28	25	$2.1K	1,243	1,243	+0	No	-$21	02-27 12:21
tim walz charged by march 31	20	$2.1K	1,411	1,411	+0	No	-$9	03-16 18:35
Nothing Ever Happens: March	13	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	Nothing	-$42	03-10 22:35
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	7	$2.0K	1,908	1,908	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 17:48
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$2.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	Yes	-$8	03-17 23:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$2	02-24 20:31
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	12	$1.9K	1,412	1,412	+0	Yes	-$16	02-26 22:40
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	16	$1.8K	1,553	1,553	+0	No	-$44	02-25 05:36
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	13	$1.7K	1,760	1,760	+0	No	-$13	03-17 11:01
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	10	$1.7K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	-$34	02-20 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-18 23:34:39	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbe4bbb…
03-18 23:34:27	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x358b11…
03-18 23:29:47	will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xfded0d…
03-18 23:29:31	will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xbe5505…
03-18 22:40:33	nba 2025 26 spg leader ausar thompson	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xd63d4e…
03-18 22:40:15	nba 2025 26 spg leader ausar thompson	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xc50dd3…
03-18 22:25:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	Yes	SELL	88	4¢	$4	0x483a3d…
03-18 22:24:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf566ee…
03-18 22:24:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xf02ff6…
03-18 22:24:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x11ad26…
03-18 22:24:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x10047a…
03-18 22:24:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0d3b50…
03-18 22:19:03	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	194	64¢	$124	0xc51582…
03-18 22:17:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	700	74¢	$518	0xf05b41…
03-18 22:16:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	700	75¢	$525	0x721d4b…
03-18 21:44:51	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x86ad84…
03-18 21:42:13	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x4d531d…
03-18 21:42:13	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x319cb6…
03-18 21:23:19	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0xe761fa…
03-18 21:23:19	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x3d0b1d…
03-18 21:23:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xa35825…
03-18 21:23:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8f5879…
03-18 21:23:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4fd11b…
03-18 21:23:03	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xa9f3e6…
03-18 21:19:33	will tisza win 42 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x59de38…
03-18 21:19:27	will tisza win 42 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	38	91¢	$34	0x19a3b3…
03-18 21:19:27	will tisza win 42 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x08d5a9…
03-18 21:11:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3d4ef4…
03-18 21:01:35	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1641e0…
03-18 20:45:45	megaquake by march 31	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x913971…
03-18 19:55:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	400	23¢	$92	0xab557f…
03-18 19:55:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	246	24¢	$59	0x13249e…
03-18 19:54:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x912186…
03-18 19:54:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa9881a…
03-18 19:53:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0x68e1ef…
03-18 19:53:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0xa2246a…
03-18 19:44:57	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xbe9a84…
03-18 19:44:55	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xea0397…
03-18 19:44:37	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1391ec…
03-18 19:28:57	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	678	84¢	$570	0x94c391…
03-18 19:28:55	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x286fbc…
03-18 19:28:29	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	700	84¢	$588	0x753ea8…
03-18 19:23:13	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xf6b5f5…
03-18 19:22:53	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x582d5f…
03-18 19:20:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	695	40¢	$278	0xf8d145…
03-18 19:20:33	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9c2148…
03-18 19:19:21	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	700	42¢	$294	0x947994…
03-18 19:18:55	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	No	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x1ac6f8…
03-18 19:18:53	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x3c7811…
03-18 19:18:39	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x587270…
03-18 19:02:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	381	94¢	$359	0x1a8d33…
03-18 19:01:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	159	94¢	$150	0xdd6cf3…
03-18 19:01:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	541	94¢	$509	0x31a5ab…
03-18 19:01:27	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	230	92¢	$212	0x45407f…
03-18 19:01:07	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	230	92¢	$212	0xe75327…
03-18 18:47:49	megaquake by march 31	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x929d1f…
03-18 18:28:17	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x7a1450…
03-18 18:28:15	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x34554b…
03-18 18:28:05	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x1b90c2…
03-18 18:27:51	nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa42e09…
03-18 18:27:41	nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcedcb9…
03-18 18:25:27	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	SELL	461	88¢	$406	0xa7f190…
03-18 18:25:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0xdfc6b4…
03-18 18:25:15	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	BUY	485	90¢	$436	0xf97125…
03-18 18:18:09	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x2ed95a…
03-18 18:17:35	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x286502…
03-18 18:06:09	will khamenei tweet again on march 19 2026 243 462	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0xa374c7…
03-18 18:05:49	will khamenei tweet again on march 19 2026 243 462	Yes	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0xb2a7b6…
03-18 17:58:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	241	7¢	$17	0x5bb902…
03-18 17:58:21	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	241	9¢	$22	0xcfbd99…
03-18 17:55:15	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 65m and 70m	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x927403…
03-18 17:53:11	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 65m and 70m	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0fde1a…
03-18 17:48:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x9def69…
03-18 17:47:53	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	600	54¢	$324	0x437130…
03-18 17:44:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	700	54¢	$378	0xff7c43…
03-18 17:16:23	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	176	97¢	$170	0xf63f6b…
03-18 17:15:53	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0x8e129a…
03-18 17:12:05	will the florida panthers make the nhl playoffs	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x49e5a7…
03-18 17:02:53	highest temperature in warsaw on march 22 2026 7c	Yes	SELL	117	9¢	$11	0xe1a6bd…
03-18 17:02:47	highest temperature in warsaw on march 22 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0xc72392…
03-18 16:44:43	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x11093b…
03-18 16:44:37	highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xe029d0…
03-18 16:44:33	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc44e49…
03-18 16:44:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x81007b…
03-18 16:43:59	will any european country expel a us ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf6e983…
03-18 16:43:47	will any european country expel a us ambassador by march 31	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2fdc94…
03-18 16:42:01	will the florida panthers make the nhl playoffs	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xfc9362…
03-18 16:28:03	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x0a0981…
03-18 16:27:45	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8cb312…
03-18 15:54:23	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x89beaf…
03-18 15:54:13	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x99f81b…
03-18 15:33:11	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x949f58…
03-18 15:32:59	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x382b30…
03-18 15:10:45	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0xe1120d…
03-18 15:10:45	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x42ac57…
03-18 15:10:35	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x070a26…
03-18 15:07:03	will gas hit low 3pt05 by march 31	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcede14…
03-18 15:06:53	will gas hit low 3pt05 by march 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xba2536…
03-18 15:00:31	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xddcebd…
03-18 14:58:17	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x8e78a0…