Dear-Crayfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$5.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$36

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-09 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% — —

Crypto

25% — —

Other

7% 67% $-13

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+44	$34	82¢	$36	+$2	06-06 09:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,481	233	+1,248	open	—	06-01 13:01
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	9	$990	702	702	+0	open	—	05-25 03:32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	8	$499	408	408	+0	open	—	06-01 12:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$472	275	275	+0	open	—	05-28 03:20
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	5	$412	393	393	+0	open	—	06-07 11:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$283	323	323	+0	open	—	05-23 23:21
israel closes its airspace by june 8	4	$232	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 06:49
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$157	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 10:58
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$140	137	137	+0	open	—	05-28 00:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$140	149	0	+149	open	—	05-22 12:44
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$131	516	0	+516	open	—	05-30 20:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 06:26
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	7	$101	334	0	+334	open	—	05-27 03:23
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	06-06 15:17
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$48	39	39	+0	open	—	05-16 13:33
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	5	$42	300	0	+300	open	—	06-07 08:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$34	44	0	+44	open	—	06-06 09:43
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$31	17	17	+0	Spirit	+$3	05-10 11:07
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 09:28
lol jdg blg 2026 04 05	4	$26	61	46	+14	open	—	04-05 10:41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 11:53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$17	20	0	+20	9z	$-17	05-10 11:14
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-10 13:41
lol tes al 2026 04 05	4	$13	18	18	+0	open	—	04-05 13:33
lol al blg 2026 06 08 game handicap home 2pt5	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-08 10:18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	1	$10	667	0	+667	open	—	05-29 08:26
btc updown 5m 1780985700	5	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	06-09 06:19
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-30 10:32
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	7	$9	13	8	+5	open	—	05-14 14:01
btc updown 5m 1780986000	4	$8	16	2	+14	open	—	06-09 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:48:19	btc updown 5m 1781012700	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xc744c7…
06-09 13:46:25	btc updown 5m 1781012700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcdaac2…
06-09 13:42:25	btc updown 5m 1781012400	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x792647…
06-09 13:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781012100	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd65a97…
06-09 13:33:27	btc updown 5m 1781011800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf2c462…
06-09 13:32:36	btc updown 5m 1781011800	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x857960…
06-09 09:45:34	cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09	Legacy	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x86fb26…
06-09 09:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780996800	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe10e26…
06-09 09:15:31	btc updown 5m 1780996500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf792ad…
06-09 09:10:13	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x617c1a…
06-09 09:07:34	btc updown 5m 1780995900	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x63d228…
06-09 09:05:16	btc updown 5m 1780995900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf46d4a…
06-09 09:04:55	btc updown 5m 1780995600	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x583b6d…
06-09 08:59:48	btc updown 5m 1780995600	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6f006d…
06-09 08:55:36	btc updown 5m 1780995300	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1ab0d8…
06-09 08:54:28	btc updown 5m 1780995000	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xe67f43…
06-09 08:51:12	btc updown 5m 1780995000	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x61402c…
06-09 08:48:13	btc updown 5m 1780994700	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xac2181…
06-09 08:41:48	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x415ebd…
06-09 08:41:33	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xca7993…
06-09 08:37:21	btc updown 5m 1780994100	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x78e145…
06-09 08:36:54	btc updown 5m 1780994100	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x746b61…
06-09 06:39:46	btc updown 5m 1780986900	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xcb48c2…
06-09 06:37:28	btc updown 5m 1780986900	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x232eed…
06-09 06:32:24	btc updown 5m 1780986600	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf5f311…
06-09 06:32:24	btc updown 5m 1780986600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x567e9c…
06-09 06:32:22	btc updown 5m 1780986600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4f7c33…
06-09 06:32:22	btc updown 5m 1780986600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4113fa…
06-09 06:31:03	btc updown 5m 1780986600	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x96f7f1…
06-09 06:30:33	btc updown 5m 1780986600	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcdc9a9…
06-09 06:29:25	btc updown 5m 1780986300	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc16a75…
06-09 06:26:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x25b205…
06-09 06:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780986000	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa1dc44…
06-09 06:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x72c312…
06-09 06:22:48	btc updown 5m 1780986000	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x547725…
06-09 06:21:36	btc updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0596e4…
06-09 06:19:21	btc updown 5m 1780985700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6055d9…
06-09 06:17:30	btc updown 5m 1780985700	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x762066…
06-09 06:16:13	btc updown 5m 1780985700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb48006…
06-09 06:15:54	btc updown 5m 1780985700	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x5a18c8…
06-09 06:15:28	btc updown 5m 1780985700	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc973d7…
06-09 06:14:19	btc updown 5m 1780985400	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x691247…
06-09 06:11:13	btc updown 5m 1780985400	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0f7471…
06-09 06:08:10	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8b47fa…
06-09 06:07:16	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f7c4c…
06-09 06:07:00	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x95eac4…
06-09 06:06:31	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6abc72…
06-09 06:06:18	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x9741ac…
06-09 06:05:42	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x084da7…
06-09 06:01:01	btc updown 5m 1780984800	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xac6d6e…
06-09 01:57:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb61582…
06-08 10:18:25	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game handicap home 2pt5	Anyone's Legend	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xeb0f55…
06-08 08:05:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xdd639d…
06-08 08:00:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0xf9fefb…
06-08 06:49:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xbc8d08…
06-08 04:09:37	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0d5402…
06-08 04:09:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xb06cb3…
06-08 04:08:48	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	184	53¢	$97	0x3d5020…
06-08 01:58:03	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08	9z	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x411508…
06-07 11:35:36	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	93	65¢	$60	0xfdd178…
06-07 08:34:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0x56ffe1…
06-07 08:32:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x2316e2…
06-07 08:27:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x9baa55…
06-07 08:21:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4c6959…
06-07 08:06:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb43a1b…
06-06 15:17:16	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x11c9c6…
06-06 10:37:10	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	JD Gaming	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ab1fe…
06-06 09:43:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x4e7674…
06-06 09:35:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x269c0b…
06-06 09:35:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x2637cf…
06-06 09:35:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x44a04b…
06-06 09:34:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x2c3fa4…
06-06 09:34:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x144a07…
06-06 09:30:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x10d503…
06-06 09:30:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x2a414b…
06-06 09:30:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x67f83d…
06-06 09:30:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xa0a33a…
06-06 09:28:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x7b7610…
06-06 09:28:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x4ac758…
06-06 09:28:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd2acb0…
06-06 09:28:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x7fbe62…
06-06 09:28:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x287830…
06-06 09:25:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xd091b5…
06-06 09:25:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x9145e0…
06-06 09:25:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xd243a4…
06-06 09:25:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x9067a4…
06-06 09:25:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x645c3a…
06-06 09:25:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1230f8…
06-06 08:43:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb90f37…
06-06 08:42:10	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	73	54¢	$39	0x84e2e4…
06-04 13:15:34	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	300	59¢	$176	0x6c3fb0…
06-04 05:30:45	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0xfbfb44…
06-03 08:56:36	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa1a049…
06-01 13:01:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xf729fc…
06-01 12:49:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xc9d4f6…
06-01 12:48:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	95¢	$216	0xe0b8e2…
06-01 12:27:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0xe69c21…
06-01 12:23:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	864	81¢	$700	0xf69690…
06-01 12:20:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	17¢	$40	0xdab751…
06-01 10:32:22	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb1a9b0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	66	$144.9K	1,073	06-09 16:46
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	63	$186.7K	2,829	06-09 16:30
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	43	$116.3K	10,279	06-10 00:12
Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671	40	$5.36K	493	06-09 18:19
(anonymous) 0x9d94…017d	37	$200.3K	1,541	06-09 15:44
(anonymous) 0x51db…f9b3	37	$64.5K	4,371	06-09 16:02
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	36	$9.38K	1,153	06-05 13:27
Itchy-Caterpillar 0xdd88…dadb	35	$284.8K	764	06-09 15:33